2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
91.6
Composite Rank: #5
•
13–1
(FBS games)
GC Score
93.6
#3 in FBS
GC Net
+57.2
Raw GC Net
GC Off
69.6
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
12.3
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
89.6
#8 in FBS
MC Net
+0.96
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.56
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
Game Control
Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | GC Scores | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Off | GC Allowed | GC Net | |||
| 1 | Miami (OH) H | W 49–14 | 99.5 | 0.3 | +99.2 |
| 2 | Murray State H | W 42–7 | 82.5 | 3.1 | +79.4 |
| 3 | Indiana A | W 38–24 | 38 | 35.5 | +2.5 |
| 5 | Notre Dame A | W 24–13 | 74.8 | 8.6 | +66.3 |
| 6 | Temple H | W 52–3 | 97.3 | 0.5 | +96.8 |
| 7 | UCF H | W 56–21 | 98.1 | 0.5 | +97.6 |
| 8 | Navy A | W 27–20 | 82.3 | 6.4 | +75.9 |
| 9 | Tulane A | W 31–12 | 88 | 3.1 | +84.9 |
| 10 | Tulsa H | W 28–20 | 96.4 | 2.3 | +94.1 |
| 11 | South Florida A | W 45–28 | 86.7 | 3.2 | +83.5 |
| 12 | SMU H | W 48–14 | 97.8 | 1.6 | +96.2 |
| 13 | East Carolina A | W 35–13 | 86.5 | 5.8 | +80.7 |
| 14 | Houston H | W 35–20 | 85.7 | 7 | +78.7 |
| 1 | Alabama NPost | L 6–27 | 3.5 | 95.1 | -91.6 |
| 13W / 14G | — | — | — | ||
Momentum Control
Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opponent-Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Off | MC Def ↓ | MC Net | |||
| 1 | Miami (OH) H | W 49–14 | 3.31 | 0 | +3.31 |
| 2 | Murray State H | W 42–7 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 3 | Indiana A | W 38–24 | 0.55 | 0 | +0.55 |
| 5 | Notre Dame A | W 24–13 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 6 | Temple H | W 52–3 | 0.53 | 0 | +0.53 |
| 7 | UCF H | W 56–21 | 5.38 | 0 | +5.38 |
| 8 | Navy A | W 27–20 | 0.51 | 0.51 | +0 |
| 9 | Tulane A | W 31–12 | 0.76 | 0 | +0.76 |
| 10 | Tulsa H | W 28–20 | 1.42 | 2.85 | -1.43 |
| 11 | South Florida A | W 45–28 | 1.07 | 0.36 | +0.71 |
| 12 | SMU H | W 48–14 | 6.73 | 1.68 | +5.05 |
| 13 | East Carolina A | W 35–13 | 2.07 | 1.03 | +1.04 |
| 14 | Houston H | W 35–20 | 3.72 | 0 | +3.72 |
| 1 | Alabama APost | L 6–27 | 0 | 3.48 | -3.48 |
| 13W / 14G | — | — | — | ||