East Carolina Composite Control — 2025 | Punt & Rally
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East Carolina
2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Composite Score
64.5
Composite Rank: #45  •  8–4 (FBS games)
GC Score
50.4
#67 in FBS
GC Net
-5.7
Raw GC Net
GC Off
25.2
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
30.8
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
78.6
#21 in FBS
MC Net
+0.37
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.23
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 28 points. East Carolina generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 78.6) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 50.4). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 NC State A L 17–24 6.5 88.2 -81.7 16.3% 0% —
2 Campbell H — 95.3 2.8 +92.6 93.1% 97% ✓
3 Coastal Carolina A W 38–0 83 8.6 +74.4 78.6% 83.1% ✓
4 BYU H L 13–34 11.8 70.9 -59.1 27.8% 1.8% —
5 Army H W 28–6 96.8 2 +94.8 95.1% 100% ✓
7 Tulane A L 19–26 16.3 61.6 -45.3 32.6% 3.2% —
8 Tulsa H W 41–27 87.6 7 +80.6 82.5% 89.1% ✓
10 Temple A W 45–14 85.2 7.4 +77.8 81.6% 85.1% ✓
11 Charlotte H W 48–22 94.6 2.6 +92 93.5% 95.9% ✓
12 Memphis H W 31–27 27.9 31.5 -3.7 51% 14.2% —
13 UTSA A L 24–58 2.8 93.6 -90.8 7.1% 0% —
14 Florida Atlantic A W 42–3 93.3 3.1 +90.2 92.2% 93.5% ✓
1 Pittsburgh NPost W 23–17 45.3 21.8 +23.5 58.3% 27.3% —
8W / 12G ——— — — —
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
1 NC State A L 17–24 1.34 1.34 +0 1 1 Tied
1
3 Coastal Carolina A W 38–0 0.44 0 +0.44 3 0 ✓ +3
0.15
4 BYU H L 13–34 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
5 Army H W 28–6 0.57 0 +0.57 1 0 ✓ +1
0.57
7 Tulane A L 19–26 1.1 2.21 -1.11 1 2 ✗ 1
1
8 Tulsa H W 41–27 0.56 0.56 +0 1 1 Tied
0.56
10 Temple A W 45–14 0.85 0.28 +0.57 3 1 ✓ +3
0.28
11 Charlotte H W 48–22 0.02 0 +0.02 1 0 ✓ +1
0.02
12 Memphis H W 31–27 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
1
13 UTSA A L 24–58 0.92 4.6 -3.68 1 5 ✗ 1
0.92
14 Florida Atlantic A W 42–3 0.97 0 +0.97 4 0 ✓ +4
0.24
1 Pittsburgh HPost W 23–17 6.01 0 +6.01 3 0 ✓ +3
1
8W / 12G ——— 19 10 — —