Tulsa Composite Control — 2025 | Punt & Rally
2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
54.5
Composite Rank: #75  •  3–8 (FBS games)
GC Score
38
#97 in FBS
GC Net
-21.5
Raw GC Net
GC Off
28.4
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
49.9
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
71.1
#52 in FBS
MC Net
-0.12
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.82
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
50%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 33 points. Tulsa generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 71.1) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 38). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Abilene Christian H 87.1 5.8 +81.4 85.6% 92.4%
2 New Mexico State A L 14–21 18.1 49.2 -31.1 36.5% 1.2%
3 Navy H L 23–42 38.9 47.9 -9.1 43.1% 38.9%
4 Oklahoma State A W 19–12 78.4 10.5 +68 78.1% 82.3%
5 Tulane H L 14–31 11.1 71.7 -60.6 26.7% 1.1%
6 Memphis A L 7–45 4.5 92.2 -87.7 11.3% 0%
8 East Carolina A L 27–41 7 87.6 -80.6 17.5% 0%
9 Temple H L 37–38 21.2 52.7 -31.5 41.5% 5.3%
11 Florida Atlantic A L 21–40 5.7 90.2 -84.4 14.4% 0%
12 Oregon State H W 31–14 93.8 3.3 +90.5 91.7% 95%
13 Army A W 26–25 20.7 57.8 -37 34.1% 13.1%
14 UAB H L 24–31 33.8 29.9 +3.8 52.6% 22.9%
3W / 11G
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
2 New Mexico State A L 14–21 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.16
3 Navy H L 23–42 0 1.18 -1.18 0 2 ✗ 0
0.59
4 Oklahoma State A W 19–12 1.7 0 +1.7 3 0 ✓ +3
0.57
5 Tulane H L 14–31 0 1.1 -1.1 0 1 ✗ 0
1
6 Memphis A L 7–45 0 1.1 -1.1 0 1 ✗ 0
1
8 East Carolina A L 27–41 0.93 0.93 +0 1 1 Tied
0.93
9 Temple H L 37–38 0.28 0 +0.28 1 0 ✓ +1
0.28
11 Florida Atlantic A L 21–40 0.49 0.24 +0.25 2 1 ✓ +2
0.24
12 Oregon State H W 31–14 0.87 0.87 +0 1 1 Tied
0.87
13 Army A W 26–25 1.14 0.57 +0.57 2 1 ✓ +2
0.57
14 UAB H L 24–31 0 0.19 -0.19 0 1 ✗ 0
0.19
3W / 11G 10 9