Toledo at Bowling Green - 2003 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo Toledo Rockets at Bowling Green FalconsBowling Green logo
Saturday, November 29th 2003 (12:00 PM EST)
Bowling Green 31 - Toledo: 23  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (8 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 24 (20 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 16.1 MPH
BGSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: TOL: 25 - BGSU: 33 (58)
TOL Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TOL Travel: 19 miles
Falcons (11 - 3) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 22 (39 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Toledo's 2003 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Fri 8/29 Toledo at UNLV+2.5
Sat 9/6 Toledo vs Liberty-23.5
Fri 9/12 Toledo at Marshall+2.5
Sat 9/20 Toledo vs Pittsburgh-23.5
Sat 9/27 Toledo at Syracuse+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-23.5
Sat 10/18 Toledo at Central Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/25 Toledo at Ball State+2.5
Sat 11/1 Toledo vs Buffalo-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-23.5
Sat 11/22 Toledo vs Western Michigan-23.5
Sat 11/29 Toledo at Bowling Green+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Bowling Green's 2003 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Thu 8/28 Bowling Green vs Eastern Kentucky-23.5
Sat 9/6 Bowling Green at Purdue+2.5
Sat 9/13 Bowling Green vs Liberty-23.5
Sat 9/20 Bowling Green at Ohio State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Bowling Green vs Central Michigan-23.5
Sat 10/11 Bowling Green at Western Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/18 Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan+2.5
Sat 10/25 Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois-23.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Bowling Green at Miami (OH)+2.5
Sat 11/15 Bowling Green vs Kent State-23.5
Sat 11/22 Bowling Green at Ball State+2.5
Sat 11/29 Bowling Green vs Toledo-23.5
Thu 12/4 Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)-23.5
Fri 12/26 Bowling Green vs Northwestern-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Important Stats (2003)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%32.40%000%000%23.80%0%0000
BGSU0%33.60%000%000%21.70%0%0000
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#111 (.11)41% (95)38% (120)2.66 (121)11144% (46)2273.55 (99)#20 (.09)40% (43)42% (60)38% (35)3.87 (79)46.71.31.3
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)41% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)39% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81



Overall Stats 2003
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1232.419.50%00000000%0%0%0%0%
BGSU Defense1421.720.80%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1223.826.80%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
BGSU Offense1433.638.80%00000000%0%0%0%0%

Additional Stats 2003
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo120:000NAN%0%0000000100
Bowling Green140:000NAN%0%0000000100
Run Game Stats (2003)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense120%0%000000%0%0
BGSU Defense140%0% - - - - 00%0%0
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense120%0% - - - - 00%0%0
BGSU Offense140%0%000000%0%0

Pass Game Stats (2003)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense120%0%000000000%0%0%0
BGSU Defense140%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense120%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
BGSU Offense140%0%000000000%0%0%0

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2003 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Toledo's 2003 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2003 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Bowling Green: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Bowling Green:




Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2003 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Bowling Green's 2003 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2003 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 32.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.5
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.8

Toledo's 2003 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 33
Toledo 25

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Bowling Green 34
Toledo 26

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Bowling Green 31
Toledo 24

Total Points: 55
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 33.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Bowling Green's 2003 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 14
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Bowling Green28Toledo23Toledo -10.5Bowling Green45.5Over
202410/26Toledo26Bowling Green41Toledo -1.5Bowling Green47.5Over
202311/14Bowling Green31Toledo32Toledo -9.5Bowling Green48.5Over
202211/15Toledo35Bowling Green42Toledo -14.5Bowling Green47.0Over
202111/10Bowling Green17Toledo49Toledo -10.5Toledo50.0Over
202011/04Toledo38Bowling Green3Toledo -24Toledo63.0Under
201910/12Bowling Green20Toledo7Toledo -26.5Bowling Green65.0Under
201810/06Toledo52Bowling Green36Toledo -23Bowling Green71.0Over
201711/15Bowling Green37Toledo66Toledo -17.5Toledo66.0Over
201610/15Toledo42Bowling Green35Toledo -24Bowling Green71.0Over
201511/17Bowling Green28Toledo44Bowling Green -9Toledo72.5Under
201411/19Toledo27Bowling Green20Toledo -6.5Toledo0
201310/26Bowling Green25Toledo28Bowling Green -3Toledo0
201209/15Toledo27Bowling Green15
201110/15Bowling Green21Toledo28
201011/17Toledo33Bowling Green14
200911/27Bowling Green38Toledo24
200811/28Toledo10Bowling Green38
200711/23Bowling Green37Toledo10
200611/21Toledo31Bowling Green21
200511/22Bowling Green41Toledo44
200411/23Toledo49Bowling Green41
200311/29Bowling Green31Toledo23
200111/23Bowling Green56Toledo21
200011/21Toledo51Bowling Green17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Bowling Green978 Overs
Toledo1663 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 105 - 82 - 63 - 2
Road Teams10 - 158 - 52 - 36 - 2

(#) TOL at (#) BGSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLBGSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCat
TOL OffBGSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffBGSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Bowling Green on Offense
CategoryCatBGSU OffTOL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Bowling Green Run Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Bowling Green Pass Game
CategoryCatBGSU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'03 Profile: Remains Poor G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'03 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 36° - Wind: 16 mph
Rematch from Week 15
()
Bowling Green won vs Toledo this year (31-23)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Toledo last year (41-26)
Toledo beat Bowling Green in 2023 (32-31)
Bowling Green beat Toledo in 2022 (42-35)

  
TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BGSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD