Colorado State Composite Control — 2025 | Punt & Rally
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Colorado State
2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
30.4
Composite Rank: #125  •  1–10 (FBS games)
GC Score
12.9
#132 in FBS
GC Net
-53.6
Raw GC Net
GC Off
14.3
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
67.9
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
48
#109 in FBS
MC Net
-1.61
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.16
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 35 points. Colorado State generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 48) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 12.9). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Washington A L 21–38 9.7 72.3 -62.6 24.3% 0% —
2 Northern Colorado H — 18.7 57 -38.3 37.9% 6.3% —
4 UTSA H L 16–17 12.9 67.8 -55 32.1% 0% —
5 Washington State H L 3–20 14.2 70 -55.8 26.2% 8.6% —
6 San Diego State A L 24–45 5.3 86.6 -81.4 13.2% 0% —
7 Fresno State H W 49–21 93.3 3.5 +89.9 91.3% 94.2% ✓
8 Hawai'i H L 19–31 10.5 74.5 -64 26.1% 0% —
9 Wyoming A L 0–28 4.4 88.1 -83.8 10.9% 0% —
11 UNLV H L 10–42 26.3 59.9 -33.6 32.3% 25% —
12 New Mexico A L 17–20 12.2 62.4 -50.2 30.5% 0% —
13 Boise State A L 21–49 5.9 83.8 -77.9 14.8% 0% —
14 Air Force H L 21–42 7.3 88.9 -81.7 18.2% 0% —
1W / 11G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Washington A L 21–38 0 3.88 -3.88 0 2 ✗ 0
1
4 UTSA H L 16–17 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.92
5 Washington State H L 3–20 0 1.11 -1.11 0 2 ✗ 0
0.55
6 San Diego State A L 24–45 0 2.23 -2.23 0 2 ✗ 0
1
7 Fresno State H W 49–21 0.9 0 +0.9 2 0 ✓ +2
0.45
8 Hawai'i H L 19–31 0.43 0.43 +0 1 1 Tied
0.43
9 Wyoming A L 0–28 0 0.57 -0.57 0 1 ✗ 0
0.57
11 UNLV H L 10–42 0 0.94 -0.94 0 2 ✗ 0
0.47
12 New Mexico A L 17–20 0 0.27 -0.27 0 1 ✗ 0
0.27
13 Boise State A L 21–49 0 4.15 -4.15 0 4 ✗ 0
1
14 Air Force H L 21–42 0 1.12 -1.12 0 2 ✗ 0
0.56
1W / 11G ——— 3 17 — —