UCF at Southern Miss - 2009 Matchup Preview
UCF logo UCF Knights at Southern Miss Golden EaglesSouthern Miss logo
Saturday, September 12th 2009 (7:00 PM EDT)
Southern Miss 26 - UCF: 19  (Conference USA)

 
Knights (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 23 (24 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UCF: 20 - USM: 30 (50)
UCF Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UCF Travel: 522 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 26 (40 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 UCF vs Samford-23.5
Sat 9/12 UCF at Southern Miss+2.5
Sat 9/19 UCF vs Buffalo-23.5
Sat 9/26 UCF at East Carolina+2.5
Sat 10/3 UCF vs Memphis-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 UCF vs Miami-23.5
Sat 10/24 UCF at Rice+2.5
Sun 11/1 UCF vs Marshall-23.5
Sat 11/7 UCF at Texas+2.5
Sat 11/14 UCF vs Houston-23.5
Sat 11/21 UCF vs Tulane-23.5
Sat 11/28 UCF at UAB+2.5
Sat 12/19 UCF vs Rutgers+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Southern Miss vs Alcorn State-23.5
Sat 9/12 Southern Miss vs UCF-23.5
Sat 9/19 Southern Miss vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 9/26 Southern Miss at Kansas+2.5
Thu 10/1 Southern Miss at UAB+2.5
Sat 10/10 Southern Miss at Louisville+2.5
Sat 10/17 Southern Miss vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 10/24 Southern Miss vs Tulane-23.5
Sat 10/31 Southern Miss at Houston+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Southern Miss at Marshall+2.5
Sat 11/21 Southern Miss vs Tulsa-23.5
Sat 11/28 Southern Miss at East Carolina+2.5
Sun 12/20 Southern Miss vs Middle Tennessee+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2009)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.0239%26.237%2.5613139%2260.0538%22.531%42%-0.0836.41.62.2
USM.0943%32.944%3.1218140%247-0.15.143%25.840%43%069.21.32.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8



Overall Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1326.223.839.3%01.6193411312263.550%49%37%39%3%.02
USM Defense1325.818.243.1%02.1 - - - - - 45%53%40%43%2%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1322.522.838.1%-0.082.2 - - - - - 43%56%31%42%2%.05
USM Offense1332.939.742.8%-0.151.3224161812474.653%46%44%40%2%.09

Additional Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1318:4219.238%69%3.936.41.62.200233.9
Southern Miss1318:1622.142%58%7.869.21.32.100334.6
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1350%37%36.9130.53.520-.12.5665%0%0.63
USM Defense1345%40% - - - - .012.8173%0%0.74
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1343%31% - - - - -.122.2562%0%0.74
USM Offense1353%44%39.5181.44.623.043.1260%0%0.71

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1349%39%17.229.2225.87.713.22113.151.335%29%.143%1.4
USM Defense1353%43% - - - - - - 12.181.235%35%.252%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1356%42% - - - - - - 12.191.335%29%.252%1.8
USM Offense1346%40%18.630.1246.88.213.3276.151.330%30%.182%1.5

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2009 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Southern Miss: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Southern Miss:




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2009 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UCF Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

UCF's 2009 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 30
UCF 20

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Southern Miss 29
UCF 16

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Southern Miss 30
UCF 24

Total Points: 54
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.7
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.2

Southern Miss's 2009 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201210/13UCF38Southern Miss31
201111/12Southern Miss30UCF29
201011/13UCF21Southern Miss31
200909/12Southern Miss26UCF19
200811/08UCF6Southern Miss17
200710/28Southern Miss17UCF34
200609/26UCF14Southern Miss19
200510/15Southern Miss52UCF31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss600 Overs
UCF200 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams4 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) UCF at (#) USM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFUSM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCatUSM OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatUSM OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 79° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 2
()
Southern Miss won vs UCF this year (26-19)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD