Oregon Composite Control — 2022 | Punt & Rally
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Oregon
2022 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
56
Composite Rank: #40  •  9–3 (FBS games)
GC Score
70.7
#18 in FBS
GC Net
+26.5
Raw GC Net
GC Off
48.5
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
22
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
41.2
#73 in FBS
MC Net
-0.67
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.06
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
GC > MC by 30 points. Oregon dominated win probability (Game Control score: 70.7) but generated fewer consecutive scoring sequences than expected (Momentum Control score: 41.2). This profile suggests a team that controlled field position and clock without delivering many knockout scoring runs — a suffocating, methodical style rather than explosive momentum swings.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Georgia N L 3–49 1.6 95.3 -93.7 4% 0% —
2 Eastern Washington H — 91.6 3.4 +88.2 91.6% 89.9% ✓
3 BYU H W 41–20 93.3 4.3 +89 89.4% 96.2% ✓
4 Washington State A W 44–41 20.3 55.4 -35.1 41.9% 6.6% —
5 Stanford H W 45–27 96.2 1.7 +94.5 95.8% 100% ✓
6 Arizona A W 49–22 88.5 3.4 +85.1 93% 100% —
8 UCLA H W 45–30 89.8 5.2 +84.7 87.1% 95% ✓
9 California A W 42–24 82.2 9.3 +72.9 88.5% 100% —
10 Colorado A W 49–10 98.9 0.4 +98.5 99% 100% ✓
11 Washington H L 34–37 49.4 26 +23.3 64.2% 50% —
12 Utah H W 20–17 72.5 12.7 +59.8 69% 66.7% ✓
13 Oregon State A L 34–38 43 32.4 +10.5 57% 30.9% —
1 North Carolina NPost W 28–27 43 36.8 +6.2 57% 46.6% —
9W / 12G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Georgia A L 3–49 0 23.69 -23.69 0 5 ✗ 0
1
3 BYU H W 41–20 3.64 0.91 +2.73 4 1 ✓ +4
0.91
4 Washington State A W 44–41 3.47 1.73 +1.74 2 1 ✓ +2
1
5 Stanford H W 45–27 1.16 0.58 +0.58 2 1 ✓ +2
0.58
6 Arizona A W 49–22 3.19 0.8 +2.39 4 1 ✓ +4
0.8
8 UCLA H W 45–30 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
9 California A W 42–24 0.81 0 +0.81 1 0 ✓ +1
0.81
10 Colorado A W 49–10 0.41 0 +0.41 4 0 ✓ +4
0.1
11 Washington H L 34–37 2.32 2.32 +0 1 1 Tied
1
12 Utah H W 20–17 2.69 0 +2.69 1 0 ✓ +1
1
13 Oregon State A L 34–38 4.36 4.36 +0 2 2 Tied
1
1 North Carolina APost W 28–27 0 1.59 -1.59 0 1 ✗ 0
1
9W / 12G ——— 21 13 — —