Illinois Composite Control — 2021 | Punt & Rally
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Illinois
2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
53
Composite Rank: #75  •  5–7 (FBS games)
GC Score
37.8
#91 in FBS
GC Net
-27.4
Raw GC Net
GC Off
25.7
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
53.1
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
68.2
#48 in FBS
MC Net
-0.16
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.46
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 30 points. Illinois generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 68.2) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 37.8). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Nebraska H W 30–22 54.9 28.8 +26.2 61.4% 51.9% —
1 UTSA H L 30–37 14 68.5 -54.5 33.6% 1.7% —
2 Virginia A L 14–42 2.3 97.2 -94.9 5.8% 0% —
3 Maryland H L 17–20 26.8 48.3 -21.5 42.2% 18.1% —
4 Purdue A L 9–13 15.4 65 -49.6 29.2% 2% —
5 Charlotte H W 24–14 60.1 18.7 +41.4 72.7% 60.9% —
6 Wisconsin H L 0–24 3.9 93.2 -89.3 9.7% 0% —
8 Penn State A W 20–18 6.9 75.8 -68.9 16.2% 0.3% —
9 Rutgers H L 14–20 23.3 47.1 -23.8 39.2% 4% —
10 Minnesota A W 14–6 76.7 15.3 +61.4 70.9% 71.5% ✓
12 Iowa A L 23–33 11.2 76.8 -65.6 20.2% 0% —
13 Northwestern H W 47–14 94.6 2.6 +92 93.6% 98.7% ✓
5W / 12G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Nebraska H W 30–22 1.8 1.8 +0 1 1 Tied
1
1 UTSA H L 30–37 0 1.48 -1.48 0 1 ✗ 0
1
2 Virginia A L 14–42 0 3.08 -3.08 0 2 ✗ 0
1
3 Maryland H L 17–20 0 1.46 -1.46 0 1 ✗ 0
1
4 Purdue A L 9–13 0 1.8 -1.8 0 1 ✗ 0
1
5 Charlotte H W 24–14 0.3 0 +0.3 1 0 ✓ +1
0.3
6 Wisconsin H L 0–24 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
8 Penn State A W 20–18 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
9 Rutgers H L 14–20 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.81
10 Minnesota A W 14–6 2.19 0 +2.19 1 0 ✓ +1
1
12 Iowa A L 23–33 1.9 1.9 +0 1 1 Tied
1
13 Northwestern H W 47–14 2.38 0 +2.38 6 0 ✓ +6
0.4
5W / 12G ——— 10 7 — —