USC Composite Control — 2025 | Punt & Rally
2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
75.8
Composite Rank: #18  •  9–4 (FBS games)
GC Score
62.5
#34 in FBS
GC Net
+9.8
Raw GC Net
GC Off
41.1
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
31.3
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
89.2
#6 in FBS
MC Net
+1.05
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.44
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
80%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 27 points. USC generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 89.2) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 62.5). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Missouri State H W 73–13 84.5 5.2 +79.3 89.8% 88.4%
2 Georgia Southern H W 59–20 85.2 5.5 +79.7 88.8% 89.9%
3 Purdue A W 33–17 79.4 9.2 +70.2 77.7% 72.9%
4 Michigan State H W 45–31 77 8.7 +68.3 81.2% 78.2%
5 Illinois A L 32–34 12 70 -58.1 26.4% 0.7%
7 Michigan H W 31–13 86.4 7 +79.5 82.6% 89.1%
8 Notre Dame A L 24–34 16.1 66 -49.9 30.2% 1.9%
10 Nebraska A W 21–17 22.2 59.9 -37.7 35.5% 12.8%
11 Northwestern H W 38–17 77.9 8.6 +69.3 78.5% 78.2%
12 Iowa H W 26–21 26.8 59.8 -33 38.6% 19.3%
13 Oregon A L 27–42 9.3 69 -59.7 20.8% 0.7%
14 UCLA H W 29–10 58.6 19.5 +39.1 66.9% 61%
1 TCU NPost L 27–30 59.9 18.8 +41.1 70.1% 60.9%
9W / 13G
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Missouri State H W 73–13 3.27 0 +3.27 7 0 ✓ +7
0.47
2 Georgia Southern H W 59–20 2.61 0 +2.61 5 0 ✓ +5
0.52
3 Purdue A W 33–17 0.33 0 +0.33 1 0 ✓ +1
0.33
4 Michigan State H W 45–31 3.82 1.91 +1.91 2 1 ✓ +2
1
5 Illinois A L 32–34 2.52 0 +2.52 1 0 ✓ +1
1
7 Michigan H W 31–13 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
8 Notre Dame A L 24–34 3.83 0 +3.83 1 0 ✓ +1
1
10 Nebraska A W 21–17 1.03 0 +1.03 1 0 ✓ +1
1
11 Northwestern H W 38–17 1.14 0 +1.14 1 0 ✓ +1
1
12 Iowa H W 26–21 6.78 0 +6.78 3 0 ✓ +3
1
13 Oregon A L 27–42 3.82 3.82 +0 1 1 Tied
1
14 UCLA H W 29–10 2.27 1.13 +1.14 2 1 ✓ +2
1
1 TCU APost L 27–30 2.17 2.17 +0 1 1 Tied
1
9W / 13G 26 4