New Mexico State at Utah State - 2006 Matchup Preview
New Mexico State logo New Mexico State Aggies at Utah State AggiesUtah State logo
Saturday, November 25th 2006 (3:00 PM EST)
New Mexico State 42 - Utah State: 20  (Western Athletic)

 
Aggies (4 - 8) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 31 (28 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NMSU coming off BYE
USU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NMSU: 37 - USU: 23 (60)
NMSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
NMSU Travel: 711 miles
Aggies (1 - 11) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (13 - 41 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico State's 2006 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 New Mexico State vs SE Louisiana-23.5
Sat 9/9 New Mexico State vs New Mexico-23.5
Sat 9/16 New Mexico State vs Texas Southern-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 New Mexico State at UTEP+2.5
Sat 10/7 New Mexico State at Idaho+2.5
Sun 10/15 New Mexico State vs Boise State-23.5
Sat 10/21 New Mexico State vs Hawai'i-23.5
Sat 10/28 New Mexico State at Nevada+2.5
Sat 11/4 New Mexico State vs San José State-23.5
Sat 11/11 New Mexico State at Fresno State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/25 New Mexico State at Utah State+2.5
Sat 12/2 New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Utah State's 2006 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Utah State at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 9/9 Utah State at Arkansas+2.5
Sat 9/16 Utah State vs Utah-23.5
Sat 9/23 Utah State at BYU+2.5
Sat 9/30 Utah State vs Idaho-23.5
Sat 10/7 Utah State vs Fresno State-23.5
Sat 10/14 Utah State at San José State+2.5
Sat 10/21 Utah State at Louisiana Tech+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Utah State vs Hawai'i-23.5
Sat 11/11 Utah State at Nevada+2.5
Sat 11/18 Utah State at Boise State+2.5
Sat 11/25 Utah State vs New Mexico State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah State's Schedule
Important Stats (2006)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU.1844%31.232%2.867648%4170.1844%30.844%41%066.23.11.9
USU-.1532%10.833%1.8511128%142-1.17.1653%38.549%55%043.61.81.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU#119 (.08)39% (106)46% (41)3.33 (21)17930% (132)1433.8 (82)#115 (.26)41% (64)43% (69)40% (68)3.7 (60)48.11.90.8
USU#34 (.24)46% (31)48% (24)3.41 (12)19944% (37)2694.42 (24)#119 (.27)47% (122)48% (112)48% (123)4.44 (122)73.81.81.3



Overall Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1231.227.844.4%03.125475764172.822%77%32%48%2%.18
USU Defense1238.541.252.7%01.6 - - - - - 55%43%49%55%1%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense1230.832.644.3%01.9 - - - - - 56%42%44%41%3%.18
USU Offense1210.812.832%-1.171.8142461111423.356%43%33%28%2%-.15

Additional Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1218:5224.642%59%7.366.23.11.900229.8
Utah State1217:1813.528%33%5.243.61.81.600124.2
Run Game Stats (2006)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1222%32%26.975.82.816-.112.8644%0%0.85
USU Defense1255%49% - - - - .013.3369%0%0.62
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense1256%44% - - - - .043.280%0%0.62
USU Offense1256%33%33.9111.13.36-.311.8525%0%0.28

Pass Game Stats (2006)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1277%48%35.150.6416.98.211.93412.251.133%39%.372%1.5
USU Defense1243%55% - - - - - - 6.341.125%46%.471%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense1242%41% - - - - - - 13.361.930%32%.163%1.5
USU Offense1243%28%12.523.4141.76.111.3913.070.944%27%.022%0.7

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2006 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2006 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2006 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    Utah State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    Utah State:




Utah State's Power Ratings
Utah State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Utah State's Offense Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense Rating: NR
2006 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Utah State's 2006 Expected Record: -
Utah State's 2006 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Utah State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Utah State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.6

New Mexico State's 2006 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico State 37
Utah State 23

Total Points: 60

Based on Last 4 Games
New Mexico State 39
Utah State 24

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
New Mexico State 35
Utah State 22

Total Points: 57
Utah State Scoring
Offense: 10.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 12.8
Defense: 38.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 41.2

Utah State's 2006 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202111/06New Mexico State13Utah State35Utah State -18Utah State72.0Under
201809/08Utah State60New Mexico State13Utah State -23Utah State62.0Over
201712/29Utah State20New Mexico State26New Mexico State -4New Mexico State61.0Under
201210/20Utah State41New Mexico State7
201112/03New Mexico State21Utah State24
201011/06Utah State27New Mexico State22
200910/10New Mexico State20Utah State17
200811/29Utah State47New Mexico State2
200711/17New Mexico State17Utah State35
200611/25Utah State20New Mexico State42
200511/26New Mexico State21Utah State24
200411/20Utah State34New Mexico State25
200311/06New Mexico State26Utah State21
200211/09Utah State32New Mexico State30
200011/03New Mexico State37Utah State44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Utah State1121 Overs
New Mexico State412 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 71 - 21 - 00 - 2
Road Teams7 - 82 - 12 - 00 - 1

(#) NMSU at (#) USU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNMSUUSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
New Mexico State on Offense
CategoryCat
NMSU OffUSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico State Run Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffUSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
New Mexico State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffUSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Utah State on Offense
CategoryCatUSU OffNMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Utah State Run Game
CategoryCat
USU OffNMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Utah State Pass Game
CategoryCatUSU OffNMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'06 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'06 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Romney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 39°
Rematch from Week 13
()
New Mexico State won at Utah State this year (42-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NMSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NMSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD