2024 Composite Control — Game Control + Momentum Control
Composite Score
54.7
Composite Rank: #72
•
7–4
(FBS games)
GC Score
35.2
#105 in FBS
GC Net
-29
Raw GC Net
GC Off
18.8
SOS-Adj Offense
GC Allowed
47.7
Avg Allowed ↓
MC Score
74.2
#21 in FBS
MC Net
+0.26
Raw MC Net
MC Off
1.22
Adj. Sequences
MC Win%
100%
When winning MC
MC > GC by 39 points.
Liberty generated strong consecutive scoring sequences (Momentum Control score: 74.2)
but spent more time in contested win probability territory than their sequence count suggests (Game Control score: 35.2).
This profile suggests a team that delivers explosive scoring runs but also plays in close, contested games.
Game Control
Game-by-Game Win Probability Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | GC Scores | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GC Off | GC Allowed | GC Net | |||
| 1 | Campbell H | — | 62.3 | 21.7 | +40.6 |
| 2 | New Mexico State A | W 30–24 | 20.5 | 60 | -39.5 |
| 3 | UTEP H | W 28–10 | 66.4 | 13.2 | +53.2 |
| 4 | East Carolina H | W 35–24 | 14.8 | 67 | -52.3 |
| 7 | Florida International H | W 31–24 | 41.2 | 32.4 | +8.7 |
| 9 | Kennesaw State A | L 24–27 | 16.1 | 54.6 | -38.4 |
| 10 | Jacksonville State H | L 21–31 | 10.2 | 63.7 | -53.5 |
| 11 | Middle Tennessee A | W 37–17 | 67.2 | 10.1 | +57.2 |
| 12 | Massachusetts A | W 35–34 | 18.8 | 58 | -39.1 |
| 13 | Western Kentucky H | W 38–21 | 48.2 | 29.5 | +18.7 |
| 14 | Sam Houston A | L 18–20 | 10.2 | 76.6 | -66.4 |
| 1 | Buffalo NPost | L 7–26 | 7.7 | 85.8 | -78.1 |
| 7W / 11G | — | — | — | ||
Momentum Control
Game-by-Game Scoring Sequences Log
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opponent-Adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MC Off | MC Def ↓ | MC Net | |||
| 2 | New Mexico State A | W 30–24 | 0.04 | 0.04 | +0 |
| 3 | UTEP H | W 28–10 | 0.04 | 0 | +0.04 |
| 4 | East Carolina H | W 35–24 | 2.95 | 0.98 | +1.97 |
| 7 | Florida International H | W 31–24 | 0 | 0.83 | -0.83 |
| 9 | Kennesaw State A | L 24–27 | 0 | 0.03 | -0.03 |
| 10 | Jacksonville State H | L 21–31 | 0 | 0.65 | -0.65 |
| 11 | Middle Tennessee A | W 37–17 | 0.07 | 0 | +0.07 |
| 12 | Massachusetts A | W 35–34 | 0 | 0.21 | -0.21 |
| 13 | Western Kentucky H | W 38–21 | 1.6 | 0 | +1.6 |
| 14 | Sam Houston A | L 18–20 | 0 | 0.6 | -0.6 |
| 1 | Buffalo HPost | L 7–26 | 0 | 0.34 | -0.34 |
| 7W / 11G | — | — | — | ||