Ball State at NC State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Ball State Cardinals at NC State Wolfpack

Saturday, September 21st 2019 (7:00 PM EDT)
NC State -19.5 (59.0)
NC State 34 - Ball State: 23

Cardinals (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (10 - 36 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NCST is playing their 4th straight game
BALL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ BALL -2)
Projected Score: BALL: 19 - NCST: 33 (52)
NCST Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
BALL Travel: 475 miles

Wolfpack (4 - 8) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BALL Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ball State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Ball State vs Indiana	+18.0	61.0	L 24 - 34	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Ball State vs Fordham	-29.5	51.0	W 57 - 29	O	N
Sat 9/14	Ball State vs Florida Atlantic	+2.5	64.5	L 31 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/21	Ball State at NC State	+19.5	59.0	L 23 - 34	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Ball State at Northern Illinois	+4.0	55.0	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Ball State at Eastern Michigan	+2.0	57.0	W 29 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Ball State vs Toledo	-3.5	58.5	W 52 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Ball State vs Ohio	-1.5	60.0	L 21 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/5	Ball State at Western Michigan	+6.5	64.0	L 31 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Ball State vs Central Michigan	-2.0	59.5	L 44 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/23	Ball State at Kent State	-3.0	67.5	L 38 - 41	O	N
Fri 11/29	Ball State vs Miami (OH)	-3.0	55.5	W 41 - 27	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

NC State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	NC State vs East Carolina	-17.5	52.0	W 34 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/7	NC State vs Western Carolina	-41.0	65.5	W 41 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/14	NC State at West Virginia	-7.0	46.5	L 27 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/21	NC State vs Ball State	-19.5	59.0	W 34 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/28	NC State at Florida State	+7.0	62.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10	NC State vs Syracuse	-4.5	56.0	W 16 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/19	NC State at Boston College	-4.5	54.0	L 24 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	NC State at Wake Forest	+7.5	60.0	L 10 - 44	U	N
Sat 11/9	NC State vs Clemson	+34.0	54.5	L 10 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/16	NC State vs Louisville	+4.5	52.0	L 20 - 34	O	N
Thu 11/21	NC State at Georgia Tech	-2.5	46.5	L 26 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/30	NC State vs North Carolina	+11.0	57.0	L 10 - 41	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	.17	44%	15.8	46%	3.17	156	41%	252	3.26	.23	50%	29.8	50%	49%	3.72	66.9	1.8	1.4
NCST	.22	49%	30.2	44%	2.44	130	52%	286	4.09	.18	43%	27.2	42%	42%	3.31	42.8	1.3	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NCST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	12	15.8	9.7	44.1%	3.26	1.8	24	408	156	252	4.2	46%	53%	46%	41%	16%	.17
NCST Defense	13	27.2	21	43%	3.31	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	42%	42%	18%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	12	29.8	35.7	49.9%	3.72	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	50%	49%	14%	.23
NCST Offense	13	30.2	35.3	49.1%	4.09	1.3	22	416	130	286	3.8	46%	51%	44%	52%	15%	.22

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	12	27:53	23.6	43%	60%	6.8	66.9	1.8	1.4	5.5	1.7	0	27.7
NC State	13	30:36	22.1	45%	59%	4.5	42.8	1.3	1.3	6.4	2.7	1	29.7

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	12	46%	46%	37.3	155.7	4.2	20	.17	3.17	72%	9%	0.98
NCST Defense	13	42%	42%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.81	72%	11%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	12	57%	50%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.25	72%	9%	0.99
NCST Offense	13	46%	44%	34.5	130.3	3.8	24	.02	2.44	69%	10%	0.85

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	12	53%	41%	24	39.7	251.9	6.4	10.5	17	12	.18	1.4	32%	36%	.37	6%	1.9
NCST Defense	13	56%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.27	1.6	34%	38%	.46	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	12	42%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.24	1.4	28%	38%	.46	5%	2
NCST Offense	13	51%	52%	23.3	34.8	285.9	8.2	12.3	21	10	.44	1.5	29%	44%	.44	6%	1.6

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #86
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #59
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #91

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: NC State: -0.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -4.5 NC State: -6.3

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: -0.65 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2019 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.3 #94
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #102
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #76

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.7

Ball State's 2019 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
NC State 33
Ball State 19

Projected Total Points: 52

NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

NC State's 2019 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	09/21	NC State	34	Ball State	23	NC State -19.5	Ball State	59.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	1	0	0 Overs
Ball State	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) BALL at (#) NCST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BALL	NCST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#86	#94
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#117	#36
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ball State Injury Report

NC State Injury Report

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	NCST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#59	#76
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	NCST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	NCST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

NC State on Offense


CategoryCat	NCST Off	BALL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#102	#91
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

NC State Run Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

NC State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NCST Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
NC State -19.5 (59.0)
NC State won vs Ball State this year (34-23)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BALL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NCST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD