Fresno State at Washington State - 2026 Matchup Preview
Fresno State logo

Fresno State Bulldogs at Washington State Cougars

Washington State logo
Saturday, October 3rd 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Martin Stadium - Pullman, WA  (Pac-12)

 
Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Matt Entz (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (26 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 3.8 (#32)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
WSU 3rd straight Home Game
WSU is playing their 5th straight game
FRES is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Fresno State -0.5  (SP+ WSU -2)

Projected Score: FRES: 23 - WSU: 22 (45)
FRES Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
FRES Travel: 698 miles
Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kirby Moore (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (27 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#75)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
 
Fresno State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Fresno State at USC+17.5
Sat 9/12Fresno State vs Sacramento State-9.5
Sat 9/19Fresno State at San José State-16.5
Sat 9/26Fresno State vs Rice-20.5
Sat 10/3Fresno State at Washington State-0.5
Sat 10/10Fresno State vs Boise State-1.5
Sat 10/17Fresno State at San Diego State+5.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/31Fresno State vs Oregon State-16
Sat 11/7Fresno State at Utah State-5.5
Sat 11/14Fresno State at Texas State+4
Sat 11/21Fresno State vs Colorado State-17
Sat 11/28Fresno State vs TBD-25.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Washington State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Washington State at Washington+18
Sat 9/12Washington State at Kansas State+10
Sat 9/19Washington State vs Duquesne-22.5
Sat 9/26Washington State vs Arizona+9
Sat 10/3Washington State vs Fresno State+0.5
Fri 10/9Washington State at Utah State-2.5
Sat 10/17Washington State at Oregon State-8
Sat 10/24Washington State vs Boise State+1.5
Sat 10/31Washington State at San Diego State+8.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/14Washington State vs Colorado State-14
Sat 11/21Washington State at Texas State+6.5
Sat 11/28Washington State vs TBD-22.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES#106 (.11)39% (111)25.838% (120)2.79 (102)17141% (78)1833.29 (111)#41 (.11)39% (32)18.843% (78)35% (13)3.26 (33)60.61.52
WSU#92 (.13)42% (73)22.543% (69)2.82 (92)12941% (73)2103.93 (49)#21 (.07)40% (55)20.244% (93)37% (27)3.14 (27)56.11.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Offense1325.826.338.6%3.291.5193541711834.653%45%38%41%15%.11
WSU Defense1320.216.740.5%3.140.8 - - - - - 51%47%44%37%15%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FRES Defense1318.824.838.9%3.262 - - - - - 50%49%43%35%17%.11
WSU Offense1322.526.841.9%3.931.6203401292103.949%50%43%41%16%.13

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Fresno State1332:1918.936%43%6.660.61.525.21.8333.6
Washington State1332:2319.538%71%6.756.11.60.85.22.4029
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Offense1353% (40)38% (120)37.1170.74.622 (49).02 (114)2.79 (102)73% (57)10% (87)1.01 (50)
WSU Defense1351% (87)44% (93) - - - - .08 (55)2.97 (80)71% (70)10% (52)0.83 (12)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FRES Defense1350% (62)43% (78) - - - - .09 (61)3 (92)74% (91)10% (70)0.82 (8)
WSU Offense1349% (76)43% (69)33.5129.53.916 (122).09 (78)2.82 (92)68% (95)9% (61)0.85 (118)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Offense1345% (99)41% (78)18.428.7183.46.41014 (75)13 (127).25 (64)1.5 (77)33% (97)30% (72).31 (69)5% (45)2 (86)
WSU Defense1347% (47)37% (27) - - - - - - 6.11 (16)1.4 (18)31% (68)23% (7).06 (2)5% (118)1.9 (27)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FRES Defense1349% (76)35% (13) - - - - - - 20 (12).15 (25)1.6 (94)33% (43)27% (33).19 (24)8% (13)1.8 (18)
WSU Offense1350% (64)41% (73)20.131.3210.46.710.519 (61)15 (108).21 (94)1.4 (122)32% (76)27% (100).15 (123)7% (92)1.9 (117)

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 2.37  #56
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 15.14  #73
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 12.77  #43
2026 Talent Rating: 610.00  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #104
Fresno State's 2026 Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Fresno State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8  #69
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #100
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #37

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 597.13
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.61

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 2.37   Washington State: 1.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: 1.8   Washington State: 3.8




Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 1.72  #101
Washington State's Offense Rating: 11.46  #105
Washington State's Defense Rating: 16.81  #87
2026 Talent Rating: 587.00  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #104
Washington State's 2026 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Washington State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8  #63
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #86
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #32

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 597.13
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.61


Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Fresno State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 23
Washington State 22


Projected Total Points: 45
Washington State Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.7

Washington State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Fresno State17Washington State25Washington State -3.5Washington State60.5Under
202212/17Fresno State29Washington State6Fresno State -5.5Fresno State54.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Washington State110 Overs
Fresno State112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#56) FRES at (#101) WSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFRESWSU
Game ControlGC #52 #30
Momentum ControlMC #17 #47
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #56 #101
SP+SP+ #69 #63
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #81 #84
Blue ChipsBC% #104 #104
Fresno State Notes
(3/1) Vibes: Good, 9-4 LY solid, Off must improve
(3/1) Year 2 under Entz & staff. Def > Off in 1st year
(3/1) QB Mandal vs Martin (MD). Both very inexp'd
(3/1) RB Donelson + Luke good duo, Thomas (BU) add
(3/1) WR Freeman good, have options. TE portal (NIU)
(3/1) OL decent LY, 3 really good starters back, depth
(3/1) Run Def must improve, DL is ? but has exp
(3/1) LB were very young LY but must improve
(3/1) CB Harris an AA, good #2 & S are decent. Top unit
Fresno State Injury Report
Washington State Notes
(3/2) Vibes: Decent, Moore era could bowl year 1
(3/2) QB Dugger vs Pinnick (FCS) both mobile.
(3/2) RB 3 w good exp, avg prod. Vorhees TO issues
(3/2) WR Freeman back, Dees (FCS) also good exp/prod
(3/2) OL is ?, 2 FT starters, 3 PT, all with very ? grades
(3/2) DL better, has decent exp/prod + size. 10 portals
(3/2) DBs CB 2 decent starters, 1 at S of the 8 portals
(2/24) HC K Moore was OC at Mizzu, grew up in Wash.
(2/2) Reset w/ Moore, Rogers 1 yr & out (Iowa St)
(2/2) Roster gutted by portal, 39 out, most starters
Washington State Injury Report
Fresno State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FRES OffWSU Def
Game ControlGC #56 #26
Momentum ControlMC #39 #41
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #111 #55
ExplosiveExp #54 #4
PPAPPA #106 #21
PowerPwr #73 #87
SP+SP+ #100 #32
Pts POPPO #111 #27
HavocHav #64 #98
Fresno State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FRES OffWSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #120 #93
Run ExplRExp #50 #12
PPAExp #114 #55
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #102 #80
Stuff RateStuff #90 #79
TackleTak - NR
Fresno State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FRES OffWSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #78 #27
Pass ExplPExl #77 #18
PPAExp #64 #16
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #87 #52
DB HavocDB #45 #118
Washington State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatWSU OffFRES Def
Game ControlGC #30 #48
Momentum ControlMC #54 #13
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #73 #32
ExplosiveExp #133 #25
PPAPPA #92 #41
PowerPwr #105 #43
SP+SP+ #86 #37
Pts POPPO #49 #33
HavocHav #73 #30
Washington State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
WSU OffFRES Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #69 #78
Run ExplRExp #118 #8
PPAExp #78 #61
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #92 #92
Stuff RateStuff #97 #50
TackleTak - NR
Washington State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatWSU OffFRES Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #73 #13
Pass ExplPExl #122 #94
PPAExp #94 #25
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #61 #70
DB HavocDB #92 #13
Program Comparison
WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Martin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Washington State beat Fresno State in 2024 (25-17)

  
FRES's OC Josh Davis (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Khristian Martin (Tr)111765%105106.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rayshon Luke11069966.469
Tariq Thomas (Tr)13160234.649
Bryson Donelson14258354.157
Brandon Ramirez6027134.519
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josiah Freeman52642612.351
Ezekiel Avit2825509.141
Rayshon Luke3622826.323
Jahlil McClain13169113.043

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC Nick Benedetto (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Simeon Harris537105
Tytus Khajavi373110
K'Vion Thunderbird322013
Jahzon Jacks327430
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jahzon Jacks327430
Deijon Laffitte275303
Simeon Harris537105
Ryan Wilson252104
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Simeon Harris537105
Ryan Wilson252104
K'Vion Thunderbird322013

WSU's OC Matt Miller (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Pinnick (Tr)24034570%320632109.3
Julian Dugger2633%39006.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kirby Vorhees13857654.246
Caden Pinnick (Tr)12543733.527
Maxwell Woods3622506.348
Leo Pulalasi3820505.445
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tony Freeman54588310.948
Jordan Dees (Tr)36508314.135
Trey Leckner2317437.632
Maxwell Woods1814808.233

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Trent Bray (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Thomas (Tr)591006
Paul Hutson III (Tr)376330
Nylan Brown (Tr)373030
Khamari Terrell (Tr)333013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Paul Hutson III (Tr)376330
Linus Zunk (Tr)154340
DJ Warner (Tr)62231
Ben Beatty31100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Thomas (Tr)591006
Jalil Tucker (Tr)251015
Khamari Terrell (Tr)333013