Louisville Composite Control — 2025 | Punt & Rally
2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
76.6
Composite Rank: #16  •  8–4 (FBS games)
GC Score
69.9
#27 in FBS
GC Net
+19.3
Raw GC Net
GC Off
48.7
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
29.4
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
83.2
#12 in FBS
MC Net
+0.67
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.26
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
87.5%
When winning MC
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Eastern Kentucky H 98.5 0.2 +98.3 99.6% 100%
2 James Madison H W 28–14 36.3 31.4 +4.9 55.5% 25.6%
4 Bowling Green H W 40–17 76.8 7.4 +69.4 85.1% 76.6%
5 Pittsburgh A W 34–27 18.8 67.8 -49 30.5% 11.9%
6 Virginia H L 27–30 21.4 43.2 -21.8 43.5% 10.1%
8 Miami A W 24–21 75 12.6 +62.4 68.4% 68.5%
9 Boston College H W 38–24 64.9 15.4 +49.5 72.8% 63.2%
10 Virginia Tech A W 28–16 39.9 41.8 -1.9 48.8% 29.8%
11 California H L 26–29 30.5 26 +4.5 53.2% 12.6%
12 Clemson H L 19–20 40.7 30.4 +10.2 55.2% 32.9%
13 SMU A L 6–38 4.9 91.7 -86.8 12.2% 0%
14 Kentucky H W 41–0 86.2 5 +81.2 87.5% 84.5%
1 Toledo NPost W 27–22 86.6 9 +77.6 77.5% 89.9%
8W / 12G
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
2 James Madison H W 28–14 1.12 0 +1.12 1 0 ✓ +1
1
4 Bowling Green H W 40–17 0.27 0 +0.27 4 0 ✓ +4
0.07
5 Pittsburgh A W 34–27 6.01 4 +2.01 3 2 ✓ +3
1
6 Virginia H L 27–30 2.35 0 +2.35 1 0 ✓ +1
1
8 Miami A W 24–21 3.46 0 +3.46 1 0 ✓ +1
1
9 Boston College H W 38–24 1.26 0 +1.26 1 0 ✓ +1
1
10 Virginia Tech A W 28–16 1.13 0 +1.13 1 0 ✓ +1
1
11 California H L 26–29 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
12 Clemson H L 19–20 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
13 SMU A L 6–38 0 6.29 -6.29 0 3 ✗ 0
1
14 Kentucky H W 41–0 8.03 0 +8.03 5 0 ✓ +5
1
1 Toledo HPost W 27–22 1.6 1.6 +0 1 1 Tied
1
8W / 12G 18 6