Composite Control Rankings — 2024 College Football | Punt & Rally
Punt & Rally Analytics
2024 Composite Control Rankings

Game Control + Momentum Control — the most complete dominance metric in college football — 134 FBS teams — 2024 season

● Game Control — Win Probability ● Momentum Control — Scoring Sequences
85.6%
MC Win Rate
92.9%
MC + TO Win Rate
50 / 50
GC / MC Blend
0 – 100
Composite Scale
The Composite Control Score blends two independently validated dominance metrics into one number. Game Control measures win probability trajectory across every play — how favorable a team’s position was throughout the game. Momentum Control measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, forces a stop, and scores again. Both are opponent-adjusted, then normalized to a 0–100 scale within the season and blended equally. A score of 100 means the best team in both metrics. A score of 0 means the worst. When GC and MC disagree significantly, the “Split” column flags it — these are analytically interesting teams worth a closer look.
All 5 Yrs 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
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# Team Conf Composite ▲ Game Control Momentum Control Split
GC Score GC Net MC Score MC Net
1 Kent State MAC 0 0 -78.9 0 -4.6 0
2 Purdue B1G 16.1 9.6 -65.2 22.6 -3.11 13
3 Middle Tennessee CUSA 17 15.8 -56.5 18.2 -3.4 2
4 UTEP MWC 22.9 23.5 -45.5 22.2 -3.14 1
5 Southern Miss SBC 24.8 12.4 -61.4 37.3 -2.15 25
6 Temple AAC 28.2 17.9 -53.4 38.4 -2.08 21
7 Tulsa AAC 28.6 19 -51.9 38.2 -2.09 19
8 Ball State MAC 29.3 35.5 -28.5 23 -3.09 13
9 Oregon State PAC 30.1 32.1 -33.4 28.2 -2.75 4
10 New Mexico State CUSA 31.5 26.6 -41.1 36.4 -2.21 10
11 Mississippi State SEC 32.2 18.9 -52 45.4 -1.63 27
12 UL Monroe SBC 33.6 33.2 -31.8 34 -2.37 1
13 Florida State ACC 34.3 23.3 -45.8 45.3 -1.63 22
14 Massachusetts MAC 34.7 30.9 -35 38.5 -2.07 8
15 App State SBC 35.6 28.9 -37.8 42.2 -1.83 13
16 Western Michigan MAC 36 35 -29.2 37 -2.17 2
17 Akron MAC 36.3 32.4 -32.9 40.2 -1.96 8
18 Central Michigan MAC 36.5 22.1 -47.5 50.9 -1.26 29
19 Northwestern B1G 36.7 35 -29.2 38.4 -2.08 3
20 Oklahoma State B12 36.8 23.2 -45.9 50.4 -1.3 27
21 Florida Atlantic AAC 37.3 35.7 -28.2 38.9 -2.05 3
22 Arkansas State SBC 38.6 36.5 -27.1 40.7 -1.93 4
23 Arizona B12 38.7 29.6 -36.9 47.8 -1.47 18
24 Kennesaw State CUSA 38.9 26.1 -41.8 51.8 -1.21 26
25 Wyoming MWC 39.2 21.3 -48.7 57.1 -0.86 36 ⚡
26 Utah State PAC 39.5 38 -24.9 40.9 -1.92 3
27 Colorado State PAC 40.2 45.6 -14.3 34.9 -2.31 11
28 Hawai'i MWC 40.3 37.1 -26.3 43.6 -1.74 7
29 Stanford ACC 40.5 36.1 -27.7 45 -1.65 9
30 South Florida AAC 40.8 30.7 -35.4 50.9 -1.26 20
31 New Mexico MWC 42.1 32.2 -33.3 52.1 -1.19 20
32 Troy SBC 42.7 34.9 -29.5 50.5 -1.29 16
33 San Diego State PAC 43.1 29.6 -36.9 56.6 -0.89 27
34 Virginia ACC 43.4 28.6 -38.3 58.2 -0.79 30
35 Charlotte AAC 43.4 25.6 -42.6 61.2 -0.59 36 ⚡
36 Michigan State B1G 43.7 37.4 -25.8 49.9 -1.33 13
37 UAB AAC 43.9 37.7 -25.4 50.1 -1.32 12
38 Maryland B1G 44.8 35 -29.3 54.5 -1.03 20
39 Western Kentucky CUSA 44.9 51.5 -5.8 38.2 -2.1 13
40 Air Force MWC 45.6 31.1 -34.8 60.1 -0.66 29
41 Houston B12 45.8 31.6 -34 59.9 -0.67 28
42 Georgia Southern SBC 45.9 40.5 -21.4 51.2 -1.24 11
43 Washington B1G 46.5 42.1 -19.2 51 -1.26 9
44 North Texas AAC 47 39.8 -22.4 54.1 -1.05 14
45 NC State ACC 47.1 37.8 -25.3 56.4 -0.9 19
46 UCLA B1G 47.8 43.7 -16.8 51.8 -1.2 8
47 Nevada MWC 47.8 35.3 -28.9 60.3 -0.65 25
48 Wake Forest ACC 48.2 42.2 -19 54.1 -1.05 12
49 UCF B12 49.2 37.6 -25.6 60.8 -0.62 23
50 West Virginia B12 49.3 46.1 -13.5 52.6 -1.15 7
51 Georgia State SBC 50.1 35.8 -28.1 64.3 -0.38 29
52 Coastal Carolina SBC 50.9 52.4 -4.5 49.3 -1.37 3
53 Eastern Michigan MAC 51.5 38.6 -24.1 64.4 -0.38 26
54 Kentucky SEC 51.6 41.1 -20.7 62.2 -0.53 21
55 Marshall SBC 52.2 56.5 +1.3 47.9 -1.46 9
56 Florida International CUSA 53 43.6 -17.1 62.5 -0.51 19
57 Wisconsin B1G 53.2 49.2 -9.1 57.1 -0.86 8
58 California ACC 54.1 51.4 -5.9 56.8 -0.88 5
59 Buffalo MAC 54.2 53.3 -3.3 55 -0.99 2
60 Louisiana Tech CUSA 54.3 40.4 -21.6 68.3 -0.12 28
61 Duke ACC 54.5 50.9 -6.7 58.1 -0.79 7
62 UTSA AAC 54.6 45.8 -13.9 63.3 -0.45 18
63 Liberty CUSA 54.7 35.2 -29 74.2 +0.26 39 ⚡
64 Oklahoma SEC 55.3 49.7 -8.4 60.8 -0.61 11
65 Arkansas SEC 55.8 54.3 -1.8 57.3 -0.85 3
66 Boston College ACC 56.7 58.1 +3.5 55.3 -0.98 3
67 Auburn SEC 57.1 48 -10.8 66.2 -0.26 18
68 North Carolina ACC 57.2 49.3 -8.9 65 -0.34 16
69 UConn Ind 57.3 50.5 -7.2 64.1 -0.4 14
70 Pittsburgh ACC 58 45.3 -14.6 70.6 +0.03 25
71 Bowling Green MAC 58.1 53.1 -3.6 63.2 -0.46 10
72 San José State MWC 59.3 51.5 -5.9 67.1 -0.2 16
73 Washington State PAC 59.8 64.1 +12 55.5 -0.97 9
74 Illinois B1G 59.8 55.6 +-0 64.1 -0.4 8
75 East Carolina AAC 59.9 59 +4.9 60.8 -0.62 2
76 Jacksonville State CUSA 60.2 52.9 -3.8 67.5 -0.18 15
77 South Alabama SBC 60.4 52.5 -4.4 68.3 -0.12 16
78 Fresno State PAC 60.5 54.1 -2.2 66.9 -0.22 13
79 Rice AAC 60.6 50.6 -7.1 70.5 +0.02 20
80 Florida SEC 60.6 61.9 +8.9 59.3 -0.71 3
81 Ohio MAC 61 59.8 +5.9 62.3 -0.52 3
82 Missouri SEC 61.1 51.7 -5.5 70.4 +0.01 19
83 Toledo MAC 61.5 63.5 +11.2 59.5 -0.7 4
84 Tennessee SEC 61.9 58.7 +4.4 65 -0.34 6
85 Tulane AAC 62 60.5 +6.9 63.5 -0.44 3
86 Cincinnati B12 62 58.6 +4.2 65.5 -0.31 7
87 Navy AAC 62.2 61.3 +8.1 63.2 -0.46 2
88 Utah B12 62.3 59.7 +5.8 64.9 -0.35 5
89 Baylor B12 62.6 60.2 +6.5 65 -0.34 5
90 Georgia Tech ACC 63 59.4 +5.4 66.5 -0.24 7
91 Colorado B12 63.5 56.8 +1.7 70.2 +0 13
92 Louisiana SBC 63.7 54.9 -1 72.4 +0.15 18
93 Old Dominion SBC 63.9 53.4 -3.1 74.3 +0.27 21
94 Miami (OH) MAC 64.2 57.5 +2.6 71 +0.05 14
95 Rutgers B1G 64.8 59.9 +6.1 69.7 -0.03 10
96 Texas A&M SEC 65.2 59.2 +5.1 71.3 +0.07 12
97 Vanderbilt SEC 65.4 61.4 +8.2 69.5 -0.05 8
98 Michigan B1G 66.1 61.2 +8 71 +0.05 10
99 Iowa B1G 66.2 65.1 +13.5 67.3 -0.19 2
100 Minnesota B1G 66.3 62.8 +10.3 69.8 -0.02 7
101 Army AAC 66.5 69.4 +19.6 63.7 -0.43 6
102 Nebraska B1G 66.6 66.4 +15.4 66.8 -0.23 0
103 Iowa State B12 66.8 49.2 -9.1 84.3 +0.93 35 ⚡
104 UNLV MWC 67.2 65.6 +14.2 68.8 -0.09 3
105 Sam Houston CUSA 67.3 60.6 +7.1 74 +0.25 13
106 Clemson ACC 67.4 72.5 +24 62.3 -0.52 10
107 Georgia SEC 67.7 62.4 +9.6 72.9 +0.18 11
108 Kansas State B12 68.9 61.1 +7.8 76.6 +0.42 16
109 South Carolina SEC 69 70 +20.4 68 -0.14 2
110 Texas State PAC 70.2 66.4 +15.3 74 +0.25 8
111 Texas Tech B12 70.8 68.6 +18.5 73 +0.18 4
112 Virginia Tech ACC 71.1 69.2 +19.2 72.9 +0.18 4
113 Louisville ACC 71.2 67.1 +16.3 75.3 +0.33 8
114 Oregon B1G 71.2 78.5 +32.5 64 -0.41 15
115 Arizona State B12 71.3 70.6 +21.3 71.9 +0.11 1
116 Northern Illinois MWC 71.7 58 +3.4 85.3 +0.99 27
117 Syracuse ACC 71.9 62.7 +10 81.2 +0.72 19
118 LSU SEC 72.2 66.1 +14.9 78.2 +0.53 12
119 USC B1G 72.2 64.3 +12.3 80.1 +0.65 16
120 Kansas B12 72.6 75.6 +28.3 69.6 -0.04 6
121 TCU B12 74.1 70.9 +21.8 77.2 +0.46 6
122 Indiana B1G 74.7 71.3 +22.2 78.2 +0.52 7
123 SMU ACC 75.9 74.9 +27.4 77 +0.44 2
124 James Madison SBC 76.1 75.5 +28.2 76.7 +0.42 1
125 Notre Dame Ind 77.1 84.2 +40.5 70 -0.01 14
126 Memphis AAC 77.4 83.1 +39 71.7 +0.1 11
127 Boise State PAC 77.7 71 +21.8 84.5 +0.93 14
128 Penn State B1G 78.3 73.5 +25.4 83.1 +0.84 10
129 Alabama SEC 78.6 82.3 +37.9 74.9 +0.31 7
130 BYU B12 79 73.9 +26 84.1 +0.91 10
131 Miami ACC 79.6 74.7 +27.1 84.5 +0.94 10
132 Texas SEC 83.2 85.9 +43 80.4 +0.67 6
133 Ole Miss SEC 97.9 95.8 +57.1 100 +1.95 4
134 Ohio State B1G 98 100 +63 95.9 +1.68 4
⚡ Split > 30 — GC and MC disagree significantly. These teams are worth a closer look.