New Mexico State Composite Control — 2025 | Punt & Rally
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New Mexico State
2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
40.2
Composite Rank: #107  •  3–8 (FBS games)
GC Score
26.9
#112 in FBS
GC Net
-35.6
Raw GC Net
GC Off
14.5
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
50.1
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
53.5
#95 in FBS
MC Net
-1.25
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.7
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
50%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 27 points. New Mexico State generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 53.5) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 26.9). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Bryant H — 84.5 9.1 +75.4 77.2% 86.9% ✓
2 Tulsa H W 21–14 49.2 18.1 +31.1 63.5% 37.7% —
3 Louisiana Tech A L 14–49 5 89 -83.9 12.6% 0% —
5 New Mexico A L 20–38 28.5 37.5 -9.1 42.4% 8% —
6 Sam Houston H W 37–10 72.2 9.8 +62.4 75.6% 67.2% ✓
8 Liberty A L 27–30 22.3 53.9 -31.6 35.3% 12% —
9 Missouri State H L 17–24 14 60.6 -46.6 34.5% 0.6% —
10 Western Kentucky A L 16–35 14.6 62.4 -47.8 26.7% 0.6% —
11 Kennesaw State H L 21–24 5.5 91.5 -86 13.7% 0% —
12 Tennessee A L 9–42 3.6 91.3 -87.7 9% 0% —
13 UTEP A W 34–31 27.7 41.7 -14 41.5% 16.5% —
14 Middle Tennessee H L 24–31 27.4 35.8 -8.3 49.3% 16.4% —
3W / 11G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
2 Tulsa H W 21–14 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.56
3 Louisiana Tech A L 14–49 0.26 1.02 -0.76 1 4 ✗ 1
0.26
5 New Mexico A L 20–38 0 0.27 -0.27 0 1 ✗ 0
0.27
6 Sam Houston H W 37–10 0.04 0 +0.04 2 0 ✓ +2
0.02
8 Liberty A L 27–30 1.27 0.63 +0.64 2 1 ✓ +2
0.63
9 Missouri State H L 17–24 0.47 0.47 +0 1 1 Tied
0.47
10 Western Kentucky A L 16–35 0.62 1.86 -1.24 1 3 ✗ 1
0.62
11 Kennesaw State H L 21–24 0.62 1.25 -0.63 1 2 ✗ 1
0.62
12 Tennessee A L 9–42 0 6.35 -6.35 0 3 ✗ 0
1
13 UTEP A W 34–31 0.76 0.38 +0.38 2 1 ✓ +2
0.38
14 Middle Tennessee H L 24–31 0.34 0 +0.34 1 0 ✓ +1
0.34
3W / 11G ——— 11 16 — —