Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee - 2014 Matchup Preview
Western Kentucky logo   Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders  Middle Tennessee logo
Saturday, September 13th 2014 (7:00 PM EDT)
Middle Tennessee -1 (0)  Open: 0.0
Middle Tennessee 50 - Western Kentucky: 47  (Conference USA)

 
Hilltoppers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (25 - 28 on Road)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WKU 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: WKU: 29 - MTSU: 25 (54)
MTSU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
WKU Travel: 79 miles
Blue Raiders (6 - 6) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (24 - 33 @ Home)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Kentucky's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Western Kentucky vs Bowling Green+7.5
Sat 9/6 Western Kentucky at Illinois+1.5
Sat 9/13 Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee+1.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Western Kentucky at Navy+7.0
Sat 10/4 Western Kentucky vs UAB-14.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic-3.0
Sat 10/25 Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion-11.5
Sat 11/1 Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech+3.0
Sat 11/8 Western Kentucky vs UTEP-9.0
Sat 11/15 Western Kentucky vs Army-10.5
Sat 11/22 Western Kentucky vs UTSA-6.0
Fri 11/28 Western Kentucky at Marshall+23.0
Wed 12/24 Western Kentucky vs Central Michigan-3.567.0W 49 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Middle Tennessee's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Middle Tennessee vs Savannah State-41.0
Sat 9/6 Middle Tennessee at Minnesota+14.0
Sat 9/13 Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky-1.0
Sat 9/20 Middle Tennessee at Memphis+7.5
Fri 9/26 Middle Tennessee at Old Dominion+1.069.0W 41 - 28UY
Sat 10/4 Middle Tennessee vs Southern Miss-16.5
Sat 10/11 Middle Tennessee at Marshall+21.5
Sat 10/18 Middle Tennessee vs UAB-2.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Middle Tennessee vs BYU+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Middle Tennessee at Florida International-3.0
Sat 11/22 Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic-7.0
Sat 11/29 Middle Tennessee at UTEP+3.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU.1749%29.547%3.3219750%262-0.08.0941%22.841%40%046.62.61.8
MTSU.0641%22.441%3.119940%208-0.33.1247%30.946%46%042.71.62.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MTSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1229.524.549.2%-0.082.6244591972625.150%49%47%50%3%.17
MTSU Defense1330.932.547.1%02.5 - - - - - 59%40%46%46%2%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1222.82841.2%01.8 - - - - - 55%44%41%40%3%.09
MTSU Offense1322.42441.4%-0.331.6224081992084.953%45%41%40%2%.06

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1233:262446%50%6.246.62.61.800031.3
Middle Tennessee1328:0821.846%38%4.242.71.62.500630.2
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1250%47%39196.85.131.083.3267%0%0.75
MTSU Defense1359%46% - - - - .073.2580%0%0.67
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1255%41% - - - - .093.0159%0%0.85
MTSU Offense1353%41%40.5199.34.925.023.167%0%0.77

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1249%50%22.233.9261.77.711.81516.271.129%39%.333%1.5
MTSU Defense1340%46% - - - - - - 15.211.128%32%.292%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1244%40% - - - - - - 14.121.332%35%.313%1.6
MTSU Offense1345%40%18.331208.26.711.41715.121.331%34%.272%1.6

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2014 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    Middle Tennessee: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    Middle Tennessee:




Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Middle Tennessee's 2014 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Western Kentucky's 2014 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 29
Middle Tennessee 25

Projected Total Points: 54
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 22.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 24
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.5

Middle Tennessee's 2014 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Western Kentucky42Middle Tennessee26Western Kentucky -13.5Western Kentucky51.5Over
202409/14Middle Tennessee21Western Kentucky49Western Kentucky -10.5Western Kentucky53.5Over
202309/28Western Kentucky31Middle Tennessee10Western Kentucky -6.5Western Kentucky61.0Under
202210/15Middle Tennessee17Western Kentucky35Western Kentucky -7.5Western Kentucky67.5Under
202111/06Western Kentucky48Middle Tennessee21Western Kentucky -17.5Western Kentucky66.5Over
202010/03Middle Tennessee17Western Kentucky20Western Kentucky -7.0Middle Tennessee52.5Under
201911/30Western Kentucky31Middle Tennessee26Western Kentucky -10.5Middle Tennessee46.0Over
201811/02Middle Tennessee29Western Kentucky10Middle Tennessee -13.5Middle Tennessee53.0Under
201711/17Western Kentucky41Middle Tennessee38Middle Tennessee -1Western Kentucky56.0Over
201610/15Middle Tennessee43Western Kentucky44Middle Tennessee -2.5Western Kentucky75.0Over
201510/10Western Kentucky58Middle Tennessee28Western Kentucky -7.5Western Kentucky69.5Over
201409/13Middle Tennessee50Western Kentucky47Middle Tennessee -1Middle Tennessee0
201211/01Western Kentucky29Middle Tennessee34
201110/06Middle Tennessee33Western Kentucky36
201011/20Western Kentucky26Middle Tennessee27
200910/24Middle Tennessee62Western Kentucky24
200811/15Western Kentucky10Middle Tennessee21
200709/20Middle Tennessee17Western Kentucky20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Middle Tennessee647 Overs
Western Kentucky1284 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 98 - 46 - 22 - 2
Road Teams9 - 94 - 82 - 22 - 6

(#) WKU at (#) MTSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWKUMTSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
WKU OffMTSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffMTSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCatMTSU OffWKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffWKU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCatMTSU OffWKU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

WKU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Middle Tennessee -1.0 (0)
Middle Tennessee won vs Western Kentucky this year (50-47)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee last year (42-26)
Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee in 2024 (49-21)
Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (31-10)

  
WKU's OC ()
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WKU's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MTSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MTSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD