2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
54.5
Composite Rank: #75
•
3–8
(FBS games)
GC Score
38
#97 in FBS
GC Net
-21.5
Raw GC Net
GC Off
28.4
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
49.9
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
71.1
#52 in FBS
MC Net
-0.12
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.82
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
50%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 33 points.
Tulsa generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 71.1)
but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 38).
This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control
Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | GC Scores | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Off | GC Allowed | GC Net | |||
| 1 | Abilene Christian H | — | 87.1 | 5.8 | +81.4 |
| 2 | New Mexico State A | L 14–21 | 18.1 | 49.2 | -31.1 |
| 3 | Navy H | L 23–42 | 38.9 | 47.9 | -9.1 |
| 4 | Oklahoma State A | W 19–12 | 78.4 | 10.5 | +68 |
| 5 | Tulane H | L 14–31 | 11.1 | 71.7 | -60.6 |
| 6 | Memphis A | L 7–45 | 4.5 | 92.2 | -87.7 |
| 8 | East Carolina A | L 27–41 | 7 | 87.6 | -80.6 |
| 9 | Temple H | L 37–38 | 21.2 | 52.7 | -31.5 |
| 11 | Florida Atlantic A | L 21–40 | 5.7 | 90.2 | -84.4 |
| 12 | Oregon State H | W 31–14 | 93.8 | 3.3 | +90.5 |
| 13 | Army A | W 26–25 | 20.7 | 57.8 | -37 |
| 14 | UAB H | L 24–31 | 33.8 | 29.9 | +3.8 |
| 3W / 11G | — | — | — | ||
Momentum Control
Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opponent-Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Off | MC Def ↓ | MC Net | |||
| 2 | New Mexico State A | L 14–21 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 3 | Navy H | L 23–42 | 0 | 1.18 | -1.18 |
| 4 | Oklahoma State A | W 19–12 | 1.7 | 0 | +1.7 |
| 5 | Tulane H | L 14–31 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1 |
| 6 | Memphis A | L 7–45 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1 |
| 8 | East Carolina A | L 27–41 | 0.93 | 0.93 | +0 |
| 9 | Temple H | L 37–38 | 0.28 | 0 | +0.28 |
| 11 | Florida Atlantic A | L 21–40 | 0.49 | 0.24 | +0.25 |
| 12 | Oregon State H | W 31–14 | 0.87 | 0.87 | +0 |
| 13 | Army A | W 26–25 | 1.14 | 0.57 | +0.57 |
| 14 | UAB H | L 24–31 | 0 | 0.19 | -0.19 |
| 3W / 11G | — | — | — | ||