Penn State Composite Control — 2021

Penn State Composite Control — 2021 | Punt & Rally

2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control

Composite Score

Composite Rank: #40 • 6–6 (FBS games)

GC Score

65.4

#37 in FBS

GC Net

+14.4

Raw GC Net

GC Off

39.9

SOS-Adj Offense

GC Allowed

25.5

Avg Allowed ↓

MC Score

66.6

#55 in FBS

MC Net

-0.24

Raw MC Net

MC Off

0.56

Adj. Sequences

MC Win%

75%

When winning MC

Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Scores			Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Off	GC Allowed	GC Net	Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
1	Wisconsin A	W 16–10	31.9	27.2	+4.7	49%	21.5%	—
2	Ball State H	W 44–13	97.4	0.8	+96.6	98.1%	100%	✓
3	Auburn H	W 28–20	58.4	18.1	+40.3	68.5%	52.2%	—
4	Villanova H	—	98.8	0.5	+98.4	98.8%	100%	✓
5	Indiana H	W 24–0	93.2	2.9	+90.3	92.7%	100%	✓
6	Iowa A	L 20–23	59.8	24.3	+35.5	62.1%	57.8%	—
8	Illinois H	L 18–20	75.8	6.9	+68.9	83.8%	87.4%	—
9	Ohio State A	L 24–33	12.1	79.3	-67.2	15.4%	0%	—
10	Maryland A	W 31–14	89.6	7.2	+82.5	82.1%	97.9%	✓
11	Michigan H	L 17–21	20.2	55.6	-35.4	33.1%	1.7%	—
12	Rutgers H	W 28–0	85.5	4.9	+80.6	87.8%	100%	✓
13	Michigan State A	L 27–30	21.9	47	-25.1	42.7%	6.5%	—
1	Arkansas NPost	L 10–24	15.3	56.7	-41.4	29.8%	0%	—
6W / 12G			—	—	—	—	—	—

Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opponent-Adjusted			Raw		Edge	Opp Wt
Wk	Opponent	Result	MC Off	MC Def ↓	MC Net	Off	Def ↓	Edge	Opp Wt
1	Wisconsin A	W 16–10	2.79	0	+2.79	1	0	✓ +1	1
2	Ball State H	W 44–13	0.79	0	+0.79	2	0	✓ +2	0.39
3	Auburn H	W 28–20	0	1.87	-1.87	0	1	✗ 0	1
5	Indiana H	W 24–0	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	0.55
6	Iowa A	L 20–23	1.9	1.9	+0	1	1	Tied	1
8	Illinois H	L 18–20	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	1
9	Ohio State A	L 24–33	0	7.81	-7.81	0	2	✗ 0	1
10	Maryland A	W 31–14	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	1
11	Michigan H	L 17–21	3.17	0	+3.17	1	0	✓ +1	1
12	Rutgers H	W 28–0	1.62	0	+1.62	2	0	✓ +2	0.81
13	Michigan State A	L 27–30	0	1.89	-1.89	0	1	✗ 0	1
1	Arkansas APost	L 10–24	2.13	4.26	-2.13	1	2	✗ 1	1
6W / 12G			—	—	—	8	7	—	—