Troy at Arkansas State - 2009 Matchup Preview
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Troy Trojans at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Arkansas State logo
Saturday, September 26th 2009 (4:30 PM EDT)
Troy 30 - Arkansas State: 27  (Sun Belt)

 
Trojans (9 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 26 on Road)
'09 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARST coming off BYE
TROY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TROY: 26 - ARST: 26 (52)
TROY Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TROY Travel: 389 miles
Red Wolves (4 - 8) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'09 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Troy at Bowling Green+2.5
Sat 9/12 Troy at Florida+2.5
Sat 9/19 Troy vs UAB-23.5
Sat 9/26 Troy at Arkansas State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/6 Troy vs Middle Tennessee-23.5
Sat 10/17 Troy at Florida International+2.5
Sat 10/24 Troy vs North Texas-23.5
Sat 10/31 Troy vs UL Monroe-23.5
Sat 11/7 Troy at Western Kentucky+2.5
Sat 11/14 Troy at Arkansas+2.5
Sat 11/21 Troy vs Florida Atlantic-23.5
Sat 11/28 Troy at Louisiana+2.5
Wed 1/6 Troy vs Central Michigan-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Arkansas State vs Mississippi Valley State-23.5
Sat 9/12 Arkansas State at Nebraska+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Arkansas State vs Troy-23.5
Sat 10/3 Arkansas State at Iowa+2.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/13 Arkansas State at UL Monroe+2.5
Sat 10/24 Arkansas State vs Florida International-23.5
Sat 10/31 Arkansas State at Louisville+2.5
Sat 11/7 Arkansas State vs Louisiana-23.5
Sat 11/14 Arkansas State at Florida Atlantic+2.5
Sat 11/21 Arkansas State at Middle Tennessee+2.5
Sat 11/28 Arkansas State vs North Texas-23.5
Thu 12/3 Arkansas State at Western Kentucky+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2008)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.0445%23.547%3.1616842%2530-.0237%23.936%35%057.81.82.4
ARST.0842%25.244%3.1720437%214-0.1.0341%27.442%38%064.21.32
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2008
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1323.523.445.3%01.8224141682534.944%53%47%42%2%.04
ARST Defense1227.427.240.8%02 - - - - - 45%53%42%38%2%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1323.925.936.6%02.4 - - - - - 52%46%36%35%3%-.02
ARST Offense1225.22942.2%-0.11.320399204214556%42%44%37%2%.08

Additional Stats 2008
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1317:0922.539%68%6.857.81.82.400133.5
Arkansas State1219:5019.837%44%6.964.21.3200131.6
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1344%47%34.5167.64.923.073.1679%0%0.7
ARST Defense1245%42% - - - - -.012.8578%0%0.76
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1352%36% - - - - -.042.7661%0%0.77
ARST Offense1256%44%40.7203.8519.083.1763%0%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1353%42%24.540.2253.56.310.32611.05130%32%.132%1.4
ARST Defense1253%38% - - - - - - 14.071.233%34%.242%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1346%35% - - - - - - 21-1.236%30%.173%1.4
ARST Offense1242%37%13.925.7213.78.315.4168.091.431%35%.252%1.5

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2009 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    Arkansas State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy:    Arkansas State:




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2009 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Troy's 2009 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 26
Arkansas State 26

Projected Total Points: 52
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2009 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Troy10Arkansas State23Troy -7.5Arkansas State52.5Under
202410/26Arkansas State34Troy31Arkansas State -8.5Troy50.0Over
202310/07Troy37Arkansas State3Troy -15.5Troy52.0Under
202211/26Arkansas State19Troy48Troy -13.5Troy43.5Over
202010/31Arkansas State10Troy38Arkansas State -3.5Troy0
201909/28Troy43Arkansas State50Troy -7Arkansas State59.5Over
201712/02Arkansas State25Troy32Arkansas State -1Troy60.0Under
201611/17Troy3Arkansas State35Troy -8.5Arkansas State53.5Under
201309/12Arkansas State41Troy34Arkansas State -10Troy0
201211/17Troy34Arkansas State41
201112/03Arkansas State45Troy14
201009/25Troy35Arkansas State28
200909/26Arkansas State27Troy30
200812/06Troy35Arkansas State9
200710/27Arkansas State0Troy27
200611/18Troy26Arkansas State33
200511/12Arkansas State9Troy3
200410/16Arkansas State13Troy9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State1033 Overs
Troy864 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 101 - 81 - 70 - 1
Road Teams10 - 88 - 11 - 07 - 1

(#) TROY at (#) ARST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYARST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffARST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCatARST OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCatARST OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
()
Troy won at Arkansas State this year (30-27)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Troy last year (23-10)
Arkansas State beat Troy in 2024 (34-31)
Troy beat Arkansas State in 2023 (37-3)

  
TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas State's Full Roster

ARST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD