Boise State at Washington State - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Boise State Broncos at Washington State Cougars

Washington State logo
Saturday, October 24th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Martin Stadium - Pullman, WA  (Pac-12)

 
Broncos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Spencer Danielson (24 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 3.9 (#50)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)
BSU coming off BYE
WSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Boise State -1.5  (SP+ WSU -1)

Projected Score: BSU: 24 - WSU: 22 (46)
BSU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
BSU Travel: 221 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kirby Moore (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (27 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#75)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 3)
 
Boise State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Boise State at Oregon+24.5
Sat 9/12Boise State vs Memphis-0.5
Sat 9/19Boise State vs South Dakota-26.5
Sat 9/26Boise State at Western Michigan-4
Sat 10/3Boise State vs Utah State-11.5
Sat 10/10Boise State at Fresno State+1.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/24Boise State at Washington State-1.5
Sat 10/31Boise State vs Texas State-2.5
Sat 11/7Boise State at Colorado State-13
Sat 11/14Boise State vs Oregon State-17
Sat 11/21Boise State vs San Diego State-0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Washington State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Washington State at Washington+18
Sat 9/12Washington State at Kansas State+10
Sat 9/19Washington State vs Duquesne-22.5
Sat 9/26Washington State vs Arizona+9
Sat 10/3Washington State vs Fresno State+0.5
Fri 10/9Washington State at Utah State-2.5
Sat 10/17Washington State at Oregon State-8
Sat 10/24Washington State vs Boise State+1.5
Sat 10/31Washington State at San Diego State+8.5
— Bye Week —
Sat 11/14Washington State vs Colorado State-14
Sat 11/21Washington State at Texas State+6.5
Sat 11/28Washington State vs TBD-22.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU#44 (.2)42% (77)29.943% (80)3.11 (39)17941% (83)2453.66 (73)#53 (.12)36% (14)24.141% (50)33% (6)4.14 (111)59.41.51.6
WSU#92 (.13)42% (73)22.543% (69)2.82 (92)12941% (73)2103.93 (49)#21 (.07)40% (55)20.244% (93)37% (27)3.14 (27)56.11.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Offense1429.919.841.8%3.661.5224241792454.651%47%43%41%14%.2
WSU Defense1320.216.740.5%3.140.8 - - - - - 51%47%44%37%15%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Defense1424.123.836.5%4.141.6 - - - - - 52%46%41%33%17%.12
WSU Offense1322.526.841.9%3.931.6203401292103.949%50%43%41%16%.13

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boise State1432:5022.146%51%6.959.41.51.662330.6
Washington State1332:2319.538%71%6.756.11.60.85.22.4029
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Offense1451% (51)43% (80)39.3179.44.629 (30).16 (46)3.11 (39)79% (22)8% (33)1 (55)
WSU Defense1351% (87)44% (93) - - - - .08 (55)2.97 (80)71% (70)10% (52)0.83 (12)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Defense1452% (93)41% (50) - - - - .2 (120)2.98 (88)67% (39)11% (28)1.22 (134)
WSU Offense1349% (76)43% (69)33.5129.53.916 (122).09 (78)2.82 (92)68% (95)9% (61)0.85 (118)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Offense1447% (83)41% (83)19.633.7244.97.312.523 (22)14 (88).27 (62)1.6 (43)33% (91)31% (58).28 (74)6% (65)1.8 (124)
WSU Defense1347% (47)37% (27) - - - - - - 6.11 (16)1.4 (18)31% (68)23% (7).06 (2)5% (118)1.9 (27)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Defense1446% (45)33% (6) - - - - - - 14 (22).08 (7)1.7 (116)37% (4)28% (49).22 (33)6% (81)2.1 (87)
WSU Offense1350% (64)41% (73)20.131.3210.46.710.519 (61)15 (108).21 (94)1.4 (122)32% (76)27% (100).15 (123)7% (92)1.9 (117)

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 3.22  #54
Boise State's Offense Rating: 18.08  #41
Boise State's Defense Rating: 14.87  #63
2026 Talent Rating: 644.00  #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #104
Boise State's 2026 Expected Record: 7.1 - 3.9
Boise State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1  #67
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1  #55
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #60

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 597.13
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.61

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 3.22   Washington State: 1.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 3.1   Washington State: 3.8




Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 1.72  #101
Washington State's Offense Rating: 11.46  #105
Washington State's Defense Rating: 16.81  #87
2026 Talent Rating: 587.00  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #104
Washington State's 2026 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Washington State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8  #63
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #86
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #32

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 597.13
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.61


Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Boise State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 24
Washington State 22


Projected Total Points: 46
Washington State Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.7

Washington State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Boise State45Washington State24Boise State -6.5Boise State66.0Over
201709/09Washington State47Boise State44Washington State -7.5Boise State58.0Over
201609/10Boise State31Washington State28Boise State -12Washington State74.5Under
200109/08Boise State20Washington State41
200010/06Washington State42Boise State35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Washington State312 Overs
Boise State221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 11 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams1 - 42 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#54) BSU at (#101) WSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBSUWSU
Game ControlGC #81 #30
Momentum ControlMC #65 #47
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #54 #101
SP+SP+ #67 #63
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #72 #84
Blue ChipsBC% #104 #104
Boise State Notes
(3/1) Vibes: Good, schedule is tougher + new Pac 12
(3/1) RB duo of Riley & Gaines one of CFBs best
(3/1) WR rebuild Bates & Ford have exp, Morris portal
(3/1) OL inconsistent LY, returns 3, have depth. Decent
(3/1) DL good G5, Virgin-Morgan an AA, have depth
(3/1) DB portal focus, added 4, should good again
(3/1) Playing Oregon, Memphis & S Dakota OOC.
(3/1) QB Madsen a 2 yr starter, has his OC back TY
Boise State Injury Report
Washington State Notes
(3/2) Vibes: Decent, Moore era could bowl year 1
(3/2) QB Dugger vs Pinnick (FCS) both mobile.
(3/2) RB 3 w good exp, avg prod. Vorhees TO issues
(3/2) WR Freeman back, Dees (FCS) also good exp/prod
(3/2) OL is ?, 2 FT starters, 3 PT, all with very ? grades
(3/2) DL better, has decent exp/prod + size. 10 portals
(3/2) DBs CB 2 decent starters, 1 at S of the 8 portals
(2/24) HC K Moore was OC at Mizzu, grew up in Wash.
(2/2) Reset w/ Moore, Rogers 1 yr & out (Iowa St)
(2/2) Roster gutted by portal, 39 out, most starters
Washington State Injury Report
Boise State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
BSU OffWSU Def
Game ControlGC #105 #26
Momentum ControlMC #100 #41
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #77 #55
ExplosiveExp #47 #4
PPAPPA #44 #21
PowerPwr #41 #87
SP+SP+ #55 #32
Pts POPPO #73 #27
HavocHav #49 #98
Boise State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
BSU OffWSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #80 #93
Run ExplRExp #55 #12
PPAExp #46 #55
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #39 #80
Stuff RateStuff #33 #79
TackleTak - NR
Boise State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
BSU OffWSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #83 #27
Pass ExplPExl #43 #18
PPAExp #62 #16
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #33 #52
DB HavocDB #65 #118
Washington State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatWSU OffBSU Def
Game ControlGC #30 #52
Momentum ControlMC #54 #32
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #73 #14
ExplosiveExp #133 #129
PPAPPA #92 #53
PowerPwr #105 #63
SP+SP+ #86 #60
Pts POPPO #49 #111
HavocHav #73 #50
Washington State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
WSU OffBSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #69 #50
Run ExplRExp #118 #134
PPAExp #78 #120
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #92 #88
Stuff RateStuff #97 #61
TackleTak - NR
Washington State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatWSU OffBSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #73 #6
Pass ExplPExl #122 #116
PPAExp #94 #7
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #61 #28
DB HavocDB #92 #81
Program Comparison
WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

BSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Martin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Washington State in 2024 (45-24)

  
BSU's OC Nate Potter (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maddux Madsen17630258%23331897.7
Max Cutforth9516757%1059456.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Riley1951125105.877
Sire Gaines16181285.046
Juelz Goff (Tr)6927053.917
Harry Stewart III (Tr)219814.715
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Darren Morris (Tr)27508418.871
Ben Ford21325515.560
Cameron Bates18307117.144
Matt Wagner23246110.728

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC Erik Chinander (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boen Phelps664150
Jayden Virgin56136120
Jake Ripp433030
JeRico Washington Jr. (Tr)4321010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden Virgin56136120
Sterling Lane63310
Boen Phelps664150
Lopez Sanusi131100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JeRico Washington Jr. (Tr)4321010
Sherrod Smith141006
Jaden Mickey387115

WSU's OC Matt Miller (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Pinnick (Tr)24034570%320632109.3
Julian Dugger2633%39006.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kirby Vorhees13857654.246
Caden Pinnick (Tr)12543733.527
Maxwell Woods3622506.348
Leo Pulalasi3820505.445
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tony Freeman54588310.948
Jordan Dees (Tr)36508314.135
Trey Leckner2317437.632
Maxwell Woods1814808.233

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Trent Bray (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Thomas (Tr)591006
Paul Hutson III (Tr)376330
Nylan Brown (Tr)373030
Khamari Terrell (Tr)333013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Paul Hutson III (Tr)376330
Linus Zunk (Tr)154340
DJ Warner (Tr)62231
Ben Beatty31100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Thomas (Tr)591006
Jalil Tucker (Tr)251015
Khamari Terrell (Tr)333013