Northwestern Composite Control — 2025 | Punt & Rally
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Northwestern
2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
59.5
Composite Rank: #60  •  6–6 (FBS games)
GC Score
42.9
#86 in FBS
GC Net
-15.2
Raw GC Net
GC Off
25.5
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
40.7
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
76.1
#26 in FBS
MC Net
+0.21
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.16
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
75%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 33 points. Northwestern generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 76.1) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 42.9). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Tulane A L 3–23 5.1 91.7 -86.7 12.7% 0% —
2 Western Illinois H — 96.6 1.8 +94.8 95.4% 97.2% ✓
3 Oregon H L 14–34 8.5 78.3 -69.8 21.2% 0% —
5 UCLA H W 17–14 80.8 8.6 +72.2 78.6% 80.3% ✓
6 UL Monroe H W 42–7 74.8 9.5 +65.3 82.2% 76.3% —
7 Penn State A W 22–21 27.5 38.3 -10.8 45.2% 7.6% —
8 Purdue H W 19–0 88.8 5.5 +83.3 86.2% 88.7% ✓
9 Nebraska A L 21–28 10.6 74 -63.4 26.5% 0% —
11 USC A L 17–38 8.6 77.9 -69.3 21.5% 0% —
12 Michigan N L 22–24 22.1 43.9 -21.7 43.3% 1.9% —
13 Minnesota N W 38–35 48.6 29.4 +19.2 58.1% 45.5% —
14 Illinois A L 13–20 15.7 62.6 -46.9 31.1% 0% —
1 Central Michigan NPost W 34–7 73.4 7.2 +66.3 82.1% 64.8% ✓
6W / 12G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 Tulane A L 3–23 0 2.21 -2.21 0 2 ✗ 0
1
3 Oregon H L 14–34 3.82 11.46 -7.64 1 3 ✗ 1
1
5 UCLA H W 17–14 2.27 1.13 +1.14 2 1 ✓ +2
1
6 UL Monroe H W 42–7 1.86 0 +1.86 5 0 ✓ +5
0.37
7 Penn State A W 22–21 2.6 0 +2.6 1 0 ✓ +1
1
8 Purdue H W 19–0 0.67 0 +0.67 2 0 ✓ +2
0.33
9 Nebraska A L 21–28 2.06 0 +2.06 2 0 ✓ +2
1
11 USC A L 17–38 0 2.15 -2.15 0 1 ✗ 0
1
12 Michigan H L 22–24 4.54 0 +4.54 2 0 ✓ +2
1
13 Minnesota H W 38–35 3.2 1.07 +2.13 3 1 ✓ +3
1
14 Illinois A L 13–20 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
1 Central Michigan HPost W 34–7 0.95 0 +0.95 2 0 ✓ +2
0.47
6W / 12G ——— 20 8 — —