Liberty Composite Control — 2024 | Punt & Rally
2024 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
54.7
Composite Rank: #72  •  7–4 (FBS games)
GC Score
35.2
#105 in FBS
GC Net
-29
Raw GC Net
GC Off
18.8
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
47.7
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
74.2
#21 in FBS
MC Net
+0.26
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.22
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 39 points. Liberty generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 74.2) but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 35.2). This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
Wk Opponent Result GC Scores Avg WP% Ctrl% Never Trailed
GC Off GC Allowed GC Net
1 Campbell H 62.3 21.7 +40.6 64.2% 60%
2 New Mexico State A W 30–24 20.5 60 -39.5 38.6% 12.1%
3 UTEP H W 28–10 66.4 13.2 +53.2 70.2% 60.3%
4 East Carolina H W 35–24 14.8 67 -52.3 25.4% 0.6%
7 Florida International H W 31–24 41.2 32.4 +8.7 50.3% 30%
9 Kennesaw State A L 24–27 16.1 54.6 -38.4 35.5% 3.3%
10 Jacksonville State H L 21–31 10.2 63.7 -53.5 25.2% 0%
11 Middle Tennessee A W 37–17 67.2 10.1 +57.2 78.6% 64.5%
12 Massachusetts A W 35–34 18.8 58 -39.1 37.1% 7.1%
13 Western Kentucky H W 38–21 48.2 29.5 +18.7 54.5% 42.7%
14 Sam Houston A L 18–20 10.2 76.6 -66.4 25.5% 0%
1 Buffalo NPost L 7–26 7.7 85.8 -78.1 19.2% 0%
7W / 11G
Momentum Control Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
Wk Opponent Result Opponent-Adjusted Raw Edge Opp Wt
MC Off MC Def ↓ MC Net Off Def ↓
2 New Mexico State A W 30–24 0.04 0.04 +0 1 1 Tied
0.04
3 UTEP H W 28–10 0.04 0 +0.04 1 0 ✓ +1
0.04
4 East Carolina H W 35–24 2.95 0.98 +1.97 3 1 ✓ +3
0.98
7 Florida International H W 31–24 0 0.83 -0.83 0 2 ✗ 0
0.42
9 Kennesaw State A L 24–27 0 0.03 -0.03 0 2 ✗ 0
0.02
10 Jacksonville State H L 21–31 0 0.65 -0.65 0 1 ✗ 0
0.65
11 Middle Tennessee A W 37–17 0.07 0 +0.07 2 0 ✓ +2
0.04
12 Massachusetts A W 35–34 0 0.21 -0.21 0 1 ✗ 0
0.21
13 Western Kentucky H W 38–21 1.6 0 +1.6 3 0 ✓ +3
0.53
14 Sam Houston A L 18–20 0 0.6 -0.6 0 1 ✗ 0
0.6
1 Buffalo HPost L 7–26 0 0.34 -0.34 0 1 ✗ 0
0.34
7W / 11G 10 10