Mississippi State Composite Control — 2023

Mississippi State Composite Control — 2023 | Punt & Rally

2023 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control

Composite Score

25.5

Composite Rank: #101 • 4–7 (FBS games)

GC Score

22.9

#99 in FBS

GC Net

-25.7

Raw GC Net

GC Off

24.5

SOS-Adj Offense

GC Allowed

50.2

Avg Allowed ↓

MC Score

28.1

#100 in FBS

MC Net

-1.41

Raw MC Net

MC Off

0.25

Adj. Sequences

MC Win%

75%

When winning MC

Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Scores			Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Off	GC Allowed	GC Net	Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
1	SE Louisiana H	—	75.2	9	+66.2	77.5%	64.8%	✓
2	Arizona H	W 31–24	75.1	10.4	+64.7	73.9%	70.8%	✓
3	LSU H	L 14–41	5.4	86.5	-81	13.6%	0%	—
4	South Carolina A	L 30–37	20.3	61.1	-40.8	38.8%	13.6%	—
5	Alabama H	L 17–40	6.3	85.7	-79.4	15.7%	0%	—
6	Western Michigan H	W 41–28	88	6.8	+81.2	83.1%	89.1%	✓
8	Arkansas A	W 7–3	56.7	19.3	+37.4	62.9%	48.6%	—
9	Auburn A	L 13–27	6	87.9	-81.9	15%	0%	—
10	Kentucky H	L 3–24	6.1	89.4	-83.4	15.2%	0%	—
11	Texas A&M A	L 10–51	8.1	77.4	-69.4	16.4%	2%	—
12	Southern Miss H	W 41–20	63.1	19.8	+43.3	69.8%	60%	—
13	Ole Miss H	L 7–17	15.7	49.4	-33.8	35.4%	0.6%	—
4W / 11G			—	—	—	—	—	—

Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opponent-Adjusted			Raw		Edge	Opp Wt
Wk	Opponent	Result	MC Off	MC Def ↓	MC Net	Off	Def ↓	Edge	Opp Wt
2	Arizona H	W 31–24	1.97	0	+1.97	1	0	✓ +1	1
3	LSU H	L 14–41	0	10.54	-10.54	0	4	✗ 0	1
4	South Carolina A	L 30–37	0	2.48	-2.48	0	2	✗ 0	1
5	Alabama H	L 17–40	0	6.41	-6.41	0	2	✗ 0	1
6	Western Michigan H	W 41–28	0.22	0	+0.22	1	0	✓ +1	0.22
8	Arkansas A	W 7–3	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	1
9	Auburn A	L 13–27	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	1
10	Kentucky H	L 3–24	1.72	0	+1.72	1	0	✓ +1	1
11	Texas A&M A	L 10–51	0	9.16	-9.16	0	4	✗ 0	1
12	Southern Miss H	W 41–20	0.73	0	+0.73	3	0	✓ +3	0.24
13	Ole Miss H	L 7–17	0	2.35	-2.35	0	1	✗ 0	1
4W / 11G			—	—	—	6	13	—	—