2021 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
82.4
Composite Rank: #12
•
9–3
(FBS games)
GC Score
84.9
#9 in FBS
GC Net
+44
Raw GC Net
GC Off
60.8
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
16.8
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
79.8
#18 in FBS
MC Net
+0.45
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.16
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
Game Control
Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | GC Scores | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Off | GC Allowed | GC Net | |||
| 1 | Lafayette H | — | 98.2 | 0.4 | +97.8 |
| 2 | Navy A | W 23–3 | 66.6 | 12.7 | +53.9 |
| 3 | Utah State H | L 45–49 | 77.8 | 13.5 | +64.4 |
| 4 | Florida Atlantic H | W 31–7 | 93.3 | 3.5 | +89.8 |
| 5 | New Mexico A | W 38–10 | 95.6 | 2.3 | +93.2 |
| 6 | Wyoming H | W 24–14 | 83 | 8.1 | +74.8 |
| 7 | Boise State A | W 24–17 | 61.5 | 17.1 | +44.4 |
| 8 | San Diego State H | L 14–20 | 9.6 | 77.3 | -67.7 |
| 10 | Army N | L 14–21 | 14.8 | 54.4 | -39.5 |
| 11 | Colorado State A | W 35–21 | 90.6 | 6.7 | +83.8 |
| 12 | Nevada A | W 41–39 | 66.4 | 12.2 | +54.3 |
| 13 | UNLV H | W 48–14 | 98.8 | 0.9 | +97.9 |
| 1 | Louisville NPost | W 31–28 | 79.7 | 8.9 | +70.9 |
| 9W / 12G | — | — | — | ||
Momentum Control
Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opponent-Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Off | MC Def ↓ | MC Net | |||
| 2 | Navy A | W 23–3 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 3 | Utah State H | L 45–49 | 2.01 | 3.02 | -1.01 |
| 4 | Florida Atlantic H | W 31–7 | 2.05 | 0 | +2.05 |
| 5 | New Mexico A | W 38–10 | 0.43 | 0 | +0.43 |
| 6 | Wyoming H | W 24–14 | 1.04 | 1.04 | +0 |
| 7 | Boise State A | W 24–17 | 1.72 | 0 | +1.72 |
| 8 | San Diego State H | L 14–20 | 1.63 | 3.26 | -1.63 |
| 10 | Army H | L 14–21 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 11 | Colorado State A | W 35–21 | 0.85 | 0 | +0.85 |
| 12 | Nevada A | W 41–39 | 1.25 | 1.25 | +0 |
| 13 | UNLV H | W 48–14 | 1.46 | 0 | +1.46 |
| 1 | Louisville APost | W 31–28 | 1.59 | 0 | +1.59 |
| 9W / 12G | — | — | — | ||