Home Field Advantage — ATS Analysis
Which conference has the best collective home field advantage after adjusting for the spread?
| # | Conference | Home Games | Home Win % | Home ATS % | Avg Home Margin | Avg Margin vs Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big 12 | 727 | 64.1% | 52.5% | +9.37 | +0.56 |
| 2 | FBS Independents | 279 | 65.2% | 51.3% | +8.81 | +0.69 |
| 3 | Pac-12 | 601 | 64.7% | 50.9% | +7.43 | +0.07 |
| 4 | Mountain West | 700 | 60.7% | 50.4% | +4.95 | -0.05 |
| 5 | SEC | 969 | 70.2% | 49.9% | +12.43 | -0.22 |
| 6 | ACC | 933 | 63.6% | 49.5% | +8.20 | -0.47 |
| 7 | American Athletic | 744 | 62.5% | 49.1% | +6.45 | +0.44 |
| 8 | Conference USA | 706 | 59.3% | 48.3% | +4.64 | -0.20 |
| 9 | Big Ten | 953 | 64.2% | 48.2% | +8.64 | -0.08 |
| 10 | Sun Belt | 700 | 61.3% | 48.0% | +5.39 | -0.01 |
| 11 | Mid-American | 651 | 57.5% | 47.3% | +4.63 | -0.87 |
Methodology: Home field advantage measured by ATS (against the spread) performance.
The spread equalizes talent differences, so consistent outperformance = genuine home field edge.
Neutral-site games excluded. FCS opponents excluded.
ATS Cover % excludes pushes from the denominator.
Data: 2016–2025.