Fresno State Composite Control — 2021

Fresno State Composite Control — 2021 | Punt & Rally

2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control

Composite Score

74.5

Composite Rank: #23 • 9–3 (FBS games)

GC Score

77.4

#19 in FBS

GC Net

+32.6

Raw GC Net

GC Off

54.2

SOS-Adj Offense

GC Allowed

21.6

Avg Allowed ↓

MC Score

71.6

#36 in FBS

MC Net

+0.02

Raw MC Net

MC Off

1.15

Adj. Sequences

MC Win%

100%

When winning MC

Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Scores			Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
Wk	Opponent	Result	GC Off	GC Allowed	GC Net	Avg WP%	Ctrl%	Never Trailed
1	UConn H	W 45–0	96.2	0.5	+95.7	98.7%	100%	✓
1	Oregon A	L 24–31	7.7	76.6	-68.9	14.3%	0%	—
2	Cal Poly H	—	95.4	0.4	+95	99.1%	100%	✓
3	UCLA A	W 40–37	49.2	32.2	+17	53.5%	41.6%	—
4	UNLV H	W 38–30	67.8	21	+46.8	79.6%	87.2%	—
5	Hawai'i A	L 24–27	65.6	18.5	+47.1	73.5%	74.4%	—
7	Wyoming A	W 17–0	88.8	6.9	+82	82.9%	93.4%	✓
8	Nevada H	W 34–32	71.6	10.4	+61.2	74.8%	72.8%	—
9	San Diego State A	W 30–20	87	6.1	+80.9	84.8%	88.4%	✓
10	Boise State H	L 14–40	10.3	82.4	-72.1	22.5%	3.6%	—
11	New Mexico H	W 34–7	98.1	0.6	+97.5	98.6%	100%	✓
13	San José State A	W 40–9	83.3	6.9	+76.5	86%	91.2%	—
1	UTEP NPost	W 31–24	70.3	18.3	+52	74.7%	83.7%	—
9W / 12G			—	—	—	—	—	—

Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opponent-Adjusted			Raw		Edge	Opp Wt
Wk	Opponent	Result	MC Off	MC Def ↓	MC Net	Off	Def ↓	Edge	Opp Wt
1	UConn H	W 45–0	0.06	0	+0.06	3	0	✓ +3	0.02
1	Oregon A	L 24–31	1.8	3.59	-1.79	1	2	✗ 1	1
3	UCLA A	W 40–37	0	1.72	-1.72	0	1	✗ 0	1
4	UNLV H	W 38–30	0.87	0.58	+0.29	3	2	✓ +3	0.29
5	Hawai'i A	L 24–27	0.85	2.56	-1.71	1	3	✗ 1	0.85
7	Wyoming A	W 17–0	0	0	+0	0	0	Tied	1
8	Nevada H	W 34–32	2.51	0	+2.51	2	0	✓ +2	1
9	San Diego State A	W 30–20	4.89	0	+4.89	3	0	✓ +3	1
10	Boise State H	L 14–40	0	5.17	-5.17	0	3	✗ 0	1
11	New Mexico H	W 34–7	0.43	0	+0.43	3	0	✓ +3	0.14
13	San José State A	W 40–9	1.75	0	+1.75	2	0	✓ +2	0.88
1	UTEP HPost	W 31–24	0.74	0	+0.74	1	0	✓ +1	0.74
9W / 12G			—	—	—	19	11	—	—