Colorado State at Fresno State - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Colorado State Rams at Fresno State Bulldogs

Fresno State logo
Saturday, November 21st 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Bulldog Stadium - Fresno, CA  (Pac-12)

 
Rams (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jim Mora (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (17 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#93)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 4)
CSU 2nd straight Road Game
FRES is playing their 4th straight game
CSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Fresno State -17  (SP+ FRES -17)

Projected Score: CSU: 16 - FRES: 33 (48)
FRES Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
CSU Travel: 831 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bulldogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Matt Entz (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (27 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.2 - 3.8 (#32)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
 
Colorado State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Colorado State vs Wyoming-1
Sat 9/12Colorado State vs Southern Utah-11
Sat 9/19Colorado State vs BYU+23
Sat 9/26Colorado State at UTSA+17
Sat 10/3Colorado State vs Oregon State-1.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/17Colorado State at Texas State+18.5
Sat 10/24Colorado State vs San Diego State+15
Sat 10/31Colorado State at Utah State+9.5
Sat 11/7Colorado State vs Boise State+13
Sat 11/14Colorado State at Washington State+14
Sat 11/21Colorado State at Fresno State+17
Sat 11/28Colorado State vs TBD-11

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
Fresno State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Fresno State at USC+17.5
Sat 9/12Fresno State vs Sacramento State-9.5
Sat 9/19Fresno State at San José State-16.5
Sat 9/26Fresno State vs Rice-20.5
Sat 10/3Fresno State at Washington State-0.5
Sat 10/10Fresno State vs Boise State-1.5
Sat 10/17Fresno State at San Diego State+5.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/31Fresno State vs Oregon State-16
Sat 11/7Fresno State at Utah State-5.5
Sat 11/14Fresno State at Texas State+4
Sat 11/21Fresno State vs Colorado State-17
Sat 11/28Fresno State vs TBD-25.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU#95 (.13)40% (98)18.544% (66)2.97 (63)10838% (110)2163.52 (87)#117 (.24)45% (118)30.846% (106)46% (116)4.03 (103)56.31.71.3
FRES#106 (.11)39% (111)25.838% (120)2.79 (102)17141% (78)1833.29 (111)#41 (.11)39% (32)18.843% (78)35% (13)3.26 (33)60.61.52
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FRES0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Offense1218.516.640.3%3.521.7183241082163.645%54%44%38%19%.13
FRES Defense1318.815.338.9%3.262 - - - - - 50%49%43%35%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Defense1230.83645.3%4.031.3 - - - - - 57%42%46%46%13%.24
FRES Offense1325.826.538.6%3.291.5193541711834.653%45%38%41%15%.11

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado State1226:5018.333%47%5.856.31.71.33.81.3126
Fresno State1332:1918.936%43%6.660.61.525.21.8333.6
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Offense1245% (107)44% (66)30.3108.33.613 (70).09 (79)2.97 (63)59% (132)12% (121)0.9 (96)
FRES Defense1350% (62)43% (78) - - - - .09 (61)3 (92)74% (91)10% (70)0.82 (8)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Defense1257% (131)46% (106) - - - - .17 (105)3.26 (123)77% (109)7% (129)0.94 (59)
FRES Offense1353% (40)38% (120)37.1170.74.622 (49).02 (114)2.79 (102)73% (57)10% (87)1.01 (50)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Offense1254% (29)38% (110)20.332.8215.96.610.715 (103)12 (7).2 (97)1.5 (91)35% (126)28% (87).25 (89)7% (110)2 (85)
FRES Defense1349% (76)35% (13) - - - - - - 20 (12).15 (25)1.6 (94)33% (43)27% (33).19 (24)8% (13)1.8 (18)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Defense1242% (7)46% (116) - - - - - - 8 (31).38 (120)1.7 (123)27% (129)35% (125).34 (94)6% (57)1.9 (31)
FRES Offense1345% (99)41% (78)18.428.7183.46.41014 (75)13 (127).25 (64)1.5 (77)33% (97)30% (72).31 (69)5% (45)2 (86)

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -9.35  #111
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 9.89  #111
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 19.24  #109
2026 Talent Rating: 623.00  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 375%  #58
Colorado State's 2026 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Colorado State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6  #124
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #120
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9  #105

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 597.13
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.61

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -9.35   Fresno State: 4.585

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -15.6   Fresno State: 1.8




Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: 4.585  #56
Fresno State's Offense Rating: 15.14  #73
Fresno State's Defense Rating: 12.77  #43
2026 Talent Rating: 610.00  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #104
Fresno State's 2026 Expected Record: 8.2 - 3.8
Fresno State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8  #69
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0  #100
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #37

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 597.13
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.61


Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.6
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36

Colorado State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Fresno State 33
Colorado State 16


Projected Total Points: 48
Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.5
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Fresno State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/10Colorado State49Fresno State21Fresno State -5.5Colorado State47.5Over
202411/23Fresno State28Colorado State22Fresno State -3.5Fresno State43.5Over
202010/29Fresno State38Colorado State17Colorado State -2.5Fresno State58.0Under
201910/26Fresno State31Colorado State41Fresno State -13.5Colorado State57.0Over
201611/05Colorado State37Fresno State0Colorado State -13Colorado State58.5Under
201511/28Fresno State31Colorado State34Colorado State -8.5Fresno State60.5Over
201210/06Colorado State7Fresno State28
200812/20Fresno State35Colorado State40
200609/30Fresno State23Colorado State35
200310/04Colorado State34Fresno State10
200210/04Fresno State32Colorado State30
200110/13Colorado State22Fresno State25
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Fresno State534 Overs
Colorado State732 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 65 - 12 - 13 - 0
Road Teams6 - 61 - 50 - 31 - 2

(#111) CSU at (#56) FRES
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCSUFRES
Game ControlGC #132 #52
Momentum ControlMC #109 #17
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #111 #56
SP+SP+ #124 #69
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #76 #81
Blue ChipsBC% #58 #104
Colorado State Notes
(2/4) New staff under Mora, OC Tracy was PGC (UConn)
(2/4) QB1 Curry (PT LY) vs Farrar (UConn transfer)
(2/4) RB could get huge boost if D. Robinson is healthy
(2/4) WR has 4 guys with exp but none very productive
(2/4) OL huge ? only 4 have any exp, 5 portal adds
(2/4) DL took 5 portals, run def grades are awful
(2/4) LBs decent unit. Diomande (UConn) huge add
(2/4) DBs 5 portals, decent parts to work with
(2/4) Roster TO w 37 portals in/38 out + 22 croots
Colorado State Injury Report
Fresno State Notes
(3/1) Vibes: Good, 9-4 LY solid, Off must improve
(3/1) Year 2 under Entz & staff. Def > Off in 1st year
(3/1) QB Mandal vs Martin (MD). Both very inexp'd
(3/1) RB Donelson + Luke good duo, Thomas (BU) add
(3/1) WR Freeman good, have options. TE portal (NIU)
(3/1) OL decent LY, 3 really good starters back, depth
(3/1) Run Def must improve, DL is ? but has exp
(3/1) LB were very young LY but must improve
(3/1) CB Harris an AA, good #2 & S are decent. Top unit
Fresno State Injury Report
Colorado State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
CSU OffFRES Def
Game ControlGC #124 #48
Momentum ControlMC #133 #13
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #98 #32
ExplosiveExp #98 #25
PPAPPA #95 #41
PowerPwr #111 #43
SP+SP+ #120 #37
Pts POPPO #87 #33
HavocHav #125 #30
Colorado State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
CSU OffFRES Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #66 #78
Run ExplRExp #96 #8
PPAExp #79 #61
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #63 #92
Stuff RateStuff #76 #50
TackleTak - NR
Colorado State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
CSU OffFRES Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #110 #13
Pass ExplPExl #91 #94
PPAExp #97 #25
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #121 #70
DB HavocDB #110 #13
Fresno State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatFRES OffCSU Def
Game ControlGC #56 #134
Momentum ControlMC #39 #94
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #111 #118
ExplosiveExp #54 #77
PPAPPA #106 #117
PowerPwr #73 #109
SP+SP+ #100 #105
Pts POPPO #111 #103
HavocHav #64 #116
Fresno State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FRES OffCSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #120 #106
Run ExplRExp #50 #59
PPAExp #114 #105
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #102 #123
Stuff RateStuff #90 #121
TackleTak - NR
Fresno State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatFRES OffCSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #78 #116
Pass ExplPExl #77 #123
PPAExp #64 #120
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #87 #129
DB HavocDB #45 #57
Program Comparison
FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

CSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bulldog Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat Fresno State last year (49-21)
Fresno State beat Colorado State in 2024 (28-22)

  
CSU's OC Pryce Tracy (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darius Curry7010765%740576.9
Ksaan Farrar (Tr)111861%84004.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Brown3226228.249
Oliver Lundberg-Coleman2313816.017
Terrence Smith Jr. (Tr)147515.421
Durell Robinson (Tr)357119.054
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tommy Maher32358011.235
Javonte Vereen (Tr)21305514.550
Lavon Brown22244011.131
Jordan Mosley (Tr)8168121.075

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Tyson Summers (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Oumar Diomande (Tr)1168551
Jace Bellah581020
Elijah Mc-Cantos (Tr)521002
Jaseim Mitchell293110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Oumar Diomande (Tr)1168551
Stephon Wright (Tr)284232
Jaseim Mitchell293110
Robby Harrison (Tr)162110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Blocker230013
AJ Noland190042
Elijah Mc-Cantos (Tr)521002

FRES's OC Josh Davis (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Khristian Martin (Tr)111765%105106.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rayshon Luke11069966.469
Tariq Thomas (Tr)13160234.649
Bryson Donelson14258354.157
Brandon Ramirez6027134.519
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josiah Freeman52642612.351
Ezekiel Avit2825509.141
Rayshon Luke3622826.323
Jahlil McClain13169113.043

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC Nick Benedetto (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Simeon Harris537105
Tytus Khajavi373110
K'Vion Thunderbird322013
Jahzon Jacks327430
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jahzon Jacks327430
Deijon Laffitte275303
Simeon Harris537105
Ryan Wilson252104
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Simeon Harris537105
Ryan Wilson252104
K'Vion Thunderbird322013