San Diego State Composite Control — 2024 | Punt & Rally
2024 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
43.1
Composite Rank: #102  •  2–9 (FBS games)
GC Score
29.6
#118 in FBS
GC Net
-36.9
Raw GC Net
GC Off
16.1
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
52.9
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
56.6
#87 in FBS
MC Net
-0.89
Raw MC Net
MC Off
0.67
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 27 points. San Diego State generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 56.6) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 29.6). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 East Texas A&M H 54.5 15.6 +38.9 67.4% 42.5%
2 Oregon State H L 0–21 9 87.5 -78.6 22.4% 0%
3 California A L 10–31 12.4 63.4 -50.9 28.5% 0%
5 Central Michigan A L 21–22 71.5 13.8 +57.7 74.9% 73.5%
6 Hawai'i H W 27–24 45.8 18 +27.7 59.6% 30.9%
7 Wyoming A W 27–24 37.7 23.1 +14.6 55.1% 19.9%
9 Washington State H L 26–29 30.1 49.3 -19.1 44.6% 21.7%
10 Boise State A L 24–56 3.8 90.7 -86.9 9.5% 0%
11 New Mexico H L 16–21 15 61.3 -46.2 34.9% 0%
12 UNLV A L 20–41 5.5 86.2 -80.8 13.7% 0%
13 Utah State A L 20–41 27.9 48.2 -20.3 40.3% 16.3%
14 Air Force H L 20–31 9.5 78 -68.5 23.7% 0%
2W / 11G
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
2 Oregon State H L 0–21 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.25
3 California A L 10–31 0 1.34 -1.34 0 1 ✗ 0
1
5 Central Michigan A L 21–22 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.28
6 Hawai'i H W 27–24 0.69 0.69 +0 1 1 Tied
0.69
7 Wyoming A W 27–24 0.17 0 +0.17 1 0 ✓ +1
0.17
9 Washington State H L 26–29 1.69 1.69 +0 2 2 Tied
0.85
10 Boise State A L 24–56 2.19 4.37 -2.18 1 2 ✗ 1
1
11 New Mexico H L 16–21 0 0 +0 0 0 Tied
0.16
12 UNLV A L 20–41 0 2.59 -2.59 0 2 ✗ 0
1
13 Utah State A L 20–41 0.36 1.08 -0.72 1 3 ✗ 1
0.36
14 Air Force H L 20–31 0 0.11 -0.11 0 2 ✗ 0
0.06
2W / 11G 6 13