Illinois Composite Control — 2023

Illinois Composite Control — 2023 | Punt & Rally

2023 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control

Composite Score

34.6

Composite Rank: #77 • 5–7 (FBS games)

GC Score

33.7

#83 in FBS

GC Net

-13.2

Raw GC Net

GC Off

32.8

SOS-Adj Offense

GC Allowed

Avg Allowed ↓

MC Score

35.5

#84 in FBS

MC Net

-1

Raw MC Net

MC Off

0.65

Adj. Sequences

MC Win%

66.7%

When winning MC

Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Scores			Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Off	GC Allowed	GC Net	Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
1	Toledo H	W 30–28	66.6	20	+46.7	68.9%	72.4%	—
2	Kansas A	L 23–34	5.5	88.4	-82.8	13.8%	0%	—
3	Penn State H	L 13–30	8	81.7	-73.7	20%	0%	—
4	Florida Atlantic H	W 23–17	45.1	31.9	+13.3	54.7%	34.3%	—
5	Purdue A	L 19–44	15.2	62.3	-47.2	29.9%	1.9%	—
6	Nebraska H	L 7–20	8.8	77.9	-69.1	22%	0%	—
7	Maryland A	W 27–24	50.6	21	+29.6	61%	45.6%	—
8	Wisconsin H	L 21–25	68	14.4	+53.6	69.3%	68.6%	—
10	Minnesota A	W 27–26	33	31.4	+1.6	49.5%	11.1%	—
11	Indiana H	W 48–45	41.4	34.5	+7	53.3%	31.9%	—
12	Iowa A	L 13–15	45.1	24.8	+20.3	56.5%	25.8%	—
13	Northwestern H	L 43–45	15.6	63.7	-48.1	32.3%	2%	—
5W / 12G			—	—	—	—	—	—

Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opponent-Adjusted			Raw		Edge	Opp Wt
Wk	Opponent	Result	MC Off	MC Def ↓	MC Net	Off	Def ↓	Edge	Opp Wt
1	Toledo H	W 30–28	1.28	3.85	-2.57	1	3	✗ 1	1
2	Kansas A	L 23–34	1.72	5.15	-3.43	1	3	✗ 1	1
3	Penn State H	L 13–30	0	10.45	-10.45	0	3	✗ 0	1
4	Florida Atlantic H	W 23–17	0.45	0.45	+0	1	1	Tied	0.45
5	Purdue A	L 19–44	0.57	1.14	-0.57	1	2	✗ 1	0.57
6	Nebraska H	L 7–20	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	1
7	Maryland A	W 27–24	3.41	0	+3.41	2	0	✓ +2	1
8	Wisconsin H	L 21–25	0	3.54	-3.54	0	2	✗ 0	1
10	Minnesota A	W 27–26	0	0.92	-0.92	0	1	✗ 0	0.92
11	Indiana H	W 48–45	1.14	0	+1.14	2	0	✓ +2	0.57
12	Iowa A	L 13–15	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	1
13	Northwestern H	L 43–45	1.82	0.91	+0.91	2	1	✓ +2	0.91
5W / 12G			—	—	—	10	16	—	—