USC Composite Control — 2022 | Punt & Rally
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USC
2022 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
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Composite Score
73
Composite Rank: #6  •  11–3 (FBS games)
GC Score
87.9
#4 in FBS
GC Net
+54.7
Raw GC Net
GC Off
67.5
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
12.9
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
58.1
#16 in FBS
MC Net
+0.34
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.46
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
88.9%
When winning MC
GC > MC by 30 points. USC dominated win probability (Game Control score: 87.9) but generated fewer consecutive scoring sequences than expected (Momentum Control score: 58.1). This profile suggests a team that controlled field position and clock without delivering many knockout scoring runs — a suffocating, methodical style rather than explosive momentum swings.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Rice H W 66–14 97.3 0.3 +97 99.3% 100% ✓
2 Stanford A W 41–28 90 5.1 +84.9 87.3% 88% ✓
3 Fresno State H W 45–17 94.4 3 +91.4 92.4% 100% ✓
4 Oregon State A W 17–14 34.9 38.1 -3.2 50.8% 29% —
5 Arizona State H W 42–25 94.8 2.3 +92.5 94.3% 100% ✓
6 Washington State H W 30–14 82.5 9.1 +73.4 84.8% 96.2% —
7 Utah A L 24–47 68 13.6 +54.4 68.9% 67.9% —
9 Arizona A W 45–37 86.5 6.3 +80.2 87.3% 100% —
10 California H W 41–35 86.2 7.4 +78.9 92.8% 100% —
11 Colorado H W 55–17 89.9 2.4 +87.6 99.2% 100% —
12 UCLA A W 48–45 41.8 33.9 +7.9 55.6% 35.3% —
13 Notre Dame H W 38–27 92.5 6 +86.5 84.9% 99.2% ✓
14 Utah N L 24–47 42.9 43.7 -0.7 47% 41.7% —
1 Tulane NPost L 45–46 76.1 9.3 +66.8 77.5% 81% —
11W / 14G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Rice H W 66–14 0.49 0 +0.49 2 0 ✓ +2
0.24
2 Stanford A W 41–28 1.16 0.58 +0.58 2 1 ✓ +2
0.58
3 Fresno State H W 45–17 2.46 0 +2.46 2 0 ✓ +2
1
4 Oregon State A W 17–14 0 2.18 -2.18 0 1 ✗ 0
1
5 Arizona State H W 42–25 0.75 0 +0.75 1 0 ✓ +1
0.75
6 Washington State H W 30–14 5.2 1.73 +3.47 3 1 ✓ +3
1
7 Utah A L 42–43 2.69 2.69 +0 1 1 Tied
1
9 Arizona A W 45–37 0.8 0.8 +0 1 1 Tied
0.8
10 California H W 41–35 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.81
11 Colorado H W 55–17 0.51 0 +0.51 5 0 ✓ +5
0.1
12 UCLA A W 48–45 4.5 2.25 +2.25 2 1 ✓ +2
1
13 Notre Dame H W 38–27 1.8 0 +1.8 1 0 ✓ +1
1
14 Utah H L 24–47 2.69 8.07 -5.38 1 3 ✗ 1
1
1 Tulane HPost L 45–46 5.99 4 +1.99 3 2 ✓ +3
1
11W / 14G ——— 24 11 — —