2022 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
13.8
Composite Rank: #127
•
6–6
(FBS games)
GC Score
27.5
#109 in FBS
GC Net
-44.2
Raw GC Net
GC Off
12
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
56.2
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
0
#131 in FBS
MC Net
-3.15
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.38
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
75%
When winning MC
GC > MC by 28 points.
Utah State dominated win probability (Game Control score: 27.5)
but generated fewer consecutive scoring sequences than expected (Momentum Control score: 0).
This profile suggests a team that controlled field position and clock without delivering many knockout scoring runs —
a suffocating, methodical style rather than explosive momentum swings.
Game Control
Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | GC Scores | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Off | GC Allowed | GC Net | |||
| 1 | UConn H | W 31–20 | 79 | 12.2 | +66.8 |
| 1 | Alabama A | L 0–55 | 0.1 | 98.4 | -98.3 |
| 2 | Weber State H | — | 9.6 | 73.6 | -64.1 |
| 4 | UNLV H | L 24–34 | 8.7 | 75.8 | -67.1 |
| 5 | BYU A | L 26–38 | 3.5 | 87.6 | -84.1 |
| 6 | Air Force H | W 34–27 | 30.4 | 57 | -26.6 |
| 7 | Colorado State A | W 17–13 | 69.9 | 19.7 | +50.1 |
| 8 | Wyoming A | L 14–28 | 7.9 | 85.1 | -77.1 |
| 10 | New Mexico H | W 27–10 | 78.3 | 12.4 | +65.9 |
| 11 | Hawai'i A | W 41–34 | 94.5 | 4.5 | +90 |
| 12 | San José State H | W 35–31 | 55.6 | 24.6 | +31 |
| 13 | Boise State A | L 23–42 | 3.3 | 91.5 | -88.3 |
| 1 | Memphis NPost | L 10–38 | 5.5 | 88.2 | -82.8 |
| 6W / 12G | — | — | — | ||
Momentum Control
Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opponent-Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Off | MC Def ↓ | MC Net | |||
| 1 | UConn H | W 31–20 | 0.53 | 0.26 | +0.27 |
| 1 | Alabama A | L 0–55 | 0 | 32.32 | -32.32 |
| 4 | UNLV H | L 24–34 | 0 | 0.36 | -0.36 |
| 5 | BYU A | L 26–38 | 0.91 | 0 | +0.91 |
| 6 | Air Force H | W 34–27 | 1.28 | 0 | +1.28 |
| 7 | Colorado State A | W 17–13 | 0.07 | 0 | +0.07 |
| 8 | Wyoming A | L 14–28 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 10 | New Mexico H | W 27–10 | 0 | 0.01 | -0.01 |
| 11 | Hawai'i A | W 41–34 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.03 |
| 12 | San José State H | W 35–31 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 13 | Boise State A | L 23–42 | 1.42 | 1.42 | +0 |
| 1 | Memphis HPost | L 10–38 | 0 | 4.51 | -4.51 |
| 6W / 12G | — | — | — | ||