Toledo Composite Control — 2022 | Punt & Rally
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Toledo
2022 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
33.1
Composite Rank: #96  •  8–5 (FBS games)
GC Score
53.5
#59 in FBS
GC Net
-1.7
Raw GC Net
GC Off
27.1
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
28.8
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
12.6
#123 in FBS
MC Net
-2.39
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.65
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
50%
When winning MC
GC > MC by 41 points. Toledo dominated win probability (Game Control score: 53.5) but generated fewer consecutive scoring sequences than expected (Momentum Control score: 12.6). This profile suggests a team that controlled field position and clock without delivering many knockout scoring runs — a suffocating, methodical style rather than explosive momentum swings.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Long Island University H — 95.3 0.2 +95.1 99.5% 100% ✓
2 Massachusetts H W 55–10 92 3.6 +88.4 91.1% 90.9% ✓
3 Ohio State A L 21–77 0.2 98.1 -97.9 0.5% 0% —
4 San Diego State A L 14–17 18.8 54.5 -35.7 38.6% 5.7% —
5 Central Michigan H W 38–17 79.8 5.6 +74.2 88.7% 82.4% —
6 Northern Illinois A W 52–32 97.6 1.6 +96 96.1% 100% ✓
7 Kent State H W 52–31 36 39.4 -3.4 54.7% 27% —
8 Buffalo A L 27–34 68.5 19.8 +48.7 72.4% 76.1% —
9 Eastern Michigan A W 27–24 40.7 24.7 +16 64.2% 38.1% —
11 Ball State H W 28–21 56 13.4 +42.7 71.1% 69.6% —
12 Bowling Green H L 35–42 20.6 61.4 -40.8 36.3% 15.3% —
13 Western Michigan A L 14–20 34.6 45.2 -10.6 46.9% 43.3% —
14 Ohio N W 17–7 79.3 10 +69.4 75.1% 80.8% ✓
1 Liberty NPost W 21–19 46.2 26.1 +20 60.1% 39.7% —
8W / 13G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
2 Massachusetts H W 55–10 0 0 +0 6 0 ✓ +6
0
3 Ohio State A L 21–77 0 24.89 -24.89 0 6 ✗ 0
1
4 San Diego State A L 14–17 0.73 0 +0.73 1 0 ✓ +1
0.73
5 Central Michigan H W 38–17 0.85 0 +0.85 3 0 ✓ +3
0.28
6 Northern Illinois A W 52–32 0.28 0 +0.28 2 0 ✓ +2
0.14
7 Kent State H W 52–31 1.59 0.63 +0.96 5 2 ✓ +5
0.32
8 Buffalo A L 27–34 0.96 0.48 +0.48 2 1 ✓ +2
0.48
9 Eastern Michigan A W 27–24 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.58
11 Ball State H W 28–21 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.25
12 Bowling Green H L 35–42 0.31 0.16 +0.15 2 1 ✓ +2
0.16
13 Western Michigan A L 14–20 0.18 0 +0.18 1 0 ✓ +1
0.18
14 Ohio A W 17–7 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.72
1 Liberty HPost W 21–19 0.9 0.9 +0 1 1 Tied
0.9
8W / 13G ——— 23 11 — —