2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
75.8
Composite Rank: #18
•
9–4
(FBS games)
GC Score
62.5
#34 in FBS
GC Net
+9.8
Raw GC Net
GC Off
41.1
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
31.3
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
89.2
#6 in FBS
MC Net
+1.05
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.44
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
80%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 27 points.
USC generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 89.2)
but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 62.5).
This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control
Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | GC Scores | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Off | GC Allowed | GC Net | |||
| 1 | Missouri State H | W 73–13 | 84.5 | 5.2 | +79.3 |
| 2 | Georgia Southern H | W 59–20 | 85.2 | 5.5 | +79.7 |
| 3 | Purdue A | W 33–17 | 79.4 | 9.2 | +70.2 |
| 4 | Michigan State H | W 45–31 | 77 | 8.7 | +68.3 |
| 5 | Illinois A | L 32–34 | 12 | 70 | -58.1 |
| 7 | Michigan H | W 31–13 | 86.4 | 7 | +79.5 |
| 8 | Notre Dame A | L 24–34 | 16.1 | 66 | -49.9 |
| 10 | Nebraska A | W 21–17 | 22.2 | 59.9 | -37.7 |
| 11 | Northwestern H | W 38–17 | 77.9 | 8.6 | +69.3 |
| 12 | Iowa H | W 26–21 | 26.8 | 59.8 | -33 |
| 13 | Oregon A | L 27–42 | 9.3 | 69 | -59.7 |
| 14 | UCLA H | W 29–10 | 58.6 | 19.5 | +39.1 |
| 1 | TCU NPost | L 27–30 | 59.9 | 18.8 | +41.1 |
| 9W / 13G | — | — | — | ||
Momentum Control
Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opponent-Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Off | MC Def ↓ | MC Net | |||
| 1 | Missouri State H | W 73–13 | 3.27 | 0 | +3.27 |
| 2 | Georgia Southern H | W 59–20 | 2.61 | 0 | +2.61 |
| 3 | Purdue A | W 33–17 | 0.33 | 0 | +0.33 |
| 4 | Michigan State H | W 45–31 | 3.82 | 1.91 | +1.91 |
| 5 | Illinois A | L 32–34 | 2.52 | 0 | +2.52 |
| 7 | Michigan H | W 31–13 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 8 | Notre Dame A | L 24–34 | 3.83 | 0 | +3.83 |
| 10 | Nebraska A | W 21–17 | 1.03 | 0 | +1.03 |
| 11 | Northwestern H | W 38–17 | 1.14 | 0 | +1.14 |
| 12 | Iowa H | W 26–21 | 6.78 | 0 | +6.78 |
| 13 | Oregon A | L 27–42 | 3.82 | 3.82 | +0 |
| 14 | UCLA H | W 29–10 | 2.27 | 1.13 | +1.14 |
| 1 | TCU APost | L 27–30 | 2.17 | 2.17 | +0 |
| 9W / 13G | — | — | — | ||