Colorado State at UTSA - 2026 Matchup Preview
Colorado State logo

Colorado State Rams at UTSA Roadrunners

UTSA logo
Saturday, September 26th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Alamodome - San Antonio, TX

 
Rams (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jim Mora (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (17 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#93)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 4)
UTSA is playing their 4th straight game
CSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UTSA -10.5  (SP+ UTSA -7)

Projected Score: CSU: 25 - UTSA: 35 (60)
UTSA Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
CSU Travel: 856 miles, 1 hrs behind
Roadrunners (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (53 - 26)
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (46 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#44)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
 
Colorado State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Colorado State vs Wyoming-4
Sat 9/12Colorado State vs Southern Utah-14.5
Sat 9/19Colorado State vs BYU+21.5
Sat 9/26Colorado State at UTSA+10.5
Sat 10/3Colorado State vs Oregon State-0
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/17Colorado State at Texas State+9
Sat 10/24Colorado State vs San Diego State+7
Sat 10/31Colorado State at Utah State+3.5
Sat 11/7Colorado State vs Boise State+11.5
Sat 11/14Colorado State at Washington State+6
Sat 11/21Colorado State at Fresno State+11.5
Sat 11/28Colorado State vs TBD-14.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
UTSA's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5UTSA vs UT Rio Grande Valley-22.5
Sat 9/12UTSA at Texas State+1
Sat 9/19UTSA at Texas+28.5
Sat 9/26UTSA vs Colorado State-10.5
Sat 10/3UTSA at Rice-12.5
Thu 10/8UTSA vs South Florida-2
Sat 10/17UTSA vs Navy-2
Sat 10/24UTSA at Tulane+0.5
— Bye Week —
Thu 11/5UTSA at Florida Atlantic-3.5
Sat 11/14UTSA vs North Texas-9
Sat 11/21UTSA at UAB-14
Sat 11/28UTSA vs Tulsa-5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU#95 (.13)40% (98)18.544% (66)2.97 (63)10838% (110)2163.52 (87)#117 (.24)45% (118)30.846% (106)46% (116)4.03 (103)56.31.71.3
UTSA#31 (.23)45% (35)35.545% (47)2.81 (94)17447% (21)2474.23 (27)#82 (.18)40% (46)28.840% (44)40% (49)4.2 (115)68.70.91.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Offense1218.516.640.3%3.521.7183241082163.645%54%44%38%19%.13
UTSA Defense1328.825.539.6%4.21.4 - - - - - 50%49%40%40%19%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Defense1230.83645.3%4.031.3 - - - - - 57%42%46%46%13%.24
UTSA Offense1335.545.845.5%4.230.9224211742475.146%52%45%47%16%.23

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado State1226:5018.333%47%5.856.31.71.33.81.3126
UTSA1331:5121.840%46%7.368.70.91.45.91.8231.8
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Offense1245% (107)44% (66)30.3108.33.613 (70).09 (79)2.97 (63)59% (132)12% (121)0.9 (96)
UTSA Defense1350% (65)40% (44) - - - - .12 (85)2.86 (62)64% (20)11% (20)0.97 (73)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Defense1257% (131)46% (106) - - - - .17 (105)3.26 (123)77% (109)7% (129)0.94 (59)
UTSA Offense1346% (100)45% (47)34.2174.15.121 (49).19 (35)2.81 (94)73% (61)10% (102)1.17 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Offense1254% (29)38% (110)20.332.8215.96.610.715 (103)12 (7).2 (97)1.5 (91)35% (126)28% (87).25 (89)7% (110)2 (85)
UTSA Defense1349% (77)40% (49) - - - - - - 11 (75).29 (85)1.8 (131)35% (18)28% (47).3 (69)7% (20)2.2 (123)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Defense1242% (7)46% (116) - - - - - - 8 (31).38 (120)1.7 (123)27% (129)35% (125).34 (94)6% (57)1.9 (31)
UTSA Offense1352% (37)47% (21)22.934.4247.27.210.834 (33)7 (34).33 (43)1.5 (96)30% (47)36% (21).45 (21)6% (55)2.2 (15)

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -9.36  #111
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 9.90  #112
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 19.26  #109
2026 Talent Rating: 623.00  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #60
Colorado State's 2026 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Colorado State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.3  #99
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8  #113
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0  #78

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 597.13
Average Power Five Talent: 872.28
Average FBS Talent: 677.28

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -9.36   UTSA: 1.635

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -8.3   UTSA: -1.5




UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 1.635  #72
UTSA's Offense Rating: 16.42  #59
UTSA's Defense Rating: 16.64  #82
2026 Talent Rating: 535.00  #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #60
UTSA's 2026 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
UTSA's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5  #73
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #47
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #102

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 513
Average Power Five Talent: 872.28
Average FBS Talent: 677.28


Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.6
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36

Colorado State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 35
Colorado State 25


Projected Total Points: 60
UTSA Scoring
Offense: 35.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.5

UTSA's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Colorado State16UTSA17UTSA -4.5Colorado State58.5Under
201609/10Colorado State23UTSA14Colorado State -10UTSA51.5Under
201509/26UTSA31Colorado State33Colorado State -9.5UTSA56.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTSA121 Overs
Colorado State212 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 22 - 10 - 12 - 0
Road Teams2 - 11 - 20 - 21 - 0

(#111) CSU at (#72) UTSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCSUUTSA
Game ControlGC #132 #65
Momentum ControlMC #109 #56
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #111 #72
SP+SP+ #99 #73
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #76 #95
Blue ChipsBC% #60 #60
Colorado State Notes
(2/4) New staff under Mora, OC Tracy was PGC (UConn)
(2/4) QB1 Curry (PT LY) vs Farrar (UConn transfer)
(2/4) RB could get huge boost if D. Robinson is healthy
(2/4) WR has 4 guys with exp but none very productive
(2/4) OL huge ? only 4 have any exp, 5 portal adds
(2/4) DL took 5 portals, run def grades are awful
(2/4) LBs decent unit. Diomande (UConn) huge add
(2/4) DBs 5 portals, decent parts to work with
(2/4) Roster TO w 37 portals in/38 out + 22 croots
Colorado State Injury Report
UTSA Notes
(2/17) Vibes: OK, two 7-6 seasons but McCown back
(2/17) QB McCown back (3rd yr starter). Depth is ?
(2/17) New OC Rick Bowie (WKU) runs a fun offense
(2/17) RB good w Henderson + depth. High (Cal) nice +
(2/17) WR Amador/Wilson good start, have depth/portals
(2/17) OL 3 back from good unit, 3 portals w no exp
(2/17) DL 7 portals + 4 w PT exp. Has parts/promise
(2/17) DBs look ?, 4 portals at S, CB needs solid #2
UTSA Injury Report
Colorado State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
CSU OffUTSA Def
Game ControlGC #124 #47
Momentum ControlMC #133 #84
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #98 #46
ExplosiveExp #98 #126
PPAPPA #95 #82
PowerPwr #112 #82
SP+SP+ #113 #102
Pts POPPO #87 #115
HavocHav #125 #18
Colorado State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
CSU OffUTSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #66 #44
Run ExplRExp #96 #73
PPAExp #79 #85
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #63 #62
Stuff RateStuff #76 #75
TackleTak - NR
Colorado State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
CSU OffUTSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #110 #49
Pass ExplPExl #91 #131
PPAExp #97 #85
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #121 #20
DB HavocDB #110 #20
UTSA on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUTSA OffCSU Def
Game ControlGC #80 #134
Momentum ControlMC #20 #94
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #35 #118
ExplosiveExp #23 #77
PPAPPA #31 #117
PowerPwr #59 #109
SP+SP+ #47 #78
Pts POPPO #27 #103
HavocHav #80 #116
UTSA Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
UTSA OffCSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #106
Run ExplRExp #6 #59
PPAExp #35 #105
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #94 #123
Stuff RateStuff #105 #121
TackleTak - NR
UTSA Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatUTSA OffCSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #21 #116
Pass ExplPExl #96 #123
PPAExp #43 #120
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #102 #129
DB HavocDB #55 #57
Program Comparison
UTSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

CSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alamodome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
UTSA beat Colorado State last year (17-16)

  
CSU's OC Pryce Tracy (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darius Curry7010765%740576.9
Ksaan Farrar (Tr)111861%84004.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Brown3226228.249
Oliver Lundberg-Coleman2313816.017
Terrence Smith Jr. (Tr)147515.421
Durell Robinson (Tr)357119.054
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tommy Maher32358011.235
Javonte Vereen (Tr)21305514.550
Lavon Brown22244011.131
Jordan Mosley (Tr)8168121.075

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Tyson Summers (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Oumar Diomande (Tr)1168551
Jace Bellah581020
Elijah Mc-Cantos (Tr)521002
Jaseim Mitchell293110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Oumar Diomande (Tr)1168551
Stephon Wright (Tr)284232
Jaseim Mitchell293110
Robby Harrison (Tr)162110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Blocker230013
AJ Noland190042
Elijah Mc-Cantos (Tr)521002

UTSA's OC Rick Bowie (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Owen McCown27640968%29903077.3
Brandon Tennison203459%199205.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Will Henderson III12586666.959
A'Marion Peterson4917733.614
Brandon High239814.322
Bryson Donnell208414.228
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
AJ Wilson30523417.477
David Amador4544349.845
Miles Campbell (Tr)21305214.552
DJ Allen2018939.543

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Tucker Jr.353040
Owen Pewee284061
Marcellus Wilkerson273111
Jakevian Rodgers232004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Baldwin (Tr)236444
James Walley Jr.196202
Timothy Huff Jr.31100
Marcellus Wilkerson273111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakevian Rodgers232004
Elijah Baldwin (Tr)236444
James Walley Jr.196202