Arkansas State Composite Control — 2023 | Punt & Rally
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Arkansas State
2023 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
19.9
Composite Rank: #115  •  5–7 (FBS games)
GC Score
17.7
#111 in FBS
GC Net
-31.7
Raw GC Net
GC Off
18.8
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
50.5
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
22.1
#113 in FBS
MC Net
-1.74
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.56
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Oklahoma A L 0–73 2.1 96.1 -94 5.1% 0% —
2 Memphis H L 3–37 6.1 82.8 -76.7 15.2% 0% —
3 Stony Brook H — 89.2 6.2 +83 84.6% 89.6% ✓
4 Southern Miss H W 44–37 48.9 18.9 +30 58% 33.6% —
5 Massachusetts A W 52–28 93.7 3.6 +90.2 91.1% 94.8% ✓
6 Troy A L 3–37 5.7 87.7 -82 14.2% 0% —
8 Coastal Carolina H L 17–27 6.9 82.8 -75.9 17.2% 0% —
9 UL Monroe A W 34–24 55.9 17.6 +38.3 67.4% 45.6% —
10 Louisiana H W 37–17 63.1 16.5 +46.6 62.6% 46.6% ✓
11 South Alabama A L 14–21 11 66.3 -55.3 26.3% 0% —
12 Texas State H W 77–31 62.6 14.9 +47.7 72.1% 54% —
13 Marshall A L 21–35 4.5 88.8 -84.3 11.3% 0% —
1 Northern Illinois NPost L 19–21 11.3 74.7 -63.4 25.2% 0% —
5W / 12G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Oklahoma A L 0–73 0 16.75 -16.75 0 7 ✗ 0
1
2 Memphis H L 3–37 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
4 Southern Miss H W 44–37 0.97 0.49 +0.48 4 2 ✓ +4
0.24
5 Massachusetts A W 52–28 0.67 0.17 +0.5 4 1 ✓ +4
0.17
6 Troy A L 3–37 0 5.44 -5.44 0 3 ✗ 0
1
8 Coastal Carolina H L 17–27 0 0.82 -0.82 0 1 ✗ 0
0.82
9 UL Monroe A W 34–24 0.13 0.06 +0.07 2 1 ✓ +2
0.06
10 Louisiana H W 37–17 2.04 0 +2.04 2 0 ✓ +2
1
11 South Alabama A L 14–21 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
12 Texas State H W 77–31 2.25 0 +2.25 3 0 ✓ +3
0.75
13 Marshall A L 21–35 0 0.53 -0.53 0 1 ✗ 0
0.53
1 Northern Illinois APost L 19–21 0 0.6 -0.6 0 1 ✗ 0
0.6
5W / 12G ——— 15 17 — —