Home Field Advantage — ATS Analysis
Which conference has the best collective home field advantage after adjusting for the spread?
| # | Conference | Home Games | Home Win % | Home ATS % | Avg Home Margin | Avg Margin vs Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FBS Independents | 33 | 78.8% | 65.6% | +17.52 | +5.35 |
| 2 | Mid-American | 144 | 61.1% | 56.0% | +6.42 | +1.73 |
| 3 | Mountain West | 150 | 61.3% | 54.7% | +7.12 | +2.63 |
| 4 | Conference USA | 117 | 60.7% | 54.7% | +4.94 | +1.44 |
| 5 | Big 12 | 199 | 64.3% | 52.3% | +9.22 | +0.56 |
| 6 | Big Ten | 240 | 70.0% | 50.8% | +12.09 | +1.40 |
| 7 | American Athletic | 169 | 63.9% | 50.6% | +7.20 | +1.99 |
| 8 | Pac-12 | 26 | 61.5% | 50.0% | +5.69 | -0.25 |
| 9 | Sun Belt | 167 | 58.7% | 50.0% | +5.29 | +0.37 |
| 10 | SEC | 227 | 71.8% | 49.8% | +14.27 | -0.43 |
| 11 | ACC | 222 | 61.3% | 48.2% | +8.58 | +0.34 |
Methodology: Home field advantage measured by ATS (against the spread) performance.
The spread equalizes talent differences, so consistent outperformance = genuine home field edge.
Neutral-site games excluded. FCS opponents excluded.
ATS Cover % excludes pushes from the denominator.
Data: 2024–2025.