Baylor Composite Control — 2023 | Punt & Rally
2023 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
22.9
Composite Rank: #109  •  2–9 (FBS games)
GC Score
8.9
#123 in FBS
GC Net
-42
Raw GC Net
GC Off
17.8
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
59.8
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
36.9
#78 in FBS
MC Net
-0.92
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.7
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
50%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 28 points. Baylor generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 36.9) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 8.9). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Texas State H L 31–42 9.4 76.7 -67.3 20.8% 0%
2 Utah H L 13–20 54.3 17.2 +37.1 63% 51%
3 Long Island University H 82.6 7.5 +75.1 81.2% 81.5%
4 Texas H L 6–38 5.7 84.6 -78.8 14.3% 0%
5 UCF A W 36–35 10.4 79.3 -68.9 17.7% 5.2%
6 Texas Tech H L 14–39 6.6 89.2 -82.7 16.5% 0%
8 Cincinnati A W 32–29 45.8 21.3 +24.5 59.3% 32.7%
9 Iowa State H L 18–30 6.7 89.8 -83.1 16.7% 0%
10 Houston H L 24–25 13.2 64.5 -51.4 32.9% 0%
11 Kansas State A L 25–59 3.8 88.4 -84.6 9.5% 0%
12 TCU A L 17–42 21.6 56.7 -35.1 34.3% 12.2%
13 West Virginia H L 31–34 33.5 42.1 -8.6 47% 21.2%
2W / 11G
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Texas State H L 31–42 0 0.75 -0.75 0 1 ✗ 0
0.75
2 Utah H L 13–20 0 1.63 -1.63 0 1 ✗ 0
1
4 Texas H L 6–38 0 9.94 -9.94 0 3 ✗ 0
1
5 UCF A W 36–35 3.97 2.65 +1.32 3 2 ✓ +3
1
6 Texas Tech H L 14–39 1.26 0 +1.26 1 0 ✓ +1
1
8 Cincinnati A W 32–29 1.16 0 +1.16 2 0 ✓ +2
0.58
9 Iowa State H L 18–30 1.66 1.66 +0 1 1 Tied
1
10 Houston H L 24–25 0.52 0 +0.52 1 0 ✓ +1
0.52
11 Kansas State A L 25–59 0 2.29 -2.29 0 1 ✗ 0
1
12 TCU A L 17–42 0 4.69 -4.69 0 3 ✗ 0
1
13 West Virginia H L 31–34 2.78 2.78 +0 2 2 Tied
1
2W / 11G 10 14