Ball State Composite Control — 2025 | Punt & Rally
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Ball State
2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
35.8
Composite Rank: #115  •  3–8 (FBS games)
GC Score
9.6
#135 in FBS
GC Net
-57.7
Raw GC Net
GC Off
8.3
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
66
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
62
#74 in FBS
MC Net
-0.71
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.18
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
66.7%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 52 points. Ball State generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 62) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 9.6). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Purdue A L 0–31 2.5 96.7 -94.2 6.2% 0% —
2 Auburn A L 3–42 4.5 87 -82.5 11.2% 0% —
3 New Hampshire H — 60.9 13.6 +47.2 70.4% 59.7% —
4 UConn A L 25–31 10.3 76.7 -66.4 25.6% 0% —
6 Ohio H W 20–14 17.1 61.8 -44.7 35.2% 5.5% —
7 Western Michigan A L 0–42 4.2 87.3 -83.1 10.5% 0% —
8 Akron H W 42–28 64.2 17.7 +46.5 70.9% 63.6% —
9 Northern Illinois A L 7–21 10.9 66.5 -55.6 27.4% 0% —
11 Kent State H W 17–13 59.6 19.5 +40.1 64.4% 59.6% —
12 Eastern Michigan H L 9–24 8 83.6 -75.6 20% 0% —
13 Toledo A L 9–38 3.6 93 -89.4 9% 0% —
14 Miami (OH) A L 24–45 4.8 89 -84.2 12% 0% —
3W / 11G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Purdue A L 0–31 0 0.67 -0.67 0 2 ✗ 0
0.33
2 Auburn A L 3–42 0 2.42 -2.42 0 1 ✗ 0
1
4 UConn A L 25–31 0 0.8 -0.8 0 1 ✗ 0
0.8
6 Ohio H W 20–14 0.7 0 +0.7 1 0 ✓ +1
0.7
7 Western Michigan A L 0–42 0 1.03 -1.03 0 3 ✗ 0
0.34
8 Akron H W 42–28 0.21 0 +0.21 1 0 ✓ +1
0.21
9 Northern Illinois A L 7–21 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.11
11 Kent State H W 17–13 0 0.12 -0.12 0 1 ✗ 0
0.12
12 Eastern Michigan H L 9–24 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.48
13 Toledo A L 9–38 0 1.6 -1.6 0 1 ✗ 0
1
14 Miami (OH) A L 24–45 0.41 0 +0.41 1 0 ✓ +1
0.41
3W / 11G ——— 3 9 — —