Sam Houston at Texas Tech - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Sam Houston Bearkats at Texas Tech Red Raiders

Texas Tech logo
Saturday, September 26th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Jones AT&T Stadium - Lubbock, TX

 
Bearkats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Phil Longo (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 18 - 38 (15 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0.1 - 1.9 (#136)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
TTU 2nd straight Home Game
SHSU coming off BYE
TTU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Texas Tech -38  (SP+ TTU -55)
Projected Score: SHSU: 8 - TTU: 46 (54)
TTU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 60%
SHSU Travel: 420 miles
Red Raiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (35 - 18)
Avg Score : 39 - 11 (48 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11.9 - 0.1 (#1)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
 
Sam Houston's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/12Sam Houston vs Tulsa+16.5————
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/26Sam Houston at Texas Tech+38————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
Texas Tech's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian-37————
Sat 9/12Texas Tech at Oregon State-31.5————
Sat 9/19Texas Tech vs Houston-22.5————
Sat 9/26Texas Tech vs Sam Houston-38————
Sat 10/3Texas Tech at Colorado-28.5————
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/17Texas Tech vs Arizona State-24.5————
Sat 10/24Texas Tech at Cincinnati-23.5————
Sat 10/31Texas Tech vs Arizona-19.5————
Sat 11/7Texas Tech vs West Virginia-30————
Sat 11/14Texas Tech at Oklahoma State-20————
Sat 11/21Texas Tech at Baylor-22.5————
Sat 11/28Texas Tech vs TCU-22.5————
Record: 0–0Projected spreads in italics

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU#131 (.01)37% (120)17.840% (104)2.67 (117)13335% (127)1842.79 (129)#109 (.22)48% (129)37.847% (115)50% (134)3.85 (86)59.41.31.5
TTU#28 (.24)43% (61)39.443% (72)2.87 (80)18443% (51)2784 (41)#1 (-.09)30% (1)11.329% (1)31% (3)2.41 (2)55.71.32.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TTU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Offense1217.815.136.9%2.791.3173171331844.343%55%40%35%20%.01
TTU Defense1411.38.730.1%2.412.3 - - - - - 43%56%29%31%23%-.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Defense1237.83947.8%3.851.5 - - - - - 51%47%47%50%14%.22
TTU Offense1439.447.942.8%41.3234621842784.746%52%43%43%15%.24

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Sam Houston1228:3016.722%30%6.459.41.31.55.31.8326.8
Texas Tech1430:1022.749%50%6.855.71.32.37.62.9236
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Offense1243% (116)40% (104)30.8132.84.310 (122).07 (94)2.67 (117)66% (104)13% (128)1.09 (20)
TTU Defense1443% (5)29% (1) - - - - -.16 (1)1.94 (1)56% (3)15% (4)0.86 (17)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Defense1251% (79)47% (115) - - - - .15 (95)2.89 (72)68% (44)10% (62)0.96 (72)
TTU Offense1446% (97)43% (72)39.11844.730 (26).17 (41)2.87 (80)80% (15)9% (59)1.09 (21)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Offense1255% (19)35% (127)17.832.41845.710.412 (103)10 (60).01 (133)1.4 (130)35% (123)22% (134).01 (135)7% (105)2 (63)
TTU Defense1456% (132)31% (3) - - - - - - 17 (22)- (3)1.4 (9)39% (1)22% (2).06 (4)8% (10)1.8 (10)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Defense1247% (58)50% (134) - - - - - - 8 (100).36 (116)1.5 (51)27% (130)35% (125).17 (21)5% (114)1.8 (12)
TTU Offense1452% (38)43% (51)22.734.7277.6812.233 (5)10 (88).35 (38)1.6 (53)34% (108)33% (40).4 (28)6% (86)2.2 (24)

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -19.21  #134
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 4.63  #135
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 23.84  #127
2026 Talent Rating: 453.00  #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #103
Sam Houston's 2026 Expected Record: 0.1 - 1.9
Sam Houston's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -27.8  #135
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3  #129
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.8  #135

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 436.36
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.7

Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -19.21   Texas Tech: 30.09

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -27.8   Texas Tech: 27.6




Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 30.09  #3
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 29.00  #3
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 1.30  #3
2026 Talent Rating: 905.00  #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 999  #1
Texas Tech's 2026 Expected Record: 11.9 - 0.1
Texas Tech's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.6  #3
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3  #7
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.3  #3

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 766.38
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.7


Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.1
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

Sam Houston's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Texas Tech 46
Sam Houston 8

Projected Total Points: 54
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 39.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 47.9
Defense: 11.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.7

Texas Tech's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201509/05Texas Tech59Sam Houston45
200509/17Texas Tech80Sam Houston21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas Tech200 Overs
Sam Houston000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#134) SHSU at (#3) TTU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSHSUTTU
Game ControlGC #134 #3
Momentum ControlMC #131 #2
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #134 #3
SP+SP+ #135 #3
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #113 #26
Blue ChipsBC% #103 #1
Texas Tech Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Sky high, B12 favs, near lock for CFP
(2/3) HC McGuire still unsure but OC/DC combo great
(2/3) QB Sorsby huge upgrade. QB2 Hammond can play
(2/3) RB duo of Dickey & Williams best in CFB?
(2/3) WR has five w 25+ rec, 4 are portals. Good unit
(2/3) TE unit #1 in CFB? Carter is an All Amer, depth
(2/3) OL good unit, 3 starters back, 1 portal starter.
(2/3) DL still dominant unit, Def F7 near tops in CFB
(2/3) LB/DE mixed, great, productive veteran unit
(2/3) DBs also good, 3/4 LY starters back (#3 Pass Def)
(1/29) Early proj: Will be over 2 TD favs in every game?
Texas Tech Injury Report
Sam Houston on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
SHSU OffTTU Def
Game ControlGC #126 #5
Momentum ControlMC #104 #4
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #120 #1
ExplosiveExp #69 #19
PPAPPA #131 #1
PowerPwr #135 #3
SP+SP+ #129 #3
Pts POPPO #129 #2
HavocHav #132 #1
Sam Houston Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
SHSU OffTTU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #104 #1
Run ExplRExp #20 #17
PPAExp #94 #1
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #117 #1
Stuff RateStuff #131 #13
TackleTak - NR
Sam Houston Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat
SHSU OffTTU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #127 #3
Pass ExplPExl #130 #9
PPAExp #133 #3
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #128 #4
DB HavocDB #105 #10
Texas Tech on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTTU OffSHSU Def
Game ControlGC #3 #135
Momentum ControlMC #1 #131
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #61 #129
ExplosiveExp #21 #59
PPAPPA #28 #109
PowerPwr #3 #127
SP+SP+ #7 #135
Pts POPPO #41 #86
HavocHav #61 #100
Texas Tech Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
TTU OffSHSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #72 #115
Run ExplRExp #21 #72
PPAExp #41 #95
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #80 #72
Stuff RateStuff #59 #97
TackleTak - NR
Texas Tech Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatTTU OffSHSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #51 #134
Pass ExplPExl #53 #51
PPAExp #38 #116
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #59 #62
DB HavocDB #86 #114
Program Comparison
TTU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

SHSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jones AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SHSU's OC Zack Patterson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Landyn Locke7114150%765445.4
DJ Bailey2367%420014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Landan Brown8448755.863
Alijah Cason51002.012
Jerrian Parker5000.02
Shane Porter2-10-0.54
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Reed30460515.354
Grady O'Neill38392110.329
Kamari Maxwell22363416.545
Alijah Cason22244211.144

View Sam Houston's Full Roster

SHSU's DC Freddie Aughtry-Lindsay (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Bailey451102
Dylan Frazier414222
Dean Ford326220
Chauncey Chidi314300
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chauncey Chidi314300
Dean Ford326220
Dylan Frazier414222
She'Fon Boyd82110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Bailey451102
Dylan Frazier414222
Ca'lub Holloway291152

TTU's OC Mack Leftwich (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)20633562%27862658.3
Will Hammond6810863%668736.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Dickey2111138145.471
J'Koby Williams15486665.650
Brendan Sorsby (Tr)10058095.841
Will Hammond4329957.064
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Jones (Tr)471119923.887
Kenny Johnson (Tr)47658514.042
Coy Eakin49653613.342
Terrance Carter55624511.350

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Shiel Wood (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Roberts884035
John Curry734124
Austin Romaine (Tr)667172
Brenden Jordan592001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adam Trick (Tr)57128124
Trey White (Tr)47117121
Jamond Mathis (Tr)288663
Anthony Holmes Jr.4010574
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Roberts884035
Amier Boyd-Matthews262005
Brice Pollock474015