Maryland at Purdue - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Maryland Terrapins at Purdue Boilermakers

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Saturday, November 7th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Ross-Ade Stadium - West Lafayette, IN  (Big Ten)

 
Terrapins (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (37 - 49)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (18 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#74)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
Our Line: Maryland -2.5  (SP+ MD -6.5)
Projected Score: MD: 25 - PUR: 23 (48)
MD Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MD Travel: 539 miles
Boilermakers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (21 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#98)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 4) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
 
Maryland's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Maryland vs Howard-25.5
Sat 9/12Maryland at UConn-2
Sat 9/19Maryland vs Virginia Tech-5
Sat 9/26Maryland vs UCLA-1.5
Sat 10/3Maryland at Nebraska+6.5
Sat 10/10Maryland at Ohio State+30
Sat 10/17Maryland vs Rutgers-3
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/31Maryland vs Illinois+8.5
Sat 11/7Maryland at Purdue-2.5
Sat 11/14Maryland vs Wisconsin-4.5
Sat 11/21Maryland at USC+21
Sat 11/28Maryland vs Penn State+13

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule
Purdue's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Purdue vs Indiana State-20.5
Sat 9/12Purdue vs Wake Forest+8
Sat 9/19Purdue at UCLA+8.5
Sat 9/26Purdue vs Notre Dame+27
Sat 10/3Purdue at Illinois+18.5
Sat 10/10Purdue vs Minnesota+7
Sat 10/17Purdue vs Washington+22
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/31Purdue at Penn State+23
Sat 11/7Purdue vs Maryland+2.5
Sat 11/14Purdue at Iowa+22
Sat 11/21Purdue vs Wisconsin+0.5
Sat 11/28Purdue at Indiana+35.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD#85 (.15)40% (100)23.539% (105)2.83 (88)10641% (80)2563.39 (100)#58 (.13)44% (101)26.546% (105)43% (81)3.6 (62)55.81.21.8
PUR#104 (.11)43% (60)18.843% (71)2.94 (67)12643% (53)2173.06 (120)#125 (.27)48% (131)31.849% (128)48% (128)4.03 (106)46.81.80.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Offense1223.517.540.1%3.391.2183611062564.235%64%39%41%14%.15
PUR Defense1231.83048.3%4.030.8 - - - - - 55%43%49%48%15%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Defense1226.522.344.2%3.61.8 - - - - - 53%45%46%43%14%.13
PUR Offense1218.820.942.8%3.061.819344126217447%52%43%43%16%.11

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Maryland1226:5818.337%36%655.81.21.85.42.3429.5
Purdue1228:0119.338%60%4.846.81.80.85.32027.5
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Offense1235% (136)39% (105)25.3105.54.29 (107).04 (110)2.83 (88)73% (61)6% (5)1.02 (48)
PUR Defense1255% (125)49% (128) - - - - .18 (113)3.25 (122)78% (113)10% (70)0.86 (18)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Defense1253% (107)46% (105) - - - - .13 (89)3.06 (102)77% (106)8% (116)0.9 (39)
PUR Offense1247% (96)43% (71)31.3126.4411 (78).15 (52)2.94 (67)56% (136)10% (91)1.04 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Offense1264% (1)41% (80)23.740.9255.76.310.818 (61)9 (20).23 (77)1.5 (100)34% (118)37% (17).46 (19)8% (125)2 (81)
PUR Defense1243% (13)48% (128) - - - - - - 4 (123).4 (124)1.6 (102)28% (125)32% (96).26 (57)6% (75)1.9 (32)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Defense1245% (32)43% (81) - - - - - - 19 (1).16 (31)1.6 (75)29% (108)32% (101).32 (85)6% (62)1.9 (37)
PUR Offense1252% (39)43% (53)19.833.7217.26.51115 (86)13 (132).14 (117)1.4 (118)32% (87)36% (19).36 (50)6% (72)1.9 (98)

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 3.86  #62
Maryland's Offense Rating: 12.98  #69
Maryland's Defense Rating: 14.12  #57
2026 Talent Rating: 830.00  #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 10%  #39
Maryland's 2026 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Maryland's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.6  #75
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #90
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #55

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 916.78
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 3.86   Purdue: -0.455

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 0.6   Purdue: -6.1




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -0.455  #76
Purdue's Offense Rating: 14.17  #64
Purdue's Defense Rating: 18.98  #92
2026 Talent Rating: 794.00  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Purdue's 2026 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Purdue's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1  #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.9  #104
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9  #90

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 916.78
Average Power Five Talent: 910.63
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.3

Maryland's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Maryland 25
Purdue 23


Projected Total Points: 48
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.9
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Purdue's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/08Maryland29Purdue31Maryland -3Purdue59.5Over
201910/12Purdue40Maryland14Maryland -4Purdue52.0Over
201610/01Maryland50Purdue7Maryland -9Maryland55.0Over
200612/29Maryland24Purdue7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue223 Overs
Maryland210 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 12 - 11 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 31 - 20 - 11 - 1

(#62) MD at (#76) PUR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMDPUR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #62 #76
SP+SP+ #75 #90
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #52 #62
Blue ChipsBC% #39 #88
Maryland Notes
(2/14) Vibes: Low on Locksley, high on young talent
(3/11) RB all Fr LY, can Williams/Howard/Dalton break out?
(3/11) DE has big time talent, DT should find rotation
(3/3) Locksley back again? 4th lowest P4 portal class
(2/10) 16 starters back, #2 in CFB, 10 back on Defense
(2/3) LBs should be good, return 3 starters, 1 PT
(2/3) CBs good looking duo, S has exp but avg play
(2/2) QB Washington back, potential star. No depth
(2/2) WR best two are ODU/Wyo portals. Some depth
(2/2) OL looks rough. Some exp, less proven play
Maryland Injury Report
Purdue Notes
(2/26) WR Waseem/Owens good duo, best of 4 portals
(2/5) 2nd year staff w Odom. 10 straight losses in '25
(2/5) QB Brown isn't the answer, but best they've got
(2/5) RB has a good stable of 3 or 4 mostly portals.
(2/5) OL is a group of exp's portals w very low grades
(2/5) DL was awful LY, added 6 here, vital they improve
(2/5) LB w 3 portal adds but honestly don't see it
(2/5) DBs added 6, CBs could be good, S likely not
(2/5) If Odom can win with this he should be knighted
(2/5) Playing Wake & ND OOC is a terrible idea
Purdue Injury Report
Maryland on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
CategoryCat
MD OffPUR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #100 #131
ExplosiveExp #34 #48
PPAPPA #85 #125
PowerPwr #69 #92
SP+SP+ #90 #90
Pts POPPO #100 #106
HavocHav #51 #78
Maryland Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
CategoryCat
MD OffPUR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #105 #128
Run ExplRExp #48 #18
PPAExp #110 #113
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #88 #122
Stuff RateStuff #74 #78
TackleTak - NR
Maryland Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
CategoryCat
MD OffPUR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #80 #128
Pass ExplPExl #100 #102
PPAExp #77 #124
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #5 #70
DB HavocDB #125 #75
Purdue on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatPUR OffMD Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #60 #101
ExplosiveExp #73 #32
PPAPPA #104 #58
PowerPwr #64 #57
SP+SP+ #104 #55
Pts POPPO #120 #62
HavocHav #80 #104
Purdue Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
PUR OffMD Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #71 #105
Run ExplRExp #41 #39
PPAExp #52 #89
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #67 #102
Stuff RateStuff #76 #101
TackleTak - NR
Purdue Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatPUR OffMD Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #53 #81
Pass ExplPExl #118 #75
PPAExp #117 #31
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #91 #116
DB HavocDB #72 #62
Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'26 Profile: Remains Average G5

MD 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'26 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MD's OC Clint Trickett (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Malik Washington27347358%29631796.3
Devin Kargman (Tr)81747%74014.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeJuan Williams12850133.940
Malik Washington5531745.873
Iverson Howard3912503.210
Harry Dalton III (Tr)84405.521
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding (Tr)51667613.146
Chris Durr Jr. (Tr)46513411.249
DeJuan Williams4542619.555
Dorian Fleming4035138.848

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Ted Monachino (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Wingate1027221
Lavain Scruggs641013
Carlton Smith642140
Trey Reddick536202
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sidney Stewart3211772
Zahir Mathis359631
Trey Reddick536202
Nahsir Taylor193220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontay Joyner401008
Jamare Glasker326006
Amari Jackson (Tr)70004

PUR's OC Josh Henson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Browne19933859%21539106.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Travis Terrell Jr. (Tr)10260756.071
Fame Ijeboi (Tr)9744124.549
Antonio Harris6930524.441
Ryan Browne6620643.126
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Asaad Waseem (Tr)69726510.544
Bisi Owens (Tr)66696510.548
Xavier Townsend (Tr)18243013.544
Corey Smith14237116.960

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Kevin Kane (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Charles Correa778342
Mister Clark (Tr)5770013
Hudauri Hines322008
Jaden Mangham (Tr)302102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Charles Correa778342
Rodney Lora (Tr)214110
Hudson Miller (Tr)91100
Trey Smith121110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mister Clark (Tr)5770013
Hudauri Hines322008
Smiley Bradford305026