Vanderbilt at Mississippi State - 2014 Matchup Preview
Vanderbilt logo (#14)Vanderbilt Commodores at Mississippi State BulldogsMississippi State logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2014 (7:30 PM EST)
Mississippi State -30.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Mississippi State 51 - Vanderbilt: 0  (SEC)

 
Commodores (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 33 (10 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
VAN coming off BYE
MSST is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: VAN: 17 - MSST: 33 (50)
MSST Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
VAN Travel: 217 miles
Bulldogs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 22 (42 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Vanderbilt's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Vanderbilt vs Temple-8.550.0L 7 - 37UN
Sat 9/6 Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss+14.0
Sat 9/13 Vanderbilt vs Massachusetts-17.0
Sat 9/20 Vanderbilt vs South Carolina+20.5
Sat 9/27 Vanderbilt at Kentucky+14.0
Sat 10/4 Vanderbilt at Georgia+32.5
Sat 10/11 Vanderbilt vs Charleston Southern-14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Vanderbilt at Missouri+24.0
Sat 11/1 Vanderbilt vs Old Dominion-10.0
Sat 11/8 Vanderbilt vs Florida+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Vanderbilt at Mississippi State+30.5
Sat 11/29 Vanderbilt vs Tennessee+14.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Vanderbilt's Schedule
Mississippi State's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Mississippi State vs Southern Miss-26.0
Sat 9/6 Mississippi State vs UAB-28.5
Sat 9/13 Mississippi State at South Alabama-13.0
Sat 9/20 Mississippi State at LSU+7.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Mississippi State vs Texas A&M+1.0
Sat 10/11 Mississippi State vs Auburn+3.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Mississippi State at Kentucky-13.0
Sat 11/1 Mississippi State vs Arkansas-14.0
Sat 11/8 Mississippi State vs UT Martin-41.0
Sat 11/15 Mississippi State at Alabama+6.5
Sat 11/22 Mississippi State vs Vanderbilt-30.5
Sat 11/29 Mississippi State at Ole Miss-2.551.5L 17 - 31UN
Wed 12/31 Mississippi State vs Georgia Tech-5.559.5L 34 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mississippi State's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN-.0438%17.241%2.5710934%1792.13.1746%33.348%42%3.5352.52.41.1
MSST.2551%36.952%3.223349%2813.94.0940%21.741%37%2.3639.51.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VAN#76 (.17)42% (75)42% (93)2.8 (105)12943% (53)1664.25 (34)#111 (.25)47% (121)46% (96)48% (125)4.22 (109)48.30.51.1
MSST#78 (.17)39% (109)40% (105)2.9 (93)13938% (104)2393.75 (86)#130 (.32)50% (133)47% (108)55% (134)4.32 (113)60.31.50.9



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Offense1217.29.538.4%2.132.4162881091793.452%46%41%34%3%-.04
MSST Defense1321.716.339.9%2.361.8 - - - - - 47%52%41%37%2%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VAN Defense1233.33446.1%3.531.1 - - - - - 53%45%48%42%2%.17
MSST Offense1336.942.151.1%3.941.8265142332815.253%46%52%49%2%.25

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Vanderbilt1229:3616.130%50%6.152.52.41.100429.2
Mississippi State1330:1225.746%43%5.239.51.81.800230.2
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Offense1252%41%31.9109.33.47-.062.5766%0%0.75
MSST Defense1347%41% - - - - .072.7564%0%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VAN Defense1253%48% - - - - .123.0475%0%0.9
MSST Offense1353%52%44.5233.15.229.23.281%0%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Offense1246%34%1529.8179.1611.91319.011.632%22%-.073%1.6
MSST Defense1352%37% - - - - - - 16.121.635%29%.242%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VAN Defense1245%42% - - - - - - 6.291.631%37%.42%1.8
MSST Offense1346%49%20.132.5280.78.6143112.321.528%39%.322%1.7

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Vanderbilt's 2014 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt:    Mississippi State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Vanderbilt:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Mississippi State's 2014 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 17.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.5
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Vanderbilt's 2014 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Mississippi State 33
Vanderbilt 17

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Mississippi State 28
Vanderbilt 17

Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Mississippi State 37
Vanderbilt 16

Total Points: 53
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.1
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

Mississippi State's 2014 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202110/23Vanderbilt6Mississippi State45Mississippi State -21Mississippi State53.0Under
202011/07Mississippi State24Vanderbilt17Mississippi State -18.5Vanderbilt45.0Under
201411/22Mississippi State51Vanderbilt0Mississippi State -30.5Mississippi State0
200909/19Vanderbilt3Mississippi State15
200810/11Mississippi State17Vanderbilt14
200410/02Vanderbilt31Mississippi State13
200310/04Mississippi State30Vanderbilt21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State620 Overs
Vanderbilt112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 21 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 52 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#) VAN at (#) MSST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVANMSST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Vanderbilt on Offense
CategoryCat
VAN OffMSST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Vanderbilt Run Game
CategoryCat
VAN OffMSST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Vanderbilt Pass Game
CategoryCat
VAN OffMSST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Mississippi State on Offense
CategoryCatMSST OffVAN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Mississippi State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSST OffVAN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Mississippi State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSST OffVAN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

VAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 61° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Mississippi State -30.5 (0)
Mississippi State won vs Vanderbilt this year (51-0)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
VAN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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VAN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD