2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
48
Composite Rank: #84
•
3–8
(FBS games)
GC Score
27.9
#102 in FBS
GC Net
-42.4
Raw GC Net
GC Off
14.6
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
57
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
68
#51 in FBS
MC Net
-0.17
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.75
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
60%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 40 points.
Buffalo generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 68)
but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 27.9).
This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control
Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | GC Scores | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Off | GC Allowed | GC Net | |||
| 1 | Wagner H | — | 99.7 | 0 | +99.7 |
| 2 | Nebraska A | L 3–28 | 3.9 | 89.7 | -85.8 |
| 3 | Coastal Carolina H | L 25–28 | 7.5 | 78.3 | -70.8 |
| 4 | Old Dominion A | W 35–34 | 93.3 | 3.8 | +89.4 |
| 5 | Western Michigan H | L 17–24 | 17.3 | 51.8 | -34.5 |
| 6 | Kent State A | L 38–48 | 7.1 | 83 | -75.9 |
| 7 | Ohio H | W 27–26 | 11.7 | 74.7 | -62.9 |
| 8 | Akron A | W 45–10 | 91.6 | 4 | +87.6 |
| 9 | Bowling Green H | L 44–56 | 15.7 | 73.2 | -57.5 |
| 11 | Miami (OH) A | L 18–45 | 4.4 | 91.3 | -86.9 |
| 12 | Northern Illinois H | L 27–33 | 20.1 | 43.7 | -23.6 |
| 13 | Ball State A | L 3–20 | 4.2 | 90.6 | -86.4 |
| 3W / 11G | — | — | — | ||
Momentum Control
Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opponent-Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Off | MC Def ↓ | MC Net | |||
| 2 | Nebraska A | L 3–28 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 3 | Coastal Carolina H | L 25–28 | 2.07 | 0 | +2.07 |
| 4 | Old Dominion A | W 35–34 | 1.14 | 0.57 | +0.57 |
| 5 | Western Michigan H | L 17–24 | 0 | 2.08 | -2.08 |
| 6 | Kent State A | L 38–48 | 1.24 | 1.24 | +0 |
| 7 | Ohio H | W 27–26 | 1.13 | 0.75 | +0.38 |
| 8 | Akron A | W 45–10 | 0.21 | 0 | +0.21 |
| 9 | Bowling Green H | L 44–56 | 0.34 | 0 | +0.34 |
| 11 | Miami (OH) A | L 18–45 | 0 | 2.21 | -2.21 |
| 12 | Northern Illinois H | L 27–33 | 0.58 | 0.58 | +0 |
| 13 | Ball State A | L 3–20 | 0 | 0.79 | -0.79 |
| 3W / 11G | — | — | — | ||