North Carolina Composite Control — 2021 | Punt & Rally
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North Carolina
2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
67.1
Composite Rank: #37  •  5–7 (FBS games)
GC Score
55.3
#54 in FBS
GC Net
-0.9
Raw GC Net
GC Off
38.6
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
39.5
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
79
#20 in FBS
MC Net
+0.41
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.87
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
83.3%
When winning MC
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Virginia Tech A L 10–17 10 77.8 -67.9 24.9% 0% —
2 Georgia State H W 59–17 98.3 0.6 +97.8 98.5% 100% ✓
3 Virginia H W 59–39 82.8 7 +75.8 84.3% 89% —
4 Georgia Tech N L 22–45 42.7 46.2 -3.5 48.9% 46.2% —
5 Duke H W 38–7 93.5 1.9 +91.6 95.2% 100% ✓
6 Florida State H L 25–35 41.4 45 -3.7 51.6% 42.6% —
7 Miami H W 45–42 91.5 6.2 +85.3 84.5% 97.2% ✓
9 Notre Dame A L 34–44 11.4 64.6 -53.2 27.6% 0% —
10 Wake Forest H W 58–55 24.3 48 -23.7 40.9% 9.5% —
11 Pittsburgh A L 23–30 5.9 86.9 -81 14.8% 0% —
12 Wofford H — 98.4 0.3 +98.1 99.3% 100% ✓
13 NC State A L 30–34 32.2 53.6 -21.4 40.2% 23.4% —
1 South Carolina NPost L 21–38 14.1 75.6 -61.5 29.2% 6.8% —
5W / 12G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Virginia Tech A L 10–17 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
2 Georgia State H W 59–17 4.49 0 +4.49 4 0 ✓ +4
1
3 Virginia H W 59–39 6.15 3.08 +3.07 4 2 ✓ +4
1
4 Georgia Tech A L 22–45 0 1.81 -1.81 0 3 ✗ 0
0.6
5 Duke H W 38–7 0.61 0 +0.61 2 0 ✓ +2
0.3
6 Florida State H L 25–35 1.57 4.71 -3.14 1 3 ✗ 1
1
7 Miami H W 45–42 3.7 1.85 +1.85 2 1 ✓ +2
1
9 Notre Dame A L 34–44 2.5 4.99 -2.49 1 2 ✗ 1
1
10 Wake Forest H W 58–55 7.15 1.79 +5.36 4 1 ✓ +4
1
11 Pittsburgh A L 23–30 2.52 5.04 -2.52 1 2 ✗ 1
1
13 NC State A L 30–34 4.72 0 +4.72 2 0 ✓ +2
1
1 South Carolina APost L 21–38 1.28 3.83 -2.55 1 3 ✗ 1
1
5W / 12G ——— 22 17 — —