2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
27.9
Composite Rank: #129
•
2–9
(FBS games)
GC Score
30.1
#108 in FBS
GC Net
-31.6
Raw GC Net
GC Off
28
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
59.5
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
25.7
#134 in FBS
MC Net
-3.04
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.31
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
50%
When winning MC
Game Control
Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | GC Scores | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Off | GC Allowed | GC Net | |||
| 1 | Penn State A | L 11–46 | 0.2 | 97.2 | -97 |
| 2 | Sacramento State H | — | 21.8 | 52.7 | -30.9 |
| 3 | Middle Tennessee H | L 13–14 | 71.2 | 11.2 | +60 |
| 4 | Western Kentucky A | L 16–31 | 34.5 | 35.8 | -1.3 |
| 6 | Fresno State A | L 17–20 | 12.1 | 67.8 | -55.6 |
| 7 | San Diego State H | L 10–44 | 3.7 | 94.5 | -90.8 |
| 8 | New Mexico A | L 22–24 | 5.7 | 91.2 | -85.5 |
| 9 | Boise State H | L 3–24 | 14.6 | 61.5 | -46.8 |
| 11 | Utah State A | L 14–51 | 2 | 97 | -95 |
| 12 | San José State H | W 55–10 | 91 | 3.5 | +87.5 |
| 13 | Wyoming A | W 13–7 | 60 | 15.6 | +44.3 |
| 14 | UNLV H | L 17–42 | 5.5 | 86.7 | -81.1 |
| 2W / 11G | — | — | — | ||
Momentum Control
Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opponent-Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Off | MC Def ↓ | MC Net | |||
| 1 | Penn State A | L 11–46 | 0 | 18.2 | -18.2 |
| 3 | Middle Tennessee H | L 13–14 | 0.34 | 0.34 | +0 |
| 4 | Western Kentucky A | L 16–31 | 0 | 0.62 | -0.62 |
| 6 | Fresno State A | L 17–20 | 0.45 | 1.35 | -0.9 |
| 7 | San Diego State H | L 10–44 | 0 | 5.58 | -5.58 |
| 8 | New Mexico A | L 22–24 | 0.27 | 0 | +0.27 |
| 9 | Boise State H | L 3–24 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 11 | Utah State A | L 14–51 | 0 | 0.38 | -0.38 |
| 12 | San José State H | W 55–10 | 1.5 | 0 | +1.5 |
| 13 | Wyoming A | W 13–7 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 14 | UNLV H | L 17–42 | 0 | 0.94 | -0.94 |
| 2W / 11G | — | — | — | ||