2022 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
80.3
Composite Rank: #4
•
11–2
(FBS games)
GC Score
92.9
#3 in FBS
GC Net
+62.9
Raw GC Net
GC Off
72.6
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
9.7
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
67.7
#5 in FBS
MC Net
+0.92
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.95
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
GC > MC by 25 points.
Ohio State dominated win probability (Game Control score: 92.9)
but generated fewer consecutive scoring sequences than expected (Momentum Control score: 67.7).
This profile suggests a team that controlled field position and clock without delivering many knockout scoring runs —
a suffocating, methodical style rather than explosive momentum swings.
Game Control
Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | GC Scores | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Off | GC Allowed | GC Net | |||
| 1 | Notre Dame H | W 21–10 | 68.7 | 20.7 | +48 |
| 2 | Arkansas State H | W 45–12 | 87.6 | 5.8 | +81.8 |
| 3 | Toledo H | W 77–21 | 98.1 | 0.2 | +97.9 |
| 4 | Wisconsin H | W 52–21 | 98.6 | 0.7 | +98 |
| 5 | Rutgers H | W 49–10 | 76.6 | 7.4 | +69.2 |
| 6 | Michigan State A | W 49–20 | 97.4 | 0.7 | +96.7 |
| 8 | Iowa H | W 54–10 | 92.1 | 2.3 | +89.8 |
| 9 | Penn State A | W 44–31 | 76.8 | 15.5 | +61.3 |
| 10 | Northwestern A | W 21–7 | 80.7 | 8.5 | +72.2 |
| 11 | Indiana H | W 56–14 | 98.2 | 0.1 | +98.2 |
| 12 | Maryland A | W 43–30 | 88.1 | 6.3 | +81.7 |
| 13 | Michigan H | L 23–45 | 49 | 37.4 | +11.6 |
| 1 | Georgia NPost | L 41–42 | 54.3 | 21 | +33.4 |
| 11W / 13G | — | — | — | ||
Momentum Control
Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opponent-Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Off | MC Def ↓ | MC Net | |||
| 1 | Notre Dame H | W 21–10 | 1.8 | 0 | +1.8 |
| 2 | Arkansas State H | W 45–12 | 0.64 | 0.32 | +0.32 |
| 3 | Toledo H | W 77–21 | 4.61 | 0 | +4.61 |
| 4 | Wisconsin H | W 52–21 | 4.89 | 0 | +4.89 |
| 5 | Rutgers H | W 49–10 | 1.94 | 0 | +1.94 |
| 6 | Michigan State A | W 49–20 | 5.41 | 0 | +5.41 |
| 8 | Iowa H | W 54–10 | 12.16 | 0 | +12.16 |
| 9 | Penn State A | W 44–31 | 3.05 | 3.05 | +0 |
| 10 | Northwestern A | W 21–7 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 11 | Indiana H | W 56–14 | 1.75 | 0 | +1.75 |
| 12 | Maryland A | W 43–30 | 3.77 | 1.89 | +1.88 |
| 13 | Michigan H | L 23–45 | 0 | 4.27 | -4.27 |
| 1 | Georgia APost | L 41–42 | 4.74 | 14.21 | -9.47 |
| 11W / 13G | — | — | — | ||