Home Field Advantage — ATS Analysis
Which conference has the best collective home field advantage after adjusting for the spread?
| # | Conference | Home Games | Home Win % | Home ATS % | Avg Home Margin | Avg Margin vs Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big 12 | 422 | 65.6% | 54.8% | +9.98 | +1.35 |
| 2 | FBS Independents | 140 | 60.7% | 53.6% | +7.92 | +0.99 |
| 3 | Pac-12 | 262 | 62.6% | 52.7% | +7.02 | -0.16 |
| 4 | Conference USA | 320 | 60.9% | 52.7% | +4.95 | +0.43 |
| 5 | SEC | 518 | 72.6% | 50.5% | +13.66 | -0.23 |
| 6 | Sun Belt | 400 | 63.0% | 50.1% | +6.50 | +0.74 |
| 7 | Mountain West | 373 | 60.1% | 49.7% | +5.08 | +0.14 |
| 8 | Big Ten | 524 | 66.6% | 49.5% | +10.04 | +0.10 |
| 9 | ACC | 495 | 63.0% | 49.4% | +8.61 | -0.17 |
| 10 | Mid-American | 348 | 57.8% | 48.7% | +4.38 | -0.92 |
| 11 | American Athletic | 394 | 60.9% | 47.8% | +6.52 | +0.49 |
Methodology: Home field advantage measured by ATS (against the spread) performance.
The spread equalizes talent differences, so consistent outperformance = genuine home field edge.
Neutral-site games excluded. FCS opponents excluded.
ATS Cover % excludes pushes from the denominator.
Data: 2021–2025.