2025 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
62.7
Composite Rank: #50
•
4–7
(FBS games)
GC Score
49.4
#71 in FBS
GC Net
-6.9
Raw GC Net
GC Off
30.4
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
37.3
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
75.9
#28 in FBS
MC Net
+0.2
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.9
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 27 points.
Auburn generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 75.9)
but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 49.4).
This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control
Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | GC Scores | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Off | GC Allowed | GC Net | |||
| 1 | Baylor A | W 38–24 | 68.4 | 18.3 | +50.1 |
| 2 | Ball State H | W 42–3 | 87 | 4.5 | +82.5 |
| 3 | South Alabama H | W 31–15 | 97.1 | 1.3 | +95.8 |
| 4 | Oklahoma A | L 17–24 | 14.9 | 52.3 | -37.4 |
| 5 | Texas A&M A | L 10–16 | 8.3 | 89.1 | -80.8 |
| 7 | Georgia H | L 10–20 | 43.3 | 36.2 | +7 |
| 8 | Missouri H | L 17–23 | 44.3 | 28.7 | +15.6 |
| 9 | Arkansas A | W 33–24 | 38.7 | 45.4 | -6.7 |
| 10 | Kentucky H | L 3–10 | 14.5 | 60.2 | -45.7 |
| 11 | Vanderbilt A | L 38–45 | 44.8 | 29.4 | +15.4 |
| 13 | Mercer H | — | 87.5 | 2.6 | +85 |
| 14 | Alabama H | L 20–27 | 11.5 | 79.9 | -68.4 |
| 4W / 11G | — | — | — | ||
Momentum Control
Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opponent-Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Off | MC Def ↓ | MC Net | |||
| 1 | Baylor A | W 38–24 | 4.04 | 0 | +4.04 |
| 2 | Ball State H | W 42–3 | 0.11 | 0 | +0.11 |
| 3 | South Alabama H | W 31–15 | 0.37 | 0 | +0.37 |
| 4 | Oklahoma A | L 17–24 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 5 | Texas A&M A | L 10–16 | 0 | 3.48 | -3.48 |
| 7 | Georgia H | L 10–20 | 3.22 | 3.22 | +0 |
| 8 | Missouri H | L 17–23 | 1.89 | 1.89 | +0 |
| 9 | Arkansas A | W 33–24 | 5.1 | 1.7 | +3.4 |
| 10 | Kentucky H | L 3–10 | 0 | 0 | +0 |
| 11 | Vanderbilt A | L 38–45 | 2.6 | 2.6 | +0 |
| 14 | Alabama H | L 20–27 | 3.13 | 3.13 | +0 |
| 4W / 11G | — | — | — | ||