Bowling Green Composite Control — 2025 | Punt & Rally
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Bowling Green
2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
42.2
Composite Rank: #103  •  3–8 (FBS games)
GC Score
26.5
#113 in FBS
GC Net
-36.1
Raw GC Net
GC Off
15.3
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
51.4
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
57.8
#83 in FBS
MC Net
-0.97
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.34
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 31 points. Bowling Green generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 57.8) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 26.5). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Lafayette H — 95.7 4.3 +91.4 89.3% 100% ✓
2 Cincinnati A L 20–34 4.9 89 -84 12.3% 0% —
3 Liberty H W 23–13 80.3 9.6 +70.7 75.9% 76% ✓
4 Louisville A L 17–40 7.4 76.8 -69.4 14.9% 0% —
5 Ohio A L 20–35 6.3 88.4 -82.1 15.8% 0% —
7 Toledo H W 28–23 21 70.8 -49.8 30.6% 16% —
8 Central Michigan H L 6–27 14 71 -57.1 23.6% 3.5% —
9 Kent State A L 21–24 58.7 23.9 +34.8 60.5% 54.6% —
10 Buffalo H L 3–28 5 90.8 -85.8 12.4% 0% —
11 Eastern Michigan A L 21–27 20.6 51.9 -31.3 37.2% 1.9% —
13 Akron H L 16–19 27.1 35.9 -8.8 48.8% 9.8% —
14 Massachusetts A W 45–14 93 4.1 +88.9 89.7% 94.7% ✓
3W / 11G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
2 Cincinnati A L 20–34 0 2.39 -2.39 0 1 ✗ 0
1
3 Liberty H W 23–13 1.27 0 +1.27 2 0 ✓ +2
0.63
4 Louisville A L 17–40 0 7.68 -7.68 0 4 ✗ 0
1
5 Ohio A L 20–35 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.7
7 Toledo H W 28–23 1.6 0 +1.6 1 0 ✓ +1
1
8 Central Michigan H L 6–27 0 1.42 -1.42 0 3 ✗ 0
0.47
9 Kent State A L 21–24 0.12 0.12 +0 1 1 Tied
0.12
10 Buffalo H L 3–28 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.5
11 Eastern Michigan A L 21–27 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.48
13 Akron H L 16–19 0 0.21 -0.21 0 1 ✗ 0
0.21
14 Massachusetts A W 45–14 0.06 0.01 +0.05 4 1 ✓ +4
0.01
3W / 11G ——— 8 11 — —