Michigan State Composite Control — 2021 | Punt & Rally
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Michigan State
2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
55.8
Composite Rank: #66  •  10–2 (FBS games)
GC Score
59.4
#46 in FBS
GC Net
+5.3
Raw GC Net
GC Off
37.7
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
32.4
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
52.3
#92 in FBS
MC Net
-0.99
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.61
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Northwestern A W 38–21 92.4 5.3 +87.1 86.8% 93.3% ✓
2 Youngstown State H — 99.8 0.2 +99.5 99.4% 100% ✓
3 Miami A W 38–17 45.3 29.5 +15.8 54.4% 30.2% —
4 Nebraska H W 23–20 26.4 34.7 -8.3 42.5% 8.6% —
5 Western Kentucky H W 48–31 95.7 4 +91.8 90.1% 100% ✓
6 Rutgers A W 31–13 73.6 8.6 +64.9 80.5% 78.2% —
7 Indiana A W 20–15 53.2 19.9 +33.2 64.9% 42.8% —
9 Michigan H W 37–33 9.5 80.9 -71.3 16% 0% —
10 Purdue A L 29–40 12 70.1 -58.1 28.4% 1.8% —
11 Maryland H W 40–21 97 2.8 +94.2 93.1% 100% ✓
12 Ohio State A L 7–56 0.6 97.9 -97.3 1.5% 0% —
13 Penn State H W 30–27 47 21.9 +25.1 57.3% 28.1% —
1 Pittsburgh NPost W 31–21 37.5 45.1 -7.6 45.3% 31.3% —
10W / 12G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Northwestern A W 38–21 0.4 0 +0.4 1 0 ✓ +1
0.4
3 Miami A W 38–17 1.85 0 +1.85 1 0 ✓ +1
1
4 Nebraska H W 23–20 0 1.8 -1.8 0 1 ✗ 0
1
5 Western Kentucky H W 48–31 2.08 4.17 -2.09 1 2 ✗ 1
1
6 Rutgers A W 31–13 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.81
7 Indiana A W 20–15 0 1.1 -1.1 0 2 ✗ 0
0.55
9 Michigan H W 37–33 3.17 0 +3.17 1 0 ✓ +1
1
10 Purdue A L 29–40 0 5.41 -5.41 0 3 ✗ 0
1
11 Maryland H W 40–21 1.46 0 +1.46 1 0 ✓ +1
1
12 Ohio State A L 7–56 0 23.44 -23.44 0 6 ✗ 0
1
13 Penn State H W 30–27 2.18 0 +2.18 1 0 ✓ +1
1
1 Pittsburgh HPost W 31–21 2.52 0 +2.52 1 0 ✓ +1
1
10W / 12G ——— 7 14 — —