Air Force at Northwestern - 2003 Matchup Preview
Air Force logo Air Force Falcons at Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, September 6th 2003 (1:00 PM EDT)
Air Force 22 - Northwestern: 21  (Big Ten)

 
Falcons (7 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (18 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: AFA: 30 - NW: 25 (55)
AFA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
AFA Travel: 924 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (6 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 25 (16 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Air Force's 2003 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 8/30 Air Force vs Wofford-23.5
Sat 9/6 Air Force at Northwestern+2.5
Sat 9/13 Air Force vs North Texas-23.5
Sat 9/20 Air Force vs Wyoming-23.5
Sat 9/27 Air Force at BYU+2.5
Sat 10/4 Air Force at Navy+2.5
Sat 10/11 Air Force vs UNLV-23.5
Thu 10/16 Air Force at Colorado State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Air Force vs Utah-23.5
Sat 11/8 Air Force vs Army-23.5
Sat 11/15 Air Force at New Mexico+2.5
Sat 11/22 Air Force at San Diego State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Northwestern's 2003 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 8/30 Northwestern at Kansas+2.5
Sat 9/6 Northwestern vs Air Force-23.5
Sat 9/13 Northwestern vs Miami (OH)-23.5
Sat 9/20 Northwestern at Duke+2.5
Sat 9/27 Northwestern at Ohio State+2.5
Sat 10/4 Northwestern vs Minnesota-23.5
Sat 10/11 Northwestern at Indiana+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Northwestern vs Wisconsin-23.5
Sat 11/1 Northwestern at Purdue+2.5
Sat 11/8 Northwestern vs Penn State-23.5
Sat 11/15 Northwestern vs Michigan-23.5
Sat 11/22 Northwestern at Illinois+2.5
Fri 12/26 Northwestern at Bowling Green+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Important Stats (2003)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA0%26.80%000%000%20.20%0%0000
NW0%20.20%000%000%25.10%0%0000
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3



Overall Stats 2003
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1226.817.70%00000000%0%0%0%0%
NW Defense1325.127.20%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1220.222.80%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
NW Offense1320.215.80%00000000%0%0%0%0%

Additional Stats 2003
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force120:000NAN%0%0000000100
Northwestern130:000NAN%0%0000000100
Run Game Stats (2003)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense120%0%000000%0%0
NW Defense130%0% - - - - 00%0%0
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense120%0% - - - - 00%0%0
NW Offense130%0%000000%0%0

Pass Game Stats (2003)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense120%0%000000000%0%0%0
NW Defense130%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense120%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
NW Offense130%0%000000000%0%0%0

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2003 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Air Force's 2003 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2003 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Northwestern: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Northwestern:




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2003 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northwestern's 2003 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2003 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.7
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

Air Force's 2003 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Air Force 30
Northwestern 25

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Air Force 36
Northwestern 31

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Air Force 24
Northwestern 20

Total Points: 44
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.8
Defense: 25.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Northwestern's 2003 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
200309/06Northwestern21Air Force22
200208/31Air Force52Northwestern3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern000 Overs
Air Force200 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams1 - 10 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) AFA at (#) NW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAFANW
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCat
AFA OffNW Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffNW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffNW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCatNW OffAFA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCatNW OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'03 Profile: Remains Poor G5

AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'03 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions:
Temp: 75°
Rematch from Week 3
()
Air Force won at Northwestern this year (22-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AFA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NW's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD