UCF at Southern Miss - 2009 Matchup Preview
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UCF Knights at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Southern Miss logo
Saturday, September 12th 2009 (7:00 PM EDT)
Southern Miss 26 - UCF: 19  (Conference USA)

 
Knights (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (13 - 35 on Road)
'09 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UCF: 23 - USM: 29 (52)
UCF Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UCF Travel: 522 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 27 @ Home)
'09 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 UCF vs Samford-23.5
Sat 9/12 UCF at Southern Miss+2.5
Sat 9/19 UCF vs Buffalo-23.5
Sat 9/26 UCF at East Carolina+2.5
Sat 10/3 UCF vs Memphis-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 UCF vs Miami-23.5
Sat 10/24 UCF at Rice+2.5
Sun 11/1 UCF vs Marshall-23.5
Sat 11/7 UCF at Texas+2.5
Sat 11/14 UCF vs Houston-23.5
Sat 11/21 UCF vs Tulane-23.5
Sat 11/28 UCF at UAB+2.5
Sat 12/19 UCF vs Rutgers+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Southern Miss vs Alcorn State-23.5
Sat 9/12 Southern Miss vs UCF-23.5
Sat 9/19 Southern Miss vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 9/26 Southern Miss at Kansas+2.5
Thu 10/1 Southern Miss at UAB+2.5
Sat 10/10 Southern Miss at Louisville+2.5
Sat 10/17 Southern Miss vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 10/24 Southern Miss vs Tulane-23.5
Sat 10/31 Southern Miss at Houston+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Southern Miss at Marshall+2.5
Sat 11/21 Southern Miss vs Tulsa-23.5
Sat 11/28 Southern Miss at East Carolina+2.5
Sun 12/20 Southern Miss vs Middle Tennessee+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2008)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF-.1430%24.331%2.3811327%138-0.23-.0135%23.634%34%-0.2150.62.32.2
USM.0942%28.847%3.0719236%2550.0342%27.442%40%-0.1173.61.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2008
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1224.312.830.3%-0.232.313230113138354%44%31%27%4%-.14
USM Defense1327.427.341.9%-0.112.2 - - - - - 46%53%42%40%2%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1223.634.635.2%-0.212.2 - - - - - 48%50%34%34%2%-.01
USM Offense1328.830.941.7%01.2224341922554.747%52%47%36%2%.09

Additional Stats 2008
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1217:0612.929%50%5.550.62.32.200135
Southern Miss1318:3022.144%69%7.573.61.22.200032.5
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1254%31%37.8113.338-.112.3867%0%0.81
USM Defense1346%42% - - - - -.072.7862%0%0.63
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1248%34% - - - - -.042.3659%0%0.79
USM Offense1347%47%40.8192.54.729.113.0775%0%0.81

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1244%27%1125.7137.75.412.51211-.17139%20%-.124%1.1
USM Defense1353%40% - - - - - - 17.121.231%33%.32%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1250%34% - - - - - - 18.041.338%27%.132%1.5
USM Offense1352%36%20.235.2255.47.312.7239.071.434%35%.32%1.7

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2009 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Southern Miss: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Southern Miss:




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2009 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.8
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.6

UCF's 2009 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 29
UCF 23

Projected Total Points: 52
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Southern Miss's 2009 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201210/13UCF38Southern Miss31
201111/12Southern Miss30UCF29
201011/13UCF21Southern Miss31
200909/12Southern Miss26UCF19
200811/08UCF6Southern Miss17
200710/28Southern Miss17UCF34
200609/26UCF14Southern Miss19
200510/15Southern Miss52UCF31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss600 Overs
UCF200 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams4 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) UCF at (#) USM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFUSM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCatUSM OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatUSM OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
()
Southern Miss won vs UCF this year (26-19)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD