Oregon Composite Control — 2025 | Punt & Rally
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Oregon
2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
84.6
Composite Rank: #9  •  12–2 (FBS games)
GC Score
98.5
#2 in FBS
GC Net
+55.9
Raw GC Net
GC Off
72.1
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
16.2
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
70.8
#53 in FBS
MC Net
-0.14
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.11
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
GC > MC by 28 points. Oregon dominated win probability (Game Control score: 98.5) but generated fewer consecutive scoring sequences than expected (Momentum Control score: 70.8). This profile suggests a team that controlled field position and clock without delivering many knockout scoring runs — a suffocating, methodical style rather than explosive momentum swings.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Montana State H — 99 0.3 +98.7 99.4% 100% ✓
2 Oklahoma State H W 69–3 98 1.7 +96.3 95.8% 99.3% ✓
3 Northwestern A W 34–14 78.3 8.5 +69.8 78.9% 73.6% ✓
4 Oregon State H W 41–7 82.6 6.7 +76 83.3% 81.3% ✓
5 Penn State A W 30–24 38.1 25.2 +12.9 53.3% 30.4% —
7 Indiana HPost L 22–56 23.5 41.5 -18 45.3% 12.4% —
8 Rutgers A W 56–10 92.3 1.9 +90.4 96.5% 100% —
9 Wisconsin H W 21–7 62.9 10.9 +52.1 72.8% 56.7% ✓
11 Iowa A W 18–16 55.3 15.9 +39.4 61.3% 36.5% —
12 Minnesota H W 42–13 94.1 2.9 +91.2 92.7% 94.6% ✓
13 USC H W 42–27 69 9.3 +59.7 79.2% 68.6% —
14 Washington A W 26–14 77.3 10.3 +66.9 74.2% 68.2% ✓
1 James Madison HPost W 51–34 93.4 3.3 +90.1 91.6% 91.7% ✓
1 Texas Tech NPost W 23–0 75.7 9.9 +65.9 75.4% 61.9% ✓
1 Indiana NPost L 22–56 2.9 95.5 -92.6 7.1% 0% —
12W / 14G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
2 Oklahoma State H W 69–3 1.7 0 +1.7 3 0 ✓ +3
0.57
3 Northwestern A W 34–14 3.42 1.14 +2.28 3 1 ✓ +3
1
4 Oregon State H W 41–7 2.6 0 +2.6 3 0 ✓ +3
0.87
5 Penn State A W 30–24 2.6 2.6 +0 1 1 Tied
1
7 Indiana H L 20–30 0 7.9 -7.9 0 2 ✗ 0
1
8 Rutgers A W 56–10 8.42 0 +8.42 5 0 ✓ +5
1
9 Wisconsin H W 21–7 1.2 0 +1.2 1 0 ✓ +1
1
11 Iowa A W 18–16 0 2.26 -2.26 0 1 ✗ 0
1
12 Minnesota H W 42–13 2.13 0 +2.13 2 0 ✓ +2
1
13 USC H W 42–27 2.15 2.15 +0 1 1 Tied
1
14 Washington A W 26–14 3.88 0 +3.88 2 0 ✓ +2
1
1 James Madison HPost W 51–34 2.24 2.24 +0 2 2 Tied
1
1 Texas Tech APost W 23–0 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
1 Indiana APost L 22–56 0 15.81 -15.81 0 4 ✗ 0
1
12W / 14G ——— 23 12 — —