Air Force at San José State - 2020 Matchup Preview
Air Force logo Air Force Falcons at San José State SpartansSan José State logo
Saturday, October 24th 2020 (10:30 PM EDT)
Air Force -7.5 (63.5)
San José State 17 - Air Force: 6  (Mountain West)

 
Falcons (3 - 3) (3 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 15 (16 - 11 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AFA coming off BYE
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ SJSU -2)
Projected Score: AFA: 25 - SJSU: 20 (45)
AFA Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 931 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Spartans (7 - 1) (6 - 1 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (29 - 17 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Air Force's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Air Force vs Navy+6.546.5W 40 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Air Force at San José State-7.563.5L 6 - 17UN
Sat 10/31 Air Force vs Boise State+10.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/20 Air Force vs New Mexico-9.556.5W 28 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 12/3 Air Force at Utah State-13.551.0W 35 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Air Force at Army-3.037.0L 7 - 10UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
San José State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 San José State vs Air Force+7.563.5W 17 - 6UY
Sat 10/31 San José State at New Mexico-9.5
Fri 11/6 San José State at San Diego State+10.049.5W 28 - 17UY
Sat 11/14 San José State vs UNLV-17.062.0W 34 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/5 San José State vs Hawai'i+2.559.0W 35 - 24UY
Fri 12/11 San José State vs Nevada+1.560.5W 30 - 20UY
Sat 12/19 San José State vs Boise State+6.559.5W 34 - 20UY
Thu 12/31 San José State vs Ball State-9.563.0L 13 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA.3353%24.354%3.8330649%844.06.1243%1543%44%2.740.81.31.3
SJSU.243%28.638%2.4613346%2983.03.1341%19.940%41%2.0656.91.11.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)41% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)42% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense624.31653.3%4.061.321389306845.982%18%54%49%10%.33
SJSU Defense819.916.840.8%2.061.4 - - - - - 49%51%40%41%16%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense61511.343.4%2.71.3 - - - - - 60%40%43%44%10%.12
SJSU Offense828.62942.7%3.031.1214311332984.544%56%38%46%14%.2

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force632:3021.349%73%4.540.81.31.32.81.2027.9
San José State829:2720.538%38%6.856.91.11.46.63.1240.9
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense682%54%52305.75.916.313.8380%7%0.97
SJSU Defense849%40% - - - - .052.8462%11%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense660%43% - - - - .043.0271%6%0.85
SJSU Offense844%38%29.5132.54.58-2.4646%8%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense618%49%5.710.283.78.214.833.41.523%34%.383%1.8
SJSU Defense851%41% - - - - - - 3.21.533%33%.24%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense640%44% - - - - - - 5.241.629%37%.444%1.9
SJSU Offense856%46%22.936298.48.313199.351.729%34%.496%2.3

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #153
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Air Force's 2020 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.1  #80
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #90
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5  #56

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    San José State: 3.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: -1.1   San José State: 1.1




San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: 3.05 NR
San José State's Offense Rating: NR
San José State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
San José State's 2020 Expected Record: -
San José State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1  #66
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9  #56
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #73

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 15 PPG
Defense on Road: 11.3

Air Force's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 25
San José State 20

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
Air Force 31
San José State 20

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
San José State 21
Air Force 19

Total Points: 40
San José State Scoring
Offense: 28.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

San José State's 2020 Record
Record: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 1
Over/Under Record: 0 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 0 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08San José State16Air Force26San José State -6Air Force67.5Under
202409/07Air Force7San José State17Air Force -1.5San José State43.5Under
202309/22San José State20Air Force45Air Force -6Air Force45.5Over
202010/24San José State17Air Force6Air Force -7.5San José State63.5Under
201909/27Air Force41San José State24Air Force -19.5San José State58.5Over
201611/19San José State38Air Force41Air Force -11San José State54.5Over
201509/12Air Force37San José State16Air Force -7Air Force58.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San José State243 Overs
Air Force534 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 43 - 41 - 32 - 1
Road Teams4 - 34 - 31 - 23 - 1

(#) AFA at (#) SJSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAFASJSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #80 #66
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #153 #94
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCat
AFA OffSJSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #90 #73
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffSJSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffSJSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
San José State on Offense
CategoryCatSJSU OffAFA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #56
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
San José State Run Game
CategoryCat
SJSU OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
San José State Pass Game
CategoryCatSJSU OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'20 Profile: Up to Top G5

AFA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'20 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 63° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 8
Air Force 7.5 (63.5)
San José State won vs Air Force this year (17-6)

Previous Matchups
San José State beat Air Force last year (17-7)
Air Force beat San José State in 2023 (45-20)

  
AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AFA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

SJSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SJSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD